The_Global_Warmer Posted February 5, 2013 Share Posted February 5, 2013 Pretty Surprising, I thought it would be around .25-.30C considering the Asian cold pool is not near as extreme and SSTs rebounded. The global, hemispheric, and tropical LT anomalies from the 30-year (1981-2010) average for the last 13 months are:YR MON GLOBAL NH SH TROPICS2012 1 -0.134 -0.065 -0.203 -0.2562012 2 -0.135 +0.018 -0.289 -0.3202012 3 +0.051 +0.119 -0.017 -0.2382012 4 +0.232 +0.351 +0.114 -0.2422012 5 +0.179 +0.337 +0.021 -0.0982012 6 +0.235 +0.370 +0.101 -0.0192012 7 +0.130 +0.256 +0.003 +0.1422012 8 +0.208 +0.214 +0.202 +0.0622012 9 +0.339 +0.350 +0.327 +0.1532012 10 +0.333 +0.306 +0.361 +0.1092012 11 +0.282 +0.299 +0.265 +0.1722012 12 +0.206 +0.148 +0.264 +0.1382013 1 +0.506 +0.553 +0.459 +0.375 Due to the rather large 1-month increase in the temperature anomaly, I double checked the computations, and found that multiple satellites (NOAA-15, NOAA-18, and Aqua) all saw approximately equal levels of warming versus a year ago (January, 2012), so for now I’m accepting the results as real. The most common cause of such warm spikes (when there is no El Nino to blame) is a temporary increase in convective heat transfer from the ocean to the atmosphere. This would suggest that the global average sea surface temperature anomaly might have actually cooled in January, but I have not checked to see if that is the case. Archived color maps of local temperature anomalies will be updated shortly are available on-line at http://nsstc.uah.edu/climate/; The processed temperature data (updated shortly) is available on-line at http://vortex.nsstc.uah.edu/data/msu/t2lt/uahncdc.lt Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
blizzard1024 Posted February 9, 2013 Share Posted February 9, 2013 Pretty Surprising, I thought it would be around .25-.30C considering the Asian cold pool is not near as extreme and SSTs rebounded. This is a pretty large anomaly without a strong El Nino.... interesting. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
blizzard1024 Posted February 9, 2013 Share Posted February 9, 2013 This is a pretty large anomaly without a strong El Nino.... interesting. I have always maintained that when the satellite record goes nuts and warms quickly I wud be more of a believer in CAGW.... hopefully temps will drop....for mankind's sake Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The_Global_Warmer Posted February 9, 2013 Author Share Posted February 9, 2013 I have always maintained that when the satellite record goes nuts and warms quickly I wud be more of a believer in CAGW.... hopefully temps will drop....for mankind's sake I doubt it's any large permanent jump. But the warming is progressive so we have been expecting the "base" level to keep going up in-spite of ENSO, overtime it has. We are also at a solar max or close even weak it's bump in TSI. I know it's winter but Dec-Jan had very high snow cover. But solar radiation is pretty weak though so it may not matter to much. given global SST's have been running .15 to .20C above normal it won't stay this warm without them warming more. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PottercountyWXobserver Posted February 10, 2013 Share Posted February 10, 2013 I doubt it's any large permanent jump. But the warming is progressive so we have been expecting the "base" level to keep going up in-spite of ENSO, overtime it has. We are also at a solar max or close even weak it's bump in TSI. I know it's winter but Dec-Jan had very high snow cover. But solar radiation is pretty weak though so it may not matter to much. given global SST's have been running .15 to .20C above normal it won't stay this warm without them warming more. I don't know. I'm wiling to bet this year is a top 5 warmest year. I'm also willing to bet, the next moderate El Nino to come will be the warmest global temperatures on record. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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