WE GOT HIM Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 I actually would not be surprised if the 0z Euro actually trends to it's 12z ensembles. We'll have to wait and see. Yea exactly, there were surprising strong Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kaner587 Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 on b and w maps ggem looks pretty decent and would def result in its snowiest run yet for us Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StatenWx Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 I actually would not be surprised if the 0z Euro actually trends to it's 12z ensembles. We'll have to wait and see. What were the 12z ensembles please refresh my mind I just woke up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kaner587 Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 60hr throws back some mod snow but its further east than the gfs and likely less qpf http://www.weatheroffice.gc.ca/data/model_forecast/695_100.gif close to 20mm in the city, or 0.8 not bad Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mitchel Volk Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 Sorry the 60hr GEM crushes NYC, a blizzard, Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WE GOT HIM Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 Nice nice, Looks more like the cold wont be the main issue anymore, now it will be how much liquid Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 Decent burst of snow on the back side of the low on the Ggem, but like the other models it looks like a late phaser and the crazy totals go to eastern MA. (Edit-looks more impressive than at first glance) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wxoutlooksblog Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 If the Euro doesn't budge , then it's a wrap for me. How many times do pp have to see this model have to hit a big ticket items before they buy it . Most in the private forecasting sector base so much of what they do off it and their revenue streams speak for themselves Maybe this time after being rock steady for 4 days , this is the time it blows up , but like I said if its a carbon copy of it's previous runs its done. I'm inclined to agree. WX/PT Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sn0waddict Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 It's east, but I would think a 976 on the BM would still be a great hit. If anything, it probably would mean a colder solution too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WE GOT HIM Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 What were the 12z ensembles please refresh my mind I just woke up. They were just as amped as the 0z maybe slightly more Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dbc Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 What were the 12z ensembles please refresh my mind I just woke up. The Megatron of snowstorms for most of us in NYC metro. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kaner587 Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 It's east, but I would think a 976 on the BM would still be a great hit. If anything, it probably would mean a colder solution too. yes yes and yes. Definitely a later phase but we get a solid hit from the ggem Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sn0waddict Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 yes yes and yes. Definitely a later phase but we get a solid hit from the ggem I'm assuming it's more amped than 12z? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PB GFI Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 Decent burst of snow on the back side of the low on the Ggem, but like the other models it looks like a late phaser and the crazy totals go to eastern MA. (Edit-looks more impressive than at first glance) 8 to 10. Hard to ask for better than that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 on a side note the gfs trended colder for the valentines/feb 15th storm... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kaner587 Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 I'm assuming it's more amped than 12z? in the end possibly but further east. We were rain for a good deal of the ggem, although the ewall maps made it seem like there would be more snow than those precip type maps indicated. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StatenWx Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 What time does the euro come out at? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 8 to 10. Hard to ask for better than that. My concern is if this is it or if the trend continues to a later phase. It seems as if models are finally catching onto more of a CAD signature over us, so maybe more front end snow, but the southern energy seems to be getting faster on each run. It's just very tough for me to imagine us getting a significant event with a late phase east of New England. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WE GOT HIM Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 What time does the euro come out at? we should have the data by 1:10am Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kaner587 Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 What time does the euro come out at? bookmark this lol but it starts at 1250 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 What time does the euro come out at? http://www.americanwx.com/bb/index.php/topic/39231-model-info/ 12:45 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sn0waddict Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 My concern is if this is it or if the trend continues to a later phase. It seems as if models are finally catching onto more of a CAD signature over us, so maybe more front end snow, but the southern energy seems to be getting faster on each run. It's just very tough for me to imagine us getting a significant event with a late phase east of New England. What time does the euro come out at? Probably by 1:00am GFS ensembles should be coming out very soon though Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 Anyone know if new data is going into the models in anticipation of the storm? I.e. weather balloons? all features are inland so don't think so besides the standard sampling, but there is a site that usually has that info, maybe someone has the link. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 The Euro could be tricky tonight with both Ewall down and Alan Huffman's page not having updated in a couple of cycles now, it may be a tombo kinda night. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PB GFI Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 My concern is if this is it or if the trend continues to a later phase. It seems as if models are finally catching onto more of a CAD signature over us, so maybe more front end snow, but the southern energy seems to be getting faster on each run. It's just very tough for me to imagine us getting a significant event with a late phase east of New England. I think what you are seeing is less of a bomb. But colder aloft and at the surface. CCB signal is still there just not as robust and you are seeing 75 25 frozen now on some models instead of a 50 50 split. So you still print out 8 inches. Just get there a little differently. See what euro says Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chris L Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 The Megatron of snowstorms for most of us in NYC metro. Well, that's a little extreme, but top 10 storm lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 can you post the link for the site to view the full loop? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
uofmiami Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 all features are inland so don't think so besides the standard sampling, but there is a site that usually has that info, maybe someone has the link. NOUS42 KWNO 070259ADMNFDSENIOR DUTY METEOROLOGIST NWS ADMINISTRATIVE MESSAGENWS NCEP CENTRAL OPERATIONS COLLEGE PARK MD0256Z THU FEB 07 2013THE 00Z GFS MODEL STARTED ON TIME. IN ADDITION TO GOOD NORTHAMERICAN RAOB COVERAGE...10 GULF OF MEXICO DROPSONDES AND 13FLIGHT LEVEL REPORTS WERE AVAILABLE FOR MODEL INGEST COURTESY OFA USAF RESERVE WINTER STORM RECONNAISSANCE MISSION.HANDEL/SDM/NCO/NCEP Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ace0927 Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 The Euro could be tricky tonight with both Ewall down and Alan Huffman's page not having updated in a couple of cycles now, it may be a tombo kinda night. Plymouth State http://vortex.plymouth.edu/make.html Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
atownwxwatcher Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 The Euro could be tricky tonight with both Ewall down and Alan Huffman's page not having updated in a couple of cycles now, it may be a tombo kinda night. Allan Huffmans page is working cause the GFS has updated... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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