ineedsnow Posted February 6, 2013 Share Posted February 6, 2013 good call lol It looks like it's going to be one of those Nam runs that prints out 3 - 3.5 of qpf Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted February 6, 2013 Share Posted February 6, 2013 There is more than just 850. In this case who cares if 850's are kissing 0C. For the most part, precipitation will be very heavy and below 850 it's still fairly cold...at least cold enough. It isn't like we're talking 850s of +2C to +3C. Anyways there certainly could be some mixing, especially along the coast as more often than not we always have at least some mixing with these types of systems, Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 6, 2013 Author Share Posted February 6, 2013 Hah. Eastern MA gets absolutely CRUSHED once the 850's crash at 60 hrs. This is like one of those SREF 3"+ solutions. Smoked Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chrisrotary12 Posted February 6, 2013 Share Posted February 6, 2013 NAM qpf is going to rival yesterday Euro........ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JustinWX Posted February 6, 2013 Share Posted February 6, 2013 There's definitely going to be a warm layer within 850-700mb level in E MA Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 6, 2013 Author Share Posted February 6, 2013 There is a lot of folks that would get absolutley ripped with this nam run verbatim Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 6, 2013 Author Share Posted February 6, 2013 NAM qpf is going to rival yesterday Euro........ Huge qpf, It nukes, Slows down to a crawl Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattlacroix4 Posted February 6, 2013 Share Posted February 6, 2013 NAM is weather porn. I don't like how late it takes to phase, but once it does..just wow. I just got very excited. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowMan Posted February 6, 2013 Share Posted February 6, 2013 Hah. Eastern MA gets absolutely CRUSHED once the 850's crash at 60 hrs. This is like one of those SREF 3"+ solutions. Can't be...not possible... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted February 6, 2013 Share Posted February 6, 2013 Nice CCB for SE MA after 850s crash, WOW! Close to 5" on the NAM for parts of CC. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted February 6, 2013 Share Posted February 6, 2013 funny part is kevin said 3 - 3.5 and that was conservative nam has over 4 near the cape Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ctsnowstorm628 Posted February 6, 2013 Share Posted February 6, 2013 LOL. Yeah...between the 4+" qpf on CC, 1.5" up in all of NNE, 0.5" in NYC, and rain on the Cape, yeah its LOL worthy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 6, 2013 Share Posted February 6, 2013 Cut in half. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
N. OF PIKE Posted February 6, 2013 Share Posted February 6, 2013 There's definitely going to be a warm layer within 850-700mb level in E MA why is this. thought maybe BL would be the potential issue, but why are the mid levels the issue for EMA? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MN Transplant Posted February 6, 2013 Share Posted February 6, 2013 The snow algorithm on instantweathermaps has a 64.7" marker somewhere in north-central Mass. Solely for fun of course. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted February 6, 2013 Share Posted February 6, 2013 Nice CCB for SE MA after 850s crash, WOW! Close to 5" on the NAM for parts of CC. Good times. Roofs get ripped off in a different direction this time. Roofers wanted With good ratios Phil won't see his mailbox until march Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 6, 2013 Share Posted February 6, 2013 good call lolIt always does this at this time frame then backs off 18 hours before start time Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Zeus Posted February 6, 2013 Share Posted February 6, 2013 Cut in half. Yes. Only 2.0" of QPF for us in that case. Ever seen a solution like this in this timeframe? I sure haven't. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted February 6, 2013 Share Posted February 6, 2013 Nam says bos gets 10x as much as nyc. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted February 6, 2013 Share Posted February 6, 2013 Good times. Roofs get ripped off in a different direction this time. Roofers wanted With good ratios Phil won't see his mailbox until march I'd take this solution in a heartbeat. NAM just played its card with the evolution of this storm. I think the GFS caves some towards the NAM/Euro. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 6, 2013 Share Posted February 6, 2013 NAM tossed regarding QPF. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
skierinvermont Posted February 6, 2013 Share Posted February 6, 2013 Widepsread 4" qpf on the NAM probably iso 5" .. unreal. That is the most qpf on any model run I have ever seen in 8 years of following the models, by far. widespread 4 foot amounts some 5 foot. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChrisM Posted February 6, 2013 Share Posted February 6, 2013 Cut the qpf in half and some places still see 20+ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JustinWX Posted February 6, 2013 Share Posted February 6, 2013 why is this. thought maybe BL would be the potential issue, but why are the mid levels the issue for EMA? I'm not sure of the contouring but on instantweathermaps.com you can view the 850-700mb thickness estimate and it looks marginal at closest pass of the low Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 6, 2013 Author Share Posted February 6, 2013 Cut in half. Lol, 4" over your head, Over 3" here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted February 6, 2013 Share Posted February 6, 2013 http://www.instantweathermaps.com/NAM-php/showmap-conussfc.php?run=2013020612&time=INSTANT&var=SNODI&hour=084 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 6, 2013 Share Posted February 6, 2013 Yes. Only 2.0" of QPF for us in that case. Ever seen a solution like this in this timeframe? I sure haven't. When you have a srn stream disturbance it injects high amounts of moisture, but this is nuts. NAM is WAAAYYY to wet. I'm just trying to install some sanity this morning...we really have a lot of questions to be answered. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Patrick-02540 Posted February 6, 2013 Share Posted February 6, 2013 Good times. Roofs get ripped off in a different direction this time. Roofers wanted With good ratios Phil won't see his mailbox until march If his roof gets ripped off, he won't see his oven either. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted February 6, 2013 Share Posted February 6, 2013 In this case you'd probably ant to cut the NAM QPF by more than half. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 6, 2013 Share Posted February 6, 2013 The NAM may be hung in the wall of shame. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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