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Feb 8th-9th Potential Significant Coastal Storm


dryslot

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Question for Dryslot.....Do you know off hand what the NAM qpf is for Augusta area?? curious....But overall one insane weather event coming...reminds me of the big storms back in the 70's..I was up here for the bliz of 78 in Augusta...I was actually taking pictures for the Kennebec Journal at that time..

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Craig

http://northeastweathereye.com

Augusta

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Leaning that way. Today might be the last day I can physically attend classes. I'm so excited lol

 

If models don't change too much...its not even close...go back home. You might get 18" of fluff up there but if you do, its probably 25-30 inches of denser snow down here.

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Bob, whats your thoughts for the rt44 area?

 

I'm waiting on the rest of the 12z suite to come out before I jump all in.  Right now I'm leaning towards a huge hit for the SE MA area.  Right now it looks like we'll get the initial WAA snows as the southern stream rolls up the coast and as the northern stream dives in and captures it, we'll have the CCB snows kick in.  There might be a sneaky warm layer in there that may give us some sleet, verbatim.  This looks like a classic BM storm with a slight "stall" that would prolong the system for a few hours (6-8hrs)  If I was to worry about a changeover time, it would be in that transition time as the 2 systems merge S of LI.  Timing of that is critical.  I feel confident about 6-10" falling right now based on what I see.

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Question for Dryslot.....Do you know off hand what the NAM qpf is for Augusta area?? curious....But overall one insane weather event coming...reminds me of the big storms back in the 70's..I was up here for the bliz of 78 in Augusta...I was actually taking pictures for the Kennebec Journal at that time..

Thanks

Craig

http://northeastweathereye.com

Augusta

 

 

3.16"

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People get ready. This deserves to be hyped starting this afternoon in the media.

 

 

It's interesting to "possibly" go well beyond the average seasonal snow totals from a single event.   ...Particularly when going from a deficit to an event-ending total that could so far exceed. 

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I'm curious if anyone could do a comparison between the setup for this storm and the storm which hit Nova Scotia/ Newfoundland on Monday.  Is the set up similar but a few hundred miles west?  It deepened very rapidly from 1000 mb down to 950.  There have been a couple of bombs out in the Atlantic and I was wondering if they are comps at all.

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Too bad the GFS is only showing 3"...

oh, wait... qpf??? My desk just tipped over. Anyhoo...my teaching over the next 2 days will be not so effective methinks.

Ok, kids, forget the curriculum. Time to show you some weather porn

 

I hope you are not typing these posts from your school's network domain

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