CT Rain Posted February 6, 2013 Share Posted February 6, 2013 Never mind that the amounts being tossed around like gospel are at the upper end of records. I really don't get the point of releasing totals this early. The coordination between the NWS offices is horrific. BOX has 4"-6" in southern Windham County CT while the adjacent zone in New London County from OKX is at 14.1". I mean come on. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SR Airglow Posted February 6, 2013 Share Posted February 6, 2013 Upton starting with 6-8" for me, seems like a reasonable call to start. Amounts increase rapidly as you head east, 9" at BDR and 12"+ at New London, and decrease rapidly as you head west, 3.7" for Central Park. Upton says they are going more with the GFS, but are keeping all options open. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 6, 2013 Author Share Posted February 6, 2013 When lofty goals are set, That leaves more room for disappointment Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SR Airglow Posted February 6, 2013 Share Posted February 6, 2013 I really don't get the point of releasing totals this early. The coordination between the NWS offices is horrific. BOX has 4"-6" in southern Windham County CT while the adjacent zone in New London County from OKX is at 14.1". I mean come on. Speaking of that, do you know why most offices(Taunton, Albany, Mount Holly, Burlington, Portland), provide ranges, but Upton prints an exact total? Thanks -skisheep Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted February 6, 2013 Share Posted February 6, 2013 WeatherMA got the call right though I think - he thought they would be issued with the 4AM package... Your easily one of the biggest weenies of all time Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
It's Always Sunny Posted February 6, 2013 Share Posted February 6, 2013 The gfs is mild for the first half. Not sure all rain, but a wet snow or mix would happen probably if it were correct. Euro can be too cold That's kind of what I'm thinking right now. You know I want it to rain Scott. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nzucker Posted February 6, 2013 Share Posted February 6, 2013 Outside the Euro looks like a lot of rain down here........good luck to the northeast guys. We're going to do fine in this storm once the CCB gets going. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted February 6, 2013 Share Posted February 6, 2013 When lofty goals are set, That leaves more room for disappointment confidence is 8+, goal is 12+, hope is 18+. That's my take at this point. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted February 6, 2013 Share Posted February 6, 2013 I don't see how this is anything other than a snow bomb... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowMan Posted February 6, 2013 Share Posted February 6, 2013 Your easily one of the biggest weenies of all time I was just stating what he said lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 6, 2013 Author Share Posted February 6, 2013 confidence is 8+, goal is 12+, hope is 18+. That's my take at this point. My goals are set at 6"+, Still a lot of time in the period left for this one, I have seen to many of these over my 50+ yrs go in a bad direction Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ericjcrash Posted February 6, 2013 Share Posted February 6, 2013 Holy $%^& it's that much even for the city??? Yikes now i'm getting intrested for real now, the fact that the EURO found this 4 days ago and hasn't lost it is making me very excited... -skisheep So says the EURO.AND the Euro "control run" a 2.5" QPF blizzard like you guys will get. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
radarman Posted February 6, 2013 Share Posted February 6, 2013 the biggest difference was west in the CT river area where they were removed from the core dynamics. Box throws the caution flag at gc about eastward shift possibility as possible kbash on things here. Whiff east not completely off the table for W NE. Can envision the complaints (including from me) about the back edge coming through earlier than progged while ORH east rots under deformation. But warning criteria still seems likely, with the fluff factor partially mitigating the QPF differences. Planning to ski this weekend and thinking maybe S NH mountains might be the best bet instead of the B'East or the Greens. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted February 6, 2013 Share Posted February 6, 2013 I really don't get the point of releasing totals this early. The coordination between the NWS offices is horrific. BOX has 4"-6" in southern Windham County CT while the adjacent zone in New London County from OKX is at 14.1". I mean come on. I'm not a big fan of releasing even our totals. Right now you just need to know there is the potential for 6" or more, which is what a watch is for. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
It's Always Sunny Posted February 6, 2013 Share Posted February 6, 2013 6z gfs? Which locations? I'm focusing on coastal locations, but it does get cold in the middle to latter end of this system where it'll definitely flip. I mis-worded my prior statement. I am also wishcasting for KOWD to get rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted February 6, 2013 Share Posted February 6, 2013 Speaking of that, do you know why most offices(Taunton, Albany, Mount Holly, Burlington, Portland), provide ranges, but Upton prints an exact total? Thanks -skisheep I'm not sure but I know our neighbors (ALY, BOX, BTV, CAR) agreed to that standardized color table with ranges. That way it's easier to pass this information onto state and local authorities. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattb65 Posted February 6, 2013 Share Posted February 6, 2013 I don't see how this is anything other than a snow bomb... image.jpg I live in fear of the CF before this thing starts bombing turning winds isallobaric. I think even if we were to switch to rain it would be early and brief, and we'd still get completely abused by the heaviest snows. This of course assumes this thing phases. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 6, 2013 Share Posted February 6, 2013 I don't see how this is anything other than a snow bomb... image.jpg It easily could be Jerry, but I could see coastal areas being a wet snow or mix in the beginning. too early to be certain about that until later tonight. It easily could be all snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted February 6, 2013 Share Posted February 6, 2013 I live in fear of the CF before this thing starts bombing turning winds isallobaric. I think even if we were to switch to rain it would be early and brief, and we'd still get completely abused by the heaviest snows. This of course assumes this thing phases. We have a great cold source and the ocean is colder vs a month ago. Lets get as cold as possible tonight and tomorrow and into tomorrow evening to set the table. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted February 6, 2013 Share Posted February 6, 2013 It easily could be Jerry, but I could see coastal areas being a wet snow or mix in the beginning. too early to be certain about that until later tonight. It easily could be all snow. You thinking 6+? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted February 6, 2013 Share Posted February 6, 2013 Box has BOS at 53% for 12 or more. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr. Windcredible! Posted February 6, 2013 Share Posted February 6, 2013 As much as I want the Euro to be right for MBY...have to think its phasing a bit too early. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
It's Always Sunny Posted February 6, 2013 Share Posted February 6, 2013 I live in fear of the CF before this thing starts bombing turning winds isallobaric. I think even if we were to switch to rain it would be early and brief, and we'd still get completely abused by the heaviest snows. This of course assumes this thing phases. I agree. I think it could rain (which I'm obviously hoping for), but it could be a mix event for a good while, and again, it depends on where you're looking. It's so early to tell I'm just speculating and bouncing my thoughts off others right now. When this is all said in done there will be snow on the ground that's one thing I know. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 6, 2013 Share Posted February 6, 2013 Agree my phone is ringing already from this I am a map sucking up fool Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted February 6, 2013 Share Posted February 6, 2013 OT but BOS has reached 10 for the season. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 6, 2013 Share Posted February 6, 2013 I agree. I think it could rain (which I'm obviously hoping for) I just dropped you from my email list, lol. Dude move to SC Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted February 6, 2013 Share Posted February 6, 2013 I'm really liking my area for this and a good chunk of northern CT extending northeastward into ORH county. Given where the model consensus of where the main lows track that bodes pretty well for the deformation zone setting up somewhere around this neck of the woods. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 6, 2013 Share Posted February 6, 2013 You thinking 6+? Yeah good potential or that, just be sold on 12+. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
It's Always Sunny Posted February 6, 2013 Share Posted February 6, 2013 I just dropped you from my email list, lol. Dude move to SC Yeah I'm thinking of just dropping that signature all together...I don't even work there anymore, just promoting. SC would be very nice...I might be going to Myrtle Beach in June. You live down there at all? Edit: Dropped it. Bring the heat 2013! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted February 6, 2013 Share Posted February 6, 2013 Agree my phone is ringing already from this I am a map sucking up fool nice maps, not sure why we are still stuck thinking only 6+ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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