PB GFI Posted February 6, 2013 Share Posted February 6, 2013 Baby steps to the Euro . not there yet , but you have to admit , it get gets slightly better each suite . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted February 6, 2013 Share Posted February 6, 2013 It's also colder this run through 48. A run that phases earlier will be colder, since the warm air supply is cut off due to the primary dying. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted February 6, 2013 Share Posted February 6, 2013 Hr 57 992 east of acy. Everyone is rain so far Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
earthlight Posted February 6, 2013 Author Share Posted February 6, 2013 Phase and plenty of precipitation at 57 hours..but too warm for snow from 850 through 925 hPa. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted February 6, 2013 Share Posted February 6, 2013 Hr 60 Long Island into the Ccb... One would think they would flip to snow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
earthlight Posted February 6, 2013 Author Share Posted February 6, 2013 It's not incredibly dissimilar from the Euro at 60 hours now. The CCB is right on Long Island.It's just a degree or two warmer in the lower levels and that takes away the big snow totals in that area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snow_Miser Posted February 6, 2013 Share Posted February 6, 2013 This is really really close to being a decent snowstorm. As John said, the 850 hPa temperature is just barely too warm for snow this frame at hour 60: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dsnowx53 Posted February 6, 2013 Share Posted February 6, 2013 This is greatly improved from the 00z and 06z GFS runs. Still won't be a Euro solution, though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted February 6, 2013 Share Posted February 6, 2013 Hr 66 backend snows for all. Sne getting crushed Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PB GFI Posted February 6, 2013 Share Posted February 6, 2013 Once agian this really zero`s in on SNE - they are an absolute lock there . we are talking 6 hr phasing difference between the Euro and GFS . The GFS has really come to the Euro , another small nudge and there`s the difference Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
earthlight Posted February 6, 2013 Author Share Posted February 6, 2013 Looks like everyone gets into it at 63-66 hours...the QPF from the CCB development alone that is thrown back over our area could border on significant snows. The storm is stalled out and sitting over the benchmark at that time...by all means this now looks like a significant snowstorm for many. Southern New England buried. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
friedmators Posted February 6, 2013 Share Posted February 6, 2013 Closed 850 from the primary makes it into NY. That can't be good. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted February 6, 2013 Share Posted February 6, 2013 Hr 69 mod snow for city and Long Island Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wxoutlooksblog Posted February 6, 2013 Share Posted February 6, 2013 Hr 60 Long Island into the Ccb... One would think they would flip to snow Almost but not quite yet. Next 3 hours. But this is moving toward the ECMWF, that's the important thing at this point. WX/PT Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted February 6, 2013 Share Posted February 6, 2013 That high is in a great spot for CAD. I expect the gfs to come in colder the next few runs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rossi Posted February 6, 2013 Share Posted February 6, 2013 Hr 69 mod snow for city and Long Island how far south does it extend? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted February 6, 2013 Share Posted February 6, 2013 Hr 72 still snowing. 988 low stalled Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
earthlight Posted February 6, 2013 Author Share Posted February 6, 2013 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dsnowx53 Posted February 6, 2013 Share Posted February 6, 2013 This looks like yesterday's 12z Euro to a tee. Exactly what I was expecting and hoping for. Great trend. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted February 6, 2013 Share Posted February 6, 2013 how far south does it extend? Ttn Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
friedmators Posted February 6, 2013 Share Posted February 6, 2013 how far south does it extend? Route 78 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JSantanaNYC Posted February 6, 2013 Share Posted February 6, 2013 How many inches of snow..does the Euro gives NNJ? (NYC and West) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted February 6, 2013 Share Posted February 6, 2013 Gfs has 1.5-2 of liquid for Boston. More realistic imo Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wxoutlooksblog Posted February 6, 2013 Share Posted February 6, 2013 That high is in a great spot for CAD. I expect the gfs to come in colder the next few runs. Totally agree! WX/PT Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted February 6, 2013 Share Posted February 6, 2013 How many inches of snow..does the Euro gives NNJ? (NYC and West) 12+ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted February 6, 2013 Share Posted February 6, 2013 It's very close, we just need a slightly earlier phase and we're golden. However on this run it still looks like we might get near warning criteria. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Zir0b Posted February 6, 2013 Share Posted February 6, 2013 Baby steps to the Euro . not there yet , but you have to admit , it get gets slightly better each suite . We need more than baby steps to get the Euro solution... phase timing is about 60 hours from now... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted February 6, 2013 Share Posted February 6, 2013 The primary hangs on just a little too long and warms some of us up just a little too much. I really would think the dynamics would flip most of us over to snow though as the phase happens-the column would likely go isothermal. Hard for me to buy that much of that would be rain if we really get into the good CCB activity. Liking what I'm seeing so far here. Long Island though would likely do better than N/W areas. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Zelocita Weather Posted February 6, 2013 Share Posted February 6, 2013 Verbatim looks like a 3-6/4-8" snowstorm for most north of Rt.78 on this run... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
supermeh Posted February 6, 2013 Share Posted February 6, 2013 GFS just gave support to the euro. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.