thunderbolt Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 how much of that would be rain? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 how much of that would be rain? for where? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
famartin Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 lol regardless ray, ttn is over 3 inches of qpf right now lol. Its still going to be a dump on this run at some point. 2/3 to 3/4 of that is rain, but its still a lot of snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 ray, philly is pretty much isothermal at hr 24...so basically anything from hr 24 on is frozen there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chubbs Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 Still nice snows in SE Pa at hour 33 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
thunderbolt Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 my bad langhorne Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AllWeather Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 lol regardless ray, ttn is over 3 inches of qpf right now lol. Its still going to be a dump on this run at some point. Juicy Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rickrd Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 Theres some weak warm tongues that move in, temps maybe a half degree above freezing, from 15-21. 12 is cold and 24 is cold. So that would say you may mix with sleet/rain which would cut totals between 12 and 24. Thanx much. Much more QPF this run for Eastern PA. WOW. I would be amazed if it verifies. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Animal Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 2/3 to 3/4 of that is rain, but its still a lot of snow. 2/3 to 3/4 of that is rain, but its still a lot of snow. would you not think the dynamics kick it over to snow? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sunny and Warm Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 FWIW, this storm was a strong performer here in SC. Easily meeting or exceeding model forecasts. Most generalized rain we've had in quite some time. Good luck up there you guys. Would love to experience it again, but glad I don't have to shovel it or drive in it anymore. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
famartin Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 ray, philly is pretty much isothermal at hr 24...so basically anything from hr 24 on is frozen there. Yeah looks like ~9" at PHL, 13" at TTN. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 my bad langhorne you flip at hr 24, so all precip from hr 24 and on is frozen. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chubbs Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 Difficult to determine details with tight qpf gradients and ptype issues but looks better overall for most of our area Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
famartin Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 would you not think the dynamics kick it over to snow? Warm air is from the FGEN most likely. Thus the same process which gets you the huge QPF is what is making it rain. I could see dynamics saving ABE from mixing, but it looks like TTN is on the wrong side.... on this run, anyway. Its still 13" of snow at the end. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 Yeah looks like ~9" at PHL, 13" at TTN. Not bad, but i obv think this is way to wet. Nothing is even close to these numbers. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 4.5" QPF Monmouth County Bullseye Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chubbs Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 Going to be some amazing totals in NE NJ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
famartin Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 Not bad, but i obv think this is way to wet. Nothing is even close to these numbers. OK this is just plain weird... you saw the sounding I posted before... now I check back and I get this... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
anthonyweather Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 Qpf total for Abe tombo? Sorry I'm on the road Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 OK this is just plain weird... you saw the sounding I posted before... now I check back and I get this... Is that warm nose at 950mb a huge deal or just mean wet snow? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 OK this is just plain weird... you saw the sounding I posted before... now I check back and I get this... thats what i thought ray, now say you are sorry to me.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RowanBrandon Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 Qpf total for Abe tombo? Sorry I'm on the road 1.81" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 So from this run, colder, wetter no? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chubbs Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 Hate to ask but are things looking better on this run for northern DE? Yes a little better maybe 4-6 instead of 2-4 just a wild guess Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 So from this run, colder, wetter no? its definitely wetter, its warmer to start then prob is about the same to maybe a hair colder since their is a ton of lift and forcing going on with the ccb over us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 The mighty CRAS model is stalling the system off the Jersey coast fwiw (which isnt much). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tcutter Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 The might CRAS model is stalling the system off the Jersey coast fwiw (which isnt much). i take it that its not a very reliable model? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Quakertown needs snow Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 insane precip on nam. when it snows it will snow hard. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
blizzardlover Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 Yes a little better maybe 4-6 instead of 2-4 just a wild guess NAM clown map was showing 6-8" for us..not sure I believe it, but this is def better than yesterday when the idea was maybe 1" or so.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 i take it that its not a very reliable model? Not really. It dryslot NYC and crushes central PA. I think it's wrong :-) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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