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February 8-9th Storm Banter


Baroclinic Zone

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Hope you guys get smashed. I am seriously considering a road trip up that way. Where would be a affordable area to get a hotel room that would still get destroyed?

Best choice to see big totals of snow, wind and location to escape is Worcester MA off of the Mass Turnpike! Be careful...start tonight! Take I-80 to I-84, then to I-90. I may be heading up if I can find 3 others to go.

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Berkshires almost certainly get a nasty deformation band putting them well over 9-12".  Not to mention better ratios compensating for slightly less qpf

 

Fair--again, probably my Maine-centric nature getting to me.  I think ratios are under-estimated by NWS right now; I think it'll by 1:15, min for most . . . with qpf for coastal at or just below 2, 1.5 for points inland, including berks.

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Can you guys understand the Boston mayor when her speaks

Mumbles Menino is the longest-serving mayor in the city's history. Coherence is overrated.

 

Like many big-city mayors, he's had an interesting snowstorm-related history. My personal favorite was the big showdown a few years ago over the Townies who traditionally saved "their" parking spaces by placing lawn chairs, traffic cones, etc. (a friend of mine had her tires slashed when she had the gall to park in someone's turf in Charlestown one night). IIRC, Mumbles tried to crack down and eventually backed off. I may not be fully up to speed on what ultimately became of that though, as I moved north in '04.

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URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAY ME

256 PM EST THU FEB 7 2013

...STRONG COASTAL STORM WITH SIGNIFICANT SNOW WILL AFFECT THE

AREA STARTING FRIDAY MORNING AND LASTING INTO SATURDAY...

.LOW PRESSURE WILL DEVELOP OFF THE MID ATLANTIC COAST TONIGHT.

THIS LOW WILL THEN MOVE NORTHEASTWARD... PASSING JUST SOUTHEAST

OF NANTUCKET LATE FRIDAY...THEN MOVE EAST FROM THERE ON SATURDAY.

SIGNIFICANT SNOWFALL IS LIKELY WITH THIS SYSTEM...ESPECIALLY

ACROSS SOUTHERN NEW HAMPSHIRE EASTWARD TO THE MAINE COAST. THE

EVENTUAL TRACK AND SMALL SCALE FEATURES WITHIN THE STORM WILL

DETERMINE EXACT SNOWFALL AMOUNTS. HOWEVER...A LARGE PORTION OF THE

REGION WILL SEE A FOOT OR MORE OF SNOW...WITH LOCALIZED AMOUNTS

APPROACHING TWO FEET OR MORE. IN ADDITION...THE RAPIDLY

STRENGTHENING LOW PRESSURE WILL PRODUCE STRONG WINDS ALONG THE

COAST...WITH WHITE OUT CONDITIONS AT TIMES.

MEZ023-NHZ014-080400-

/O.UPG.KGYX.WS.A.0002.130208T1700Z-130209T1700Z/

/O.NEW.KGYX.BZ.W.0001.130208T1900Z-130209T2100Z/

COASTAL YORK-COASTAL ROCKINGHAM-

INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BIDDEFORD...SACO...OLD ORCHARD BEACH...

KITTERY...PORTSMOUTH...HAMPTON

256 PM EST THU FEB 7 2013

...BLIZZARD WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 2 PM FRIDAY TO 4 PM EST

SATURDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GRAY HAS ISSUED A BLIZZARD

WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 2 PM FRIDAY TO 4 PM EST

SATURDAY. THE WINTER STORM WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT.

* LOCATIONS...THE IMMEDIATE COAST OF NEW HAMPSHIRE AND COASTAL

YORK COUNTY IN MAINE.

* HAZARD TYPES...HEAVY SNOW WITH BLIZZARD CONDITIONS.

* ACCUMULATIONS...SNOW ACCUMULATION OF 18 TO 24 INCHES.

* TIMING...A LIGHT SNOW WILL BEGIN FALLING EARLY FRIDAY

MORNING...BUT CONDITIONS WILL RAPIDLY DETERIORATE FRIDAY

AFTERNOON AND CONTINUE THROUGH EARLY SATURDAY MORNING. SNOW WILL

BE HEAVY AT TIMES FRIDAY EVENING INTO SATURDAY MORNING.

* IMPACTS...SNOW COVERED ROADS AND LOW VISIBILITIES. BLOWING AND

DRIFTING SNOW IS LIKELY.

* WINDS...NORTH 15 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 45 MPH.

* VISIBILITIES...ONE QUARTER MILE OR LESS AT TIMES.

* TEMPERATURES...IN THE LOWER 20S.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A BLIZZARD WARNING MEANS SEVERE WINTER WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE

EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. FALLING AND BLOWING SNOW WITH STRONG WINDS

AND POOR VISIBILITIES ARE LIKELY. THIS WILL LEAD TO WHITEOUT

CONDITIONS...MAKING TRAVEL EXTREMELY DANGEROUS. DO NOT TRAVEL. IF

YOU MUST TRAVEL...HAVE A WINTER SURVIVAL KIT WITH YOU. IF YOU GET

STRANDED...STAY WITH YOUR VEHICLE.

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URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAY ME 256 PM EST THU FEB 7 2013 ...STRONG COASTAL STORM WITH SIGNIFICANT SNOW WILL AFFECT THE AREA STARTING FRIDAY MORNING AND LASTING INTO SATURDAY... .LOW PRESSURE WILL DEVELOP OFF THE MID ATLANTIC COAST TONIGHT. THIS LOW WILL THEN MOVE NORTHEASTWARD... PASSING JUST SOUTHEAST OF NANTUCKET LATE FRIDAY...THEN MOVE EAST FROM THERE ON SATURDAY. SIGNIFICANT SNOWFALL IS LIKELY WITH THIS SYSTEM...ESPECIALLY ACROSS SOUTHERN NEW HAMPSHIRE EASTWARD TO THE MAINE COAST. THE EVENTUAL TRACK AND SMALL SCALE FEATURES WITHIN THE STORM WILL DETERMINE EXACT SNOWFALL AMOUNTS. HOWEVER...A LARGE PORTION OF THE REGION WILL SEE A FOOT OR MORE OF SNOW...WITH LOCALIZED AMOUNTS APPROACHING TWO FEET OR MORE. IN ADDITION...THE RAPIDLY STRENGTHENING LOW PRESSURE WILL PRODUCE STRONG WINDS ALONG THE COAST...WITH WHITE OUT CONDITIONS AT TIMES. MEZ023-NHZ014-080400- /O.UPG.KGYX.WS.A.0002.130208T1700Z-130209T1700Z/ /O.NEW.KGYX.BZ.W.0001.130208T1900Z-130209T2100Z/ COASTAL YORK-COASTAL ROCKINGHAM- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BIDDEFORD...SACO...OLD ORCHARD BEACH... KITTERY...PORTSMOUTH...HAMPTON 256 PM EST THU FEB 7 2013 ...BLIZZARD WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 2 PM FRIDAY TO 4 PM EST SATURDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GRAY HAS ISSUED A BLIZZARD WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 2 PM FRIDAY TO 4 PM EST SATURDAY. THE WINTER STORM WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. * LOCATIONS...THE IMMEDIATE COAST OF NEW HAMPSHIRE AND COASTAL YORK COUNTY IN MAINE. * HAZARD TYPES...HEAVY SNOW WITH BLIZZARD CONDITIONS. * ACCUMULATIONS...SNOW ACCUMULATION OF 18 TO 24 INCHES. * TIMING...A LIGHT SNOW WILL BEGIN FALLING EARLY FRIDAY MORNING...BUT CONDITIONS WILL RAPIDLY DETERIORATE FRIDAY AFTERNOON AND CONTINUE THROUGH EARLY SATURDAY MORNING. SNOW WILL BE HEAVY AT TIMES FRIDAY EVENING INTO SATURDAY MORNING. * IMPACTS...SNOW COVERED ROADS AND LOW VISIBILITIES. BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW IS LIKELY. * WINDS...NORTH 15 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 45 MPH. * VISIBILITIES...ONE QUARTER MILE OR LESS AT TIMES. * TEMPERATURES...IN THE LOWER 20S. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A BLIZZARD WARNING MEANS SEVERE WINTER WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. FALLING AND BLOWING SNOW WITH STRONG WINDS AND POOR VISIBILITIES ARE LIKELY. THIS WILL LEAD TO WHITEOUT CONDITIONS...MAKING TRAVEL EXTREMELY DANGEROUS. DO NOT TRAVEL. IF YOU MUST TRAVEL...HAVE A WINTER SURVIVAL KIT WITH YOU. IF YOU GET STRANDED...STAY WITH YOUR VEHICLE.

 

YES.  Dreams are coming true.  :thumbsup:

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I really f n hate all of you!!!.....i kid, i kid. Congrats guys looks like a monster for sure. I get a high from the outside looking in, can't imagine the buzz if it was bearing down on me. Once in a liftime storm for some of you. Be safe & keep us on the outside updated with obs. I would wish you luck but most of you don't need it. 

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So were other past epic busts this far along when they happened or are we beyond the point of no return?

 

Depends what counts as a bust (would 10 inches be a bust in this storm?), but my feeling is that we are never past the point of no return.  That said, this storm has a huge margin for error given the size and intensity forecast, so a real fizzle seems very unlikely.

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terrified about the shadowing here..it seems like every model predicts it...the only hope i have is that the effects are worse north of here..i am on the southern spfd city limits

 

 

i may never live to see model runs again in my life like this and i just happen to live in the wrong place, i just cant get over how it doesnt matter how monsterous these storms are, they cannot overcome the berks and worcestor hills...you would think i lived surrounded by the cascades on one side and the alps on the other side.

 

its not so bad when its all southeast of here but when the goods are all around and youre on the outside looking in, it stings even more.

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