CT Rain Posted February 6, 2013 Share Posted February 6, 2013 Sleet issues for south coast and up to say HFD/PVD but a blizzard for Boston. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted February 6, 2013 Share Posted February 6, 2013 good run for most of SNE but some areas taint, unlike previous runs, still all systems go! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 6, 2013 Share Posted February 6, 2013 Kaboom , just kaboom, great inflow from the banana high. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MarkO Posted February 6, 2013 Share Posted February 6, 2013 00hr GFS looks like it passes over the benchmark. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SlantStickers Anonymous Posted February 6, 2013 Share Posted February 6, 2013 Sleet issues for south coast and up to say HFD/PVD but a blizzard for Boston. Oh my dear lord. Lets skip to Thursday night lol? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sn0waddict Posted February 6, 2013 Share Posted February 6, 2013 Sleet issues for south coast and up to say HFD/PVD but a blizzard for Boston. Ugh here we go again. We need a happy medium here(aka the Euro track). Does all the good stuff move out by the time temps crash? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted February 6, 2013 Share Posted February 6, 2013 won't be surprised if Euro comes west a bit and we end up with 980ish near CC Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted February 6, 2013 Share Posted February 6, 2013 Kaboom , just kaboom, great inflow from the banana high. May be some subsidence issues here in CT but it's a good run no doubt. Sleet and subsidence will be the things to watch. Thinking our odds of 6"+ have ticked up again. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted February 6, 2013 Share Posted February 6, 2013 Ugh here we go again. We need a happy medium here(aka the Euro track). Does all the good stuff move out by the time temps crash? Well it's a somewhat unusual setup so we tug a lot of mid level warmth up early. So it's going to be a close call no matter what the track for S CT. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted February 6, 2013 Share Posted February 6, 2013 May be some subsidence issues here in CT but it's a good run no doubt. Sleet and subsidence will be the things to watch. Thinking our odds of 6"+ have ticked up again. odds of 12"+ also I think. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowMan Posted February 6, 2013 Share Posted February 6, 2013 won't be surprised if Euro comes west a bit and we end up with 980ish near CC Probably wont come that far West. Maybe between Ack and the BM. Good to see the GFS come in even better... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherMA Posted February 6, 2013 Share Posted February 6, 2013 I'll buy what the GFS is selling. "Only" 6-10 up here verbatim but could be more with a deform band or any tick NW. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ctsnowstorm628 Posted February 6, 2013 Share Posted February 6, 2013 yeah def some sleet taint in SNE. Warning event though for everyone. Even NNE is -8C or colder at 850 throughout..should be a fluff bomb for them. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherMA Posted February 6, 2013 Share Posted February 6, 2013 won't be surprised if Euro comes west a bit and we end up with 980ish near CC Maybe 4" to CON this run? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 6, 2013 Author Share Posted February 6, 2013 Precip wise looks pretty similar to that HPC map i posted in the locked thread Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ctsnowstorm628 Posted February 6, 2013 Share Posted February 6, 2013 I'll buy what the GFS is selling. "Only" 6-10 up here verbatim but could be more with a deform band or any tick NW. ratios will be pretty decent I think for NH/VT/ME with this based on temps aloft. Haven't looked into any dgz data yet..probably tomorrow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted February 6, 2013 Share Posted February 6, 2013 Out for a nice dog walk in a beautiful snow. I come back to a nice gfs nailing with perhaps less gentle but more exciting snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sn0waddict Posted February 6, 2013 Share Posted February 6, 2013 Well it's a somewhat unusual setup so we tug a lot of mid level warmth up early. So it's going to be a close call no matter what the track for S CT. As always, it comes with living here. An earlier phase is really what we need, and while the GFS seemed to trend towards that, it's still a little too late. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 6, 2013 Author Share Posted February 6, 2013 yeah def some sleet taint in SNE. Warning event though for everyone. Even NNE is -8C or colder at 850 throughout..should be a fluff bomb for them. Solid hit up here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ctsnowstorm628 Posted February 6, 2013 Share Posted February 6, 2013 Precip wise looks pretty similar to that HPC map i posted in the locked thread which was similar to the Euro ENS as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowMan Posted February 6, 2013 Share Posted February 6, 2013 Guidance still moving towards the Euro bomb it looks like. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherMA Posted February 6, 2013 Share Posted February 6, 2013 ratios will be pretty decent I think for NH/VT/ME with this based on temps aloft. Haven't looked into any dgz data yet..probably tomorrow. I haven't looked at much really either...been busy all day. Just stop doing work when the models come out for like 15 minutes haha. But I think odds of a warning event are very high. 4+ nearly 100% Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted February 6, 2013 Share Posted February 6, 2013 Maybe 4" to CON this run? I thought you said 6-10 for Plymouth? That would imply 8-12 for CON...and more with deform if we get it. I dont' understand the deform process but read earlier that the mid level lows will likely create a deformation bank in the interior of CNE or NNE edit: Oh....you meant 4 inches qpf....lol with good ratios....maybe 4-5 feet? -8C doesn't ensure good ratios though...doesn't it depend on temps in the sgz? Of course a deform band brings great ratios usually. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RI Rob Posted February 6, 2013 Share Posted February 6, 2013 So at this point I should stay up in Boston, and not go back home to Rhode Island for the storm? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ctsnowstorm628 Posted February 6, 2013 Share Posted February 6, 2013 I haven't looked at much really either...been busy all day. Just stop doing work when the models come out for like 15 minutes haha. But I think odds of a warning event are very high. 4+ nearly 100% Yeah, agree. Most of the region except northern ME is in for 4"+ per latest guidance. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted February 6, 2013 Share Posted February 6, 2013 Sleet issues for south coast and up to say HFD/PVD but a blizzard for Boston. We're due. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 6, 2013 Share Posted February 6, 2013 Wow at GFS....that is a bomb for BOS metro. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StormSurge Posted February 6, 2013 Share Posted February 6, 2013 We're due. So are we. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 6, 2013 Author Share Posted February 6, 2013 which was similar to the Euro ENS as well. Yes it was Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted February 6, 2013 Share Posted February 6, 2013 Nice Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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