ORH_wxman Posted February 6, 2013 Share Posted February 6, 2013 Looks like 2.25-2.50 for BOS/ORH. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
joey2002 Posted February 6, 2013 Share Posted February 6, 2013 Mount Tolland? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Max Posted February 6, 2013 Share Posted February 6, 2013 So why is the northern stream now too slow for a good phase? The southern stream doesn't look like the speed of it has changed on the euro as far as I can see by toggling between 0z and 12z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherMA Posted February 6, 2013 Share Posted February 6, 2013 Looks like about 0.90" Thank you sir. I'll take my 8-12" but if I miss 24" in ORH that will suck. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted February 6, 2013 Share Posted February 6, 2013 The only reason NYC gets into the CCB is because this run bombs this further south. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 6, 2013 Share Posted February 6, 2013 Thank you sir. I'll take my 8-12" but if I miss 24" in ORH that will suck. Skip classes Friday and drive down Thursday night if the solution doesn't change much....its a total bomb for ORH this run...we get destroyed by the CCB/deformation band. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
N. OF PIKE Posted February 6, 2013 Share Posted February 6, 2013 Will i would like to ask you about the high qpf being shown somewhat (now) consistently by the euro Oceanstwx mentioned 250mb anomalies having a high qpf signal and the wind anomalies at that height showing reasons to believe in a slowing motion. is that correct, (basically my memory of his post) that the 250 mb anomalies is a good spot to look for reasons to back up a high qpf event Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 6, 2013 Share Posted February 6, 2013 Will i would like to ask you about the high qpf being shown somewhat (now) consistently by the euro Oceanstwx mentioned 250mb anomalies having a high qpf signal and the wind anomalies at that height showing reasons to believe in a slowing motion. is that correct, (basically my memory of his post) that the 250 mb anomalies is a good spot to look for reasons to back up a high qpf event Well its a start...but its not the only factor. We can get high qpf if other factors are there too...we are using a lot of these other factors in this storm as the 250 u anomalies aren't obscene, but they are decent. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 6, 2013 Share Posted February 6, 2013 Euro digs the northern stream way more than any other guidance, so I'm a bit skeptical of that part....but its a good trend, that will allow for a better shot at phasing....less chance it escapes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherMA Posted February 6, 2013 Share Posted February 6, 2013 Skip classes Friday and drive down Thursday night if the solution doesn't change much....its a total bomb for ORH this run...we get destroyed by the CCB/deformation band. Oh I'm considering it...trust me. Depends on how tomorrows runs and 12z Thursday goes... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted February 6, 2013 Share Posted February 6, 2013 Looks like 2.25-2.50 for BOS/ORH. 2.73" for Boston. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted February 6, 2013 Share Posted February 6, 2013 So why is the northern stream now too slow for a good phase? The southern stream doesn't look like the speed of it has changed on the euro as far as I can see by toggling between 0z and 12z. Less eastward Progression from the Northern stream allows for a longer duration event. Basically you have until the H7 troff axis gets east of you before the event ends. If that takes longer, you get more snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
N. OF PIKE Posted February 6, 2013 Share Posted February 6, 2013 2.73" for Boston. really? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 6, 2013 Share Posted February 6, 2013 2.73" for Boston. How much for ORH? The soundings alays seem to give slightly more than what I see, but I'm usually fairly conservative when I give QPF...esp since sometimes the SV maps people post are much more. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
andyhb Posted February 6, 2013 Share Posted February 6, 2013 Looking at the 72 hr frame, with the orientation of the two impulses, it looks perilously close to a full phase given a few subtle timing differences (although those differences become less easy to correct/change closer in to the event). So Boston 2.73" QPF...still a potential record snowfall. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
joey2002 Posted February 6, 2013 Share Posted February 6, 2013 Oh I'm considering it...trust me. Depends on how tomorrows runs and 12z Thursday goes... Still 4 more runs to go... so incredible though! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxsniss Posted February 6, 2013 Share Posted February 6, 2013 Can someone with access check temp profiles along eastern MA... at 72h and 96h looks plenty cold but can't see in between if there's any taint thanks Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 6, 2013 Share Posted February 6, 2013 Can someone with access check temp profiles along eastern MA... at 72h and 96h looks plenty cold but can't see in between if there's any taint thanks There's isn't any. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted February 6, 2013 Share Posted February 6, 2013 haha, fwiw, the NOGAPS completely whiffs everyone Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dsnowx53 Posted February 6, 2013 Share Posted February 6, 2013 This is absolutely ridiculous. The H5 low closes off in Maryland on this run at 78 hours. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
andyhb Posted February 6, 2013 Share Posted February 6, 2013 There's isn't any. Yeah, I didn't see anything either. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
andyhb Posted February 6, 2013 Share Posted February 6, 2013 haha, fwiw, the NOGAPS completely whiffs everyone For what it's not worth. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted February 6, 2013 Share Posted February 6, 2013 How much for ORH? The soundings alays seem to give slightly more than what I see, but I'm usually fairly conservative when I give QPF...esp since sometimes the SV maps people post are much more. 2.30" for ORH BOS recieves .76"/.85"/.76" in three consecutive 6hr intervals. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 6, 2013 Share Posted February 6, 2013 This is absolutely ridiculous. The H5 low closes off in Maryland on this run at 78 hours. Yeah I'm skeptical of the northern stream diving that far south...if it does, then it would be a HECS for sure...but its way further south than other guidance....only because the Euro seems to be leading the way in this event do I think its plausible. But digging far south is still tough in this flow with an utter lack of a western ridge. We have a crushed central US ridge....very unconventional for a classic KU. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 6, 2013 Share Posted February 6, 2013 2.30" for ORH BOS recieves .76"/.85"/.76" in three consecutive 6hr intervals. Thanks much. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ctsnowstorm628 Posted February 6, 2013 Share Posted February 6, 2013 Still 78 hours to go. Rooting for SNE though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherMA Posted February 6, 2013 Share Posted February 6, 2013 Still 78 hours to go. Rooting for SNE though. Lies Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mfastx Posted February 6, 2013 Share Posted February 6, 2013 Another unbelievable run.. when would precip start on Friday on the latest Euro run? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted February 6, 2013 Share Posted February 6, 2013 Not to be "that guy" in your regions thread, but...I have paid euro maps and it's still very tough to tell what happens in my area ( philly) It looks like we're def. 100% snow from 78hrs on and get like .25-.5", but 850s are never above 0 for the entire storm. We total out at 1.25-1.5. I do notice the push of warm air looking at the surface, but could we overcome that. Based on just looking at the EURO what is going on down in my neck of the woods. I ask because me and a few americanwx friends are going to make a decision whether or not to stay or make a road trip to your area Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
joey2002 Posted February 6, 2013 Share Posted February 6, 2013 Still 78 hours to go. Less than that I think... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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