allgame830 Posted February 6, 2013 Share Posted February 6, 2013 so it seems like we have a pretty good agreement at this point. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IntenseBlizzard2014 Posted February 6, 2013 Share Posted February 6, 2013 I wonder what JFK has? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kaner587 Posted February 6, 2013 Share Posted February 6, 2013 next run ill let allsnow do the honors...sorry to confuse Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rossi Posted February 6, 2013 Share Posted February 6, 2013 Close to 1.50 of liquid on euro for NYC. More then half I would think is snow. More on Long Island All whats the snow amounts from central nj on north to nyc? Rossi Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 6, 2013 Share Posted February 6, 2013 It phased a little late but still a decent snowstorm for the area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted February 6, 2013 Share Posted February 6, 2013 next run ill let allsnow do the honors...sorry to confuse It's okay man. No worries. I will be sleeping anyway. Looks like 4-8/6-12 on euro. Sharp gradient from se-ne Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ericjcrash Posted February 6, 2013 Share Posted February 6, 2013 Damn you Boston, epic snow there, Congrats E LI, I'll take this 5-10" in a heartbeat. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dsnowx53 Posted February 6, 2013 Share Posted February 6, 2013 Close to 1.50 of liquid on euro for NYC. More then half I would think is snow. More on Long Island Not a bad run at all. But I was expecting the Euro to cut snow amounts by 25%, not by 50%. Looks like perhaps 7-10" for NYC, a perhaps a tad less for western suburbs, 8-12" for Nassau County and 12-18" for E LI based on a quick glance. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
96blizz Posted February 6, 2013 Share Posted February 6, 2013 Any input on NW NJ? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted February 6, 2013 Share Posted February 6, 2013 All whats the snow amounts from central nj on north to nyc? Rossi 3-6/4-8...not a lot of rain to start anymore. Most if not all of our preciep comes from costal Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PB GFI Posted February 6, 2013 Share Posted February 6, 2013 Not a bad run at all. But I was expecting the Euro to cut snow amounts by 25%, not by 50%. Looks like perhaps 7-10" for NYC, a perhaps a tad less for western suburbs, 8-12" for Nassau County and 12-18" for E LI based on a quick glance. Yeh and with wind out on LI Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IntenseBlizzard2014 Posted February 6, 2013 Share Posted February 6, 2013 Also, what does LGA have? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kaner587 Posted February 6, 2013 Share Posted February 6, 2013 the initial moisture is for sure slop, but there definitely isn't much of it before the CCB kicks into gear Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted February 6, 2013 Share Posted February 6, 2013 Not a bad run at all. But I was expecting the Euro to cut snow amounts by 25%, not by 50%. Looks like perhaps 7-10" for NYC, a perhaps a tad less for western suburbs, 8-12" for Nassau County and 12-18" for E LI based on a quick glance. Yeah I'm happy with the run, just would hate to see amounts cut as we go forward. This run looks a lot like 00z euro ens. Orhwx was correct in saying he felt the phase happen to early in this pattern. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted February 6, 2013 Share Posted February 6, 2013 A little slower on the Phase than the same map from yesterday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IntenseBlizzard2014 Posted February 6, 2013 Share Posted February 6, 2013 It's okay man. No worries. I will be sleeping anyway. Looks like 4-8/6-12 on euro. Sharp gradient from se-ne I think you meant SW to NE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted February 6, 2013 Share Posted February 6, 2013 I think you meant SW to NE. Yes sorry lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Zelocita Weather Posted February 6, 2013 Share Posted February 6, 2013 So now we have for N NJ/NYC... GFS- 3-6/4-8"EURO- 4-8"/6-10" GGEM- 2-4"/3-6" UKIE- 3-6"? Pretty good agreement at this point....Borderline warning type deal for us....except C/E LI where more... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted February 6, 2013 Share Posted February 6, 2013 Not a bad run at all. But I was expecting the Euro to cut snow amounts by 25%, not by 50%. Looks like perhaps 7-10" for NYC, a perhaps a tad less for western suburbs, 8-12" for Nassau County and 12-18" for E LI based on a quick glance. Believable though, given the progressive tendencies this winter. This is still one that can definitely escape most of us. Any further east or a later phase and we're looking at the glorified cold front again. If we had any kind of blocking regime in place I'd be honking like crazy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PB GFI Posted February 6, 2013 Share Posted February 6, 2013 A little slower on the Phase than the same map from yesterday. f48.gif f72.gif yeh but its prob 75 miles east , so 850`s a little better , and as it is , it still may be close to 1.50 qpf and its a little colder . - I dont know how keep the qpf , with a slower phase and a slighty less deep storm than at 0z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted February 6, 2013 Share Posted February 6, 2013 Upton would prob be the big winner in our metro area Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted February 6, 2013 Share Posted February 6, 2013 this could wind up not being much of an event for us. the waves need to come into phase sooner than what's shown on the models right now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted February 6, 2013 Share Posted February 6, 2013 yeh but its prob 75 miles east , so 850`s a little better , and as it is , it still may be close to 1.50 qpf and its a little colder . - I dont know how keep the qpf , with a slower phase and a slighty less deep storm than at 0z Either way, the Euro still gets the points in my book for seeing the southern stream development potential while the GFS was flat. But the Euro's weakness is in exactly this type of pattern when it tries to phase to quickly. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Metsfan Posted February 6, 2013 Share Posted February 6, 2013 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PB GFI Posted February 6, 2013 Share Posted February 6, 2013 Either way, the Euro still gets the points in my book for seeing the southern stream development potential while the GFS was flat. Its embedded in the model SE bias , cant be helped ...Euro and JMA 1.50 ish over NYC - mostly frozen , insane considering where we came from with this . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted February 6, 2013 Share Posted February 6, 2013 this could wind up not being much of an event for us It really has big bust potential Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SR Airglow Posted February 6, 2013 Share Posted February 6, 2013 Stamford is ~12 on the EURO, correct? -skisheep Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted February 6, 2013 Share Posted February 6, 2013 We still get a nice snow event. That's all that matters. It still has to be monitored very closely-the Euro was quite close to having this be too progressive for much snow here at all and going back to an exclusively New England event. 0z tonight should hopefully give us all more clarity, if the Euro trends east again I'd be about ready to write it off given how insanely progressive this winter has been. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PB GFI Posted February 6, 2013 Share Posted February 6, 2013 One thing on this run that popped up that i saw - and maybe its ticky tacky but its a little swing wide right - small only about 75 miles east of the 0z guidance , then it gets captured so its a cold run with that solution . lets hope thats not a trend , The GFS will cool . It`s all in the timing , mayb its nothing , but im just looking at what can go wrong thats all . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rossi Posted February 6, 2013 Share Posted February 6, 2013 From DT and I quote - *** ALERT*** ALERT *** 12Z WED EURO HOLDS COURSE .. does NOT SHIFT THINGS ONE BIT ... HISTORIC SNOW STORM LIKELY FOR EASTERN NEW ENGLAND..MAJOR SNOW *** POSSIBLE *** IN NYC -- still uncertainty as to how much) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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