CT Rain Posted February 6, 2013 Share Posted February 6, 2013 Dream come true storm for me.... for more than one reason. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 6, 2013 Author Share Posted February 6, 2013 Yeah, Something up with that run, It should have been decent Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 6, 2013 Share Posted February 6, 2013 I really am eyeing the Euro idea. It's been steadfast relatively speaking compared to other guidance for multiple runs. Euro has def been stronger in digging the northern stream and other models did trend toward it today. We'll have to see how much it wants to do it at 00z. Euro was a bit weaker with the southern stream as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowMan Posted February 6, 2013 Share Posted February 6, 2013 Welcome to the dead zone.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted February 6, 2013 Share Posted February 6, 2013 Even with the 18z NAM out to sea with the low, I still manage to exceed 2" of QPF. 18z GFS brings a bomb to the benchmark and stalls it then brings it east continuing the snow machine over Cape Cod and eastern MA until Sunday morning. I definitely could see someone getting 36" from this storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowMan Posted February 6, 2013 Share Posted February 6, 2013 Had a Boxing Day look but not as bad or pronounced as Boxing Day if I remember correctly. Still a solid 17-20'' storm here. We will be 24+ on this...don't worry Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DomNH Posted February 6, 2013 Share Posted February 6, 2013 We will be 24+ on this...don't worry Seems ambitious. Right now seems like 14-20'' is the reasonable call. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted February 6, 2013 Share Posted February 6, 2013 GFS would be a Berks jackpot lol Bring it! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
joey2002 Posted February 6, 2013 Share Posted February 6, 2013 I really am eyeing the Euro idea. It's been steadfast relatively speaking compared to other guidance for multiple runs. Euro has def been stronger in digging the northern stream and other models did trend toward it today. We'll have to see how much it wants to do it at 00z. Euro was a bit weaker with the southern stream as well. Yeah, Euro has led the way, and been by far the most consistent model with this. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 6, 2013 Share Posted February 6, 2013 Dream come true storm for me.... for more than one reason. Well thats gonna screw with the numbers you were putting out Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 6, 2013 Share Posted February 6, 2013 Had a Boxing Day look but not as bad or pronounced as Boxing Day if I remember correctly. Still a solid 17-20'' storm here. Boxing Day had a pronounced dryslot above 700mb in the soundings...this one does not. I doubt you would see anything close to the level of screwjobs some people got in Boxing Day if the GFS verified. Don't forget either that the QPF minimum on the GFS in Boxing day was like 0.70"...about half of what this qpf min is. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowMan Posted February 6, 2013 Share Posted February 6, 2013 Seems ambitious. Right now seems like 14-20'' is the reasonable call. Not with the combination of the QPF and ratios in my opinion. Even BOX has us 18-24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthCoastMA Posted February 6, 2013 Share Posted February 6, 2013 Ugh Boxing Day? No thanks. This looks a lot colder for starters at least for the south coast Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
grinch1989 Posted February 6, 2013 Share Posted February 6, 2013 Dream come true storm for me.... for more than one reason. You will be standing in my driveway on air if that verified...just wow! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted February 6, 2013 Share Posted February 6, 2013 IMO, the southern stream system looks quite relevant to me with heavy precip down south. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted February 6, 2013 Share Posted February 6, 2013 Thats an incredible run for Ct Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted February 6, 2013 Share Posted February 6, 2013 Pretty much a march 31 1997 h5 low on the 18z gfs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ctsnowlover Posted February 6, 2013 Share Posted February 6, 2013 For SW and Central CT the 18z GFS is the caziest snow solution I have ever seen, its literally a Day After Tomorrow scenario...I can hear that Scottish guy saying .."Save as many as you can!" It is literally 3 feet plus of snow here... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bboughton Posted February 6, 2013 Share Posted February 6, 2013 what is GFS showing for BOS totals? Less? More? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OKpowdah Posted February 6, 2013 Share Posted February 6, 2013 Half forecast / half just presenting one possible option Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted February 6, 2013 Share Posted February 6, 2013 LOL at the GFS QPF over KTOL.42 inches or so Lol...divided by about 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted February 6, 2013 Share Posted February 6, 2013 1-3? really? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OKpowdah Posted February 6, 2013 Share Posted February 6, 2013 The thing with Boxing Day was that the mid level low closed way too early for New England Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mostman Posted February 6, 2013 Share Posted February 6, 2013 Half forecast / half just presenting one possible option 20130206.jpg The tip of that 2 in your 2' zone is basically my house. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eduggs Posted February 6, 2013 Share Posted February 6, 2013 18z RGEM seems pretty similar to the 12z. At least through 36/42 it's very similar at first glance. Late comment on the RGEM, but by 48hr it's clear the model is cooking up a monster. West of the 12z GEM and stronger. The 18z NAM is not remotely close to the 18z RGEM aloft or at the surface. RGEM is potent and sharp with the southern stream "kink" compared to the flat NAM and 10-15mb deeper at the surface (eyeballing). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 6, 2013 Share Posted February 6, 2013 Ride the horse that brought us here, Euro all the time Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted February 6, 2013 Share Posted February 6, 2013 The thing with Boxing Day was that the mid level low closed way too early for New England Yeah... this is different in that respect for sure. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 6, 2013 Author Share Posted February 6, 2013 Half forecast / half just presenting one possible option 20130206.jpg Dong in a Dong, I like it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted February 6, 2013 Share Posted February 6, 2013 Lol...divided by about 4How much rain did have on Cape? Wouldn't matter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RI Rob Posted February 6, 2013 Share Posted February 6, 2013 Half forecast / half just presenting one possible option 20130206.jpg Is Boston in the 6-12 in for you or the 1 foot plus. Can't really tell. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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