ctsnowstorm628 Posted February 6, 2013 Share Posted February 6, 2013 I have a 9 and I'll be up. Banking on a day off Friday. Lsc won't close with my luck. 3-6"/4-8" per gfs wont cut it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 6, 2013 Share Posted February 6, 2013 Nice! All aboard the MECS train. I think we can start considering a MECS as better than 50/50 if the Euro comes in impressive again (obviously doesn't need to produce the biggest snowstorm on record for BOS again, but a big solution) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted February 6, 2013 Share Posted February 6, 2013 First legit threat for big snows in 2+ years for Boston. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
andyhb Posted February 6, 2013 Share Posted February 6, 2013 GGEM crushes Western and Central MA/Northern CT. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
N. OF PIKE Posted February 6, 2013 Share Posted February 6, 2013 So who will let this central PA guy crash on the couch for this monster? Good luck all, this looks amazing for many of you! dude you can a hotel for 50 bucks, go to route 1 just n of bos. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted February 6, 2013 Share Posted February 6, 2013 Off to bed. Well as Will said its doubtful the euro will give us the biggest snow ever but I will not be too surprised if it more or less holds the theme considering all the other guidance. I'll catch it at 6am. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherMA Posted February 6, 2013 Share Posted February 6, 2013 Lsc won't close with my luck. 3-6"/4-8" per gfs wont cut it. Yeah Idk. I mean we closed with that 3-4" storm like 8 days ago so who knows lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 6, 2013 Share Posted February 6, 2013 Such weird things on the GFS. It's like the pockets of intense VVs really screw around with precip distribution...an ode to the dynamic system that the GFS portrays. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eduggs Posted February 6, 2013 Share Posted February 6, 2013 Canadian is pretty sweet. More widespread than the GFS. Mid and upper levels looks much closer to the phased solution. But through 72hrs is actually looks drier than the past few runs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
joey2002 Posted February 6, 2013 Share Posted February 6, 2013 Yeah Idk. I mean we closed with that 3-4" storm like 8 days ago so who knows lol. UConn cancelled PM classes last Monday for 1.5" of snow/freezing rain... lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
N. OF PIKE Posted February 6, 2013 Share Posted February 6, 2013 seeing canadian very amp'd doesn't really bother me wrt to mixing in bos, i would more concern'd if canadian WASN't amp'd. and OT but the snow tonite is accumulating much faster than it did on sunday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
joey2002 Posted February 6, 2013 Share Posted February 6, 2013 What's wrong with the Raleigh model page? Still only at 60 hours with the 00z GFS... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OSUmetstud Posted February 6, 2013 Share Posted February 6, 2013 I think the pressure gradient depicted on the 12z euro was greater than the one in 78. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SlantStickers Anonymous Posted February 6, 2013 Share Posted February 6, 2013 "Blizzard option still on the table." Much more appropriate with this system, will be waking up to check out the 00z reports. This system could very easily make up for a the pain of the bos-north snow drought. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 6, 2013 Share Posted February 6, 2013 GEFS have a lot of spread and a good distance SE of the op. It has a rather large MSLP contour near the center meaning members are probably spread out. No surprise that the GEFS are like that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hazey Posted February 6, 2013 Share Posted February 6, 2013 The gfs and ggem destroys my place. 20-30" per weenie snow maps This has that Jan 2005 vibe. Where we all get hammered. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 6, 2013 Share Posted February 6, 2013 I think the pressure gradient depicted on the 12z euro was greater than the one in 78. Well it WAS producing hurricane force sustained on the Cape, lol. That was as an obscene scenario as I have ever seen on the Euro...esp for this close to the event. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
andyhb Posted February 6, 2013 Share Posted February 6, 2013 I think the pressure gradient depicted on the 12z euro was greater than the one in 78. I believe you are correct, based on looking at the 20th Century Reanalysis maps, the deepest that got around the same position as the 12z Euro was somewhere in the 980s hPa, and the pressure gradient on the backside definitely looks tighter with the 12z Euro. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
N. OF PIKE Posted February 6, 2013 Share Posted February 6, 2013 weenie question. where did jan 05 track wrt to bench mark and blizz of 78 wrt to same question. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted February 6, 2013 Share Posted February 6, 2013 "But, the variations are subtle - it is just as likely that the next cycle run will have corrected back and probably will, and it probably will correct back even more. " post 1379 of the other thread - this is just an oscillation along a struggle to come to a conclusion. This system is clearly not yet resolved. It's interesting that this run did come the closest of GFS solution yet, but is less in the QPF bull's eye. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OSUmetstud Posted February 6, 2013 Share Posted February 6, 2013 weenie question. where did jan 05 track wrt to bench mark and blizz of 78 wrt to same question. i think 78 was inside. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 6, 2013 Share Posted February 6, 2013 weenie question. where did jan 05 track wrt to bench mark and blizz of 78 wrt to same question. I think both tracked almost directly over it. Within 25 mi anyway. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheSnowman Posted February 6, 2013 Share Posted February 6, 2013 So who will let this central PA guy crash on the couch for this monster? Good luck all, this looks amazing for many of you! Boston Fan? You can stay here! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Arnold214 Posted February 6, 2013 Share Posted February 6, 2013 Lsc won't close with my luck. 3-6"/4-8" per gfs wont cut it. When I was there they only closed once for weather I think. I think it was a snow to ice event in 98 or 99. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted February 6, 2013 Share Posted February 6, 2013 I believe you are correct, based on looking at the 20th Century Reanalysis maps, the deepest that got around the same position as the 12z Euro was somewhere in the 980s hPa, and the pressure gradient on the backside definitely looks tighter with the 12z Euro. That graphic is misleading and this event as does is significantly less than the same gradient. 1978 had a 1052mb high over southern James Bay when the cyclone deepened into the upper 970s at it's greatest depth - check that, but it's not far off. That's a static gradient of almost 80mbs! This system is 1032mb with the high, and in deepest case scenario (Euro) it get to 973, ~ 30mb less. Still, it's impressive, but this is no comparison. Also, just fyi - seeing as it's been mentioned. 1978 could be argued as a triple stream, full latitude phase that resulted in maximum closure, ideally, in a transitioning NAO that assisted a stall. This doesn't have that bucket of ice on its side. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Max Posted February 6, 2013 Share Posted February 6, 2013 When I was there they only closed once for weather I think. I think it was a snow to ice event in 98 or 99. We closed for the March blizzard in 2011. Was epic! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ctsnowstorm628 Posted February 6, 2013 Share Posted February 6, 2013 We closed for the March blizzard in 2011. Was epic! And we closed 2/2/11 for 10" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 6, 2013 Share Posted February 6, 2013 That graphic is misleading and this event as does is significantly less than the same gradient. 1978 had a 1052mb high over southern James Bay when the cyclone deepened into the upper 970s at it's greatest depth - check that, but it's not far off. That's a static gradient of almost 80mbs! This system is 1032mb with the high, and in deepest case scenario (Euro) it get to 973, ~ 30mb less. Still, it's impressive, but this is no comparison. Also, just fyi - seeing as it's been mentioned. 1978 could be argued as a triple stream, full latitude phase that resulted in maximum closure, ideally, in a transitioning NAO that assisted a stall. This doesn't have that bucket of ice on its side. '78 peaked at 984mb near the BM. Also the Euro depiction had a 978 low or so with a 1038 in central Quebec...its pretty close when take into account the distance the high was in '78. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 6, 2013 Share Posted February 6, 2013 GEFS mean is about 1.6" of QPF for BOS...pretty impressive. Some spread still in there though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OSUmetstud Posted February 6, 2013 Share Posted February 6, 2013 '78 peaked at 984mb near the BM. Also the Euro depiction had a 978 low or so with a 1038 in central Quebec...its pretty close when take into account the distance the high was in '78. euro was 972 on the wunderground maps lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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