dryslot Posted February 6, 2013 Author Share Posted February 6, 2013 You could double your season total... We will get closer to climo Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Johnno Posted February 6, 2013 Share Posted February 6, 2013 Ugh I feel like such a turncoat. I'll be in Simsbury, CT for Saturday KBDL 18z GFS prec (1).png You'll be right next door, hopefully we rock Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted February 6, 2013 Share Posted February 6, 2013 Top 10 Boston snow event? Can we get a top 5? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted February 6, 2013 Share Posted February 6, 2013 So Sam you think the Cape will mix for a long period of time? Why only 3-6"? Stop talking about the god damn cape It's a great place. Stop you're whining. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
N. OF PIKE Posted February 6, 2013 Share Posted February 6, 2013 Still a nice look. Boy though that's a close call to something that stinks. Mess up that phase by a few hours and uh oh. since i was busy today, just saw a comment by will that this was a later capture and further east is still on table and then this post by ryan. were the euro ens W a tick of OP? edit i guess they were a nice tick W. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
free_man Posted February 6, 2013 Share Posted February 6, 2013 It's a great place. Stop you're whining. 8"/hr coming for the Cape, like in '05? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
educate Posted February 6, 2013 Share Posted February 6, 2013 channel 5 hour by hour snowfall totals for new england. un..freakin..believable! http://www.wcvb.com/weather/-/9850416/17313882/-/48gdds/-/index.html I am saving some of this stuff, May never see it again Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ryan Posted February 6, 2013 Share Posted February 6, 2013 channel 5 hour by hour snowfall totals for new england. un..freakin..believable! http://www.wcvb.com/weather/-/9850416/17313882/-/48gdds/-/index.html That's the RPM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted February 6, 2013 Share Posted February 6, 2013 Euro had a massive deformation signal for the foothills area on the 00z run, I didn't get a chance to peek too much at the 12z because we were really into it with the collaboration and phone calls. The potential for banding is really off the charts. And that snow totals map I came up with today was a bear. I mean it's hard to come up with something that doesn't look clownish, with the modeled QPF out there. That's probably a 80ish percent QPF to snow using a SREF/ECMWF blend to get the original QPF grid. What a challenging job you guys have .... jeebus. Somebody gets 3 feet+ but who will it be? I assume there will be an insane deformation band way north and west...like there usually is. And then you have to figure ratios, which will probably be better up here than down in E MA. 2 inches of qpf could be 30 inches of snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 6, 2013 Author Share Posted February 6, 2013 channel 5 hour by hour snowfall totals for new england. un..freakin..believable! http://www.wcvb.com/weather/-/9850416/17313882/-/48gdds/-/index.html Yup, You have to, Even if it does not verify Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
free_man Posted February 6, 2013 Share Posted February 6, 2013 channel 5 hour by hour snowfall totals for new england. un..freakin..believable! http://www.wcvb.com/weather/-/9850416/17313882/-/48gdds/-/index.html 37.3" for psm. that'd be pretty insane. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Spoons56 Posted February 6, 2013 Share Posted February 6, 2013 Was looking at the top 10 chart for Worcester snowstorms earlier. Liking this one's chances to crack the top 10 (20.2"), with an outside chance at top 3 (25.0"). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Superstorm93 Posted February 6, 2013 Share Posted February 6, 2013 channel 5 hour by hour snowfall totals for new england. un..freakin..believable! http://www.wcvb.com/weather/-/9850416/17313882/-/48gdds/-/index.html lol I love the little disclaimer at the beginning. If I had to hazard a guess, that would be the RPM. Highly doubt, we see a joint sub-forum BECS, but the potential is increasing for very significant amounts further south than previously thought. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
educate Posted February 6, 2013 Share Posted February 6, 2013 and it is still snowing! 37.3" for psm. that'd be pretty insane. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted February 6, 2013 Share Posted February 6, 2013 It's a great place. Stop you're whining. 8"/hr coming for the Cape, like in '05? Wind will be comparable I think. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
phil882 Posted February 6, 2013 Share Posted February 6, 2013 The 15Z NMMM though was way closer to the coast with SFC LOW at least, the thing that made zero sense to me on the 15Z NMMM was how the CCB did not wrap back across NJ and NYC, that was highly suspicious given the surface low placement. Some of the 15z NMM runs actually do have a huge precipitation shield extending well into MA. However, some also look like the 18z NAM. Its clear that the ARW were some of the most amplified runs, emphasizing the northern stream shortwave over the southern stream shortwave and forcing the southern stream to swing northward before phasing. In fact a lot of the ARW members keep Boston from getting 40+ totals due to lots of mixing and rain in the first 1/3 of the event. At this point, there is still a large spread in totals for the coastal area of New England due to the timing of the phasing. The trend today though has been markedly west from yesterday. The NMM members and NMB members are much more in line with the 500 hPa depiction on the 18z NAM. The ARW are on the westward envelope of the guidance, but tend to be a closer match to the 500 hPa pattern depicted from the 18z GFS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 6, 2013 Share Posted February 6, 2013 There is zero doubt in my mind this will have a deform band in western areas. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ger Posted February 6, 2013 Share Posted February 6, 2013 I know this is banter, but I want to wish BOS & Environs the very best of wishes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SJonesWX Posted February 6, 2013 Share Posted February 6, 2013 channel 5 hour by hour snowfall totals for new england. un..freakin..believable! http://www.wcvb.com/weather/-/9850416/17313882/-/48gdds/-/index.html 37.3 at Portsmouth, and 15.8 at CON. a 22" spread like 40 miles apart? thats one hell of a gradient! lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 6, 2013 Author Share Posted February 6, 2013 There is zero doubt in my mind this will have a deform band in western areas. You finally look to get to enjoy something special Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 6, 2013 Share Posted February 6, 2013 Those ARW members have been amped up since the birth of time. I remember the NAM in jan 2011 did the same and tried to give NYC another 12/26/10. Ease off the ARW IMO. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 6, 2013 Share Posted February 6, 2013 You finally look to get to enjoy something special Don't even care about jackpot, 12"+ and 50kt winds are all I want. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 6, 2013 Share Posted February 6, 2013 Eastern PYM county may be phucked. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 6, 2013 Share Posted February 6, 2013 Already told my folks to get the genny ready. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 6, 2013 Author Share Posted February 6, 2013 Don't even care about jackpot, 12"+ and 50kt winds are all I want. I never care to jackpot, I will be able to ride again, That's all that matters to me Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Superstorm93 Posted February 6, 2013 Share Posted February 6, 2013 Really liking the potential for widespread blizzard conditions over NE. 4km NAM really looks vicious Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted February 6, 2013 Share Posted February 6, 2013 37.3" for psm. that'd be pretty insane. BDR beats BOS. It's the RPM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 6, 2013 Share Posted February 6, 2013 18z RPM was beyond epic here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowMan Posted February 6, 2013 Share Posted February 6, 2013 I hope this comes a little more NW so I can get into some of the epic stuff. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted February 6, 2013 Share Posted February 6, 2013 Already told my folks to get the genny ready.Power outages going to be a real problem. I feel. 4-8" is a safe play here. Mixing/flat out changeover and maybe some other issues if it phased a bit later.It feels more like this storm is starting Thursday not Friday based on the excitement. Still a lot of time left in a delicate situation. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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