Ian Posted February 13, 2013 Share Posted February 13, 2013 tree pollen = moderate. spring!1!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowfan Posted February 13, 2013 Share Posted February 13, 2013 tree pollen = moderate. spring!1!!! At this point, I'm looking forward to 70 degree days with a nice breeze, opening the windows, sitting on the deck, etc. I'll even take some squall lines and derechos. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted February 13, 2013 Share Posted February 13, 2013 Watch this threat for next week end up being rain for I-95 and 2 feet in the mountains... That would just go to show how winter goes around here now. Thanks for being the one billionth person to post this so far Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted February 13, 2013 Author Share Posted February 13, 2013 One thing I'll never learn is that I'll never learn Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted February 13, 2013 Share Posted February 13, 2013 Just read this on twitter from Bastardi. Joe Bastardi @BigJoeBastardi JMA/UKMET has the east coast snowstorm on weekend.. CMON ecmwf, will ya. Fla freeze threat too,but the bigger the ne storm, less the chc Seriously? Anyone see the JMA or UKMET to confirm? OK I know the "Hate on JB" thing is so 5 years ago but... excuse me this rant Ever since he moved to weatherbell I get the feeling he is shading his forecasts to be tailered more to what will keep his suscribers happy and not what is the most accurate possible forecast. He has become more vague, and no longer "takes out the trash" when he is wrong. He often makes a concrete forecast, then when its way off simply moves on as if nothing happened. Worse, he has become a master of spin. His winter forecast this year has been a total disaster for much of the nation and yet he refuses to stop defending it. He throws out obscure data from places no one cares about to justify why he had the right idea. Now, as its become way too late to save his seasonal forecast, he simply has stopped talking about it. He ignores that he needs massive snowfall in the mid atlantic to save him and acts like a blizzard in New England is some huge victory for him. Finally, worst of all, he has begun to manipulate data. He will do things like using observed weather from one station to verify a forecast made for another location. For instance using the final snowfall recorded at IAD to verify his forecast for DCA. To be fair to him, he does seem better for the PA and NYC north area but he is awful for the mid atlantic. The only question left for me with him is..is he really that ignorant of our region and climo, or is he that dishonest. rant over, my appologies Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted February 13, 2013 Share Posted February 13, 2013 OK I know the "Hate on JB" thing is so 5 years ago but... excuse me this rant Ever since he moved to weatherbell I get the feeling he is shading his forecasts to be tailered more to what will keep his suscribers happy and not what is the most accurate possible forecast. He has become more vague, and no longer "takes out the trash" when he is wrong. He often makes a concrete forecast, then when its way off simply moves on as if nothing happened. Worse, he has become a master of spin. His winter forecast this year has been a total disaster for much of the nation and yet he refuses to stop defending it. He throws out obscure data from places no one cares about to justify why he had the right idea. Now, as its become way too late to save his seasonal forecast, he simply has stopped talking about it. He ignores that he needs massive snowfall in the mid atlantic to save him and acts like a blizzard in New England is some huge victory for him. Finally, worst of all, he has begun to manipulate data. He will do things like using observed weather from one station to verify a forecast made for another location. For instance using the final snowfall recorded at IAD to verify his forecast for DCA. To be fair to him, he does seem better for the PA and NYC north area but he is awful for the mid atlantic. The only question left for me with him is..is he really that ignorant of our region and climo, or is he that dishonest. rant over, my appologies Well, duh. He still crows about Sandy as if it's his greatest victory, even though he had it going up the Delaware Bay into Philly (to verify his "Philadelphia Story") until VERY late in the game. As for "verifying" things with isolated random locations , he does the exact same thing with his global warming rants. "Record Low in McMurdo, Antarctica this morning" or some crap like that with "where's the media reporting on THAT". As if cold weather in some place on the planet means AGW is false. He's completely unscientific. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted February 13, 2013 Share Posted February 13, 2013 LRC > Bastardi Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted February 13, 2013 Share Posted February 13, 2013 LRC > Bastardi LRC? Is that like CWG or LWG? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted February 13, 2013 Share Posted February 13, 2013 LRC? Is that like CWG or LWG? Lezak's Recurring Cycle Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scraff Posted February 13, 2013 Share Posted February 13, 2013 OK I know the "Hate on JB" thing is so 5 years ago but... excuse me this rant Ever since he moved to weatherbell I get the feeling he is shading his forecasts to be tailered more to what will keep his suscribers happy and not what is the most accurate possible forecast. He has become more vague, and no longer "takes out the trash" when he is wrong. He often makes a concrete forecast, then when its way off simply moves on as if nothing happened. Worse, he has become a master of spin. His winter forecast this year has been a total disaster for much of the nation and yet he refuses to stop defending it. He throws out obscure data from places no one cares about to justify why he had the right idea. Now, as its become way too late to save his seasonal forecast, he simply has stopped talking about it. He ignores that he needs massive snowfall in the mid atlantic to save him and acts like a blizzard in New England is some huge victory for him. Finally, worst of all, he has begun to manipulate data. He will do things like using observed weather from one station to verify a forecast made for another location. For instance using the final snowfall recorded at IAD to verify his forecast for DCA. To be fair to him, he does seem better for the PA and NYC north area but he is awful for the mid atlantic. The only question left for me with him is..is he really that ignorant of our region and climo, or is he that dishonest. rant over, my appologies I agree with 100% of what you say. I myself only use JB for entertainment purposes these days. However, way back in the Accuweather days when he was free to watch, I believe he was a much better forecaster. Just in my humble opinion of course. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
midatlanticweather Posted February 13, 2013 Share Posted February 13, 2013 OK I know the "Hate on JB" thing is so 5 years ago but... excuse me this rant Ever since he moved to weatherbell I get the feeling he is shading his forecasts to be tailered more to what will keep his suscribers happy and not what is the most accurate possible forecast. He has become more vague, and no longer "takes out the trash" when he is wrong. He often makes a concrete forecast, then when its way off simply moves on as if nothing happened. Worse, he has become a master of spin. His winter forecast this year has been a total disaster for much of the nation and yet he refuses to stop defending it. He throws out obscure data from places no one cares about to justify why he had the right idea. Now, as its become way too late to save his seasonal forecast, he simply has stopped talking about it. He ignores that he needs massive snowfall in the mid atlantic to save him and acts like a blizzard in New England is some huge victory for him. Finally, worst of all, he has begun to manipulate data. He will do things like using observed weather from one station to verify a forecast made for another location. For instance using the final snowfall recorded at IAD to verify his forecast for DCA. To be fair to him, he does seem better for the PA and NYC north area but he is awful for the mid atlantic. The only question left for me with him is..is he really that ignorant of our region and climo, or is he that dishonest. rant over, my appologies He did the same at in-accuwx ---- He needs money! This is all in the wrong thread! Sorry for joining the comment chain Mods! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HighStakes Posted February 13, 2013 Share Posted February 13, 2013 He did the same at in-accuwx ---- He needs money! This is all in the wrong thread! Sorry for joining the comment chain Mods! I'm not sure about that. If I had to guess I would say he is paid quite well at Weatherbell. He's on the road alot and does quite a few national media spots. I may be way off but he could be paid higher than 80 percent of all meteorologists. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clueless Posted February 13, 2013 Share Posted February 13, 2013 Haven't looked. Is St Mary's getting snow this weekend? Oh yeah, Sprinkles mixed with sleet. 43. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted February 14, 2013 Share Posted February 14, 2013 *sigh* Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ACFD FIREMAN Posted February 14, 2013 Share Posted February 14, 2013 *sigh* Dude 15 min road trip north and youre golden Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted February 14, 2013 Share Posted February 14, 2013 Dude 15 min road trip north and youre golden At home with the kids(2) while wife is at bball practice with my son. *sigh* Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted February 14, 2013 Share Posted February 14, 2013 At home with the kids(2) while wife is at bball practice with my son. *sigh* Road trip to see a dusting would be lame anyway Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted February 14, 2013 Share Posted February 14, 2013 Road trip to see a dusting would be lame anyway biggest snow I will see outside the DCA .4" clipper Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ACFD FIREMAN Posted February 14, 2013 Share Posted February 14, 2013 At home with the kids(2) while wife is at bball practice with my son. *sigh* Despites Ians pessimism its actually very nice out. I saw 25 inches in Boston this weekend but there is something nice about snow where you live. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted February 14, 2013 Share Posted February 14, 2013 Despites Ians pessimism its actually very nice out. I saw 25 inches in Boston this weekend but there is something nice about snow where you live. any sort of snow is fun at home. if you drive 20+ minutes to see snow that amounts to almost nothing you might have a problem. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Disc Posted February 14, 2013 Share Posted February 14, 2013 any sort of snow is fun at home. if you drive 20+ minutes to see snow that amounts to almost nothing you might have a problem. Does this apply to thunderstorms? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted February 14, 2013 Share Posted February 14, 2013 Does this apply to thunderstorms? yes tho you're more likely to bust on a good storm day than a good snow day. today's snow is analogous to a thundershower, people just dont have the need to say "this is the heaviest rain i've seen this year". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ACFD FIREMAN Posted February 14, 2013 Share Posted February 14, 2013 any sort of snow is fun at home. if you drive 20+ minutes to see snow that amounts to almost nothing you might have a problem. I wouldnt drive to see a dusting either. I was just messing w H2o. So close yet so far. Its just funny to me that you would drop your eternal pessimism into the convo....thats all. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted February 14, 2013 Share Posted February 14, 2013 I wouldnt drive to see a dusting either. I was just messing w H2o. So close yet so far. Its just funny to me that you would drop your eternal pessimism into the convo....thats all. that's cute. i've been on the boards a long time.. only so much fun in going all in on d10 etc. think i mostly verified again so oh well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nw baltimore wx Posted February 14, 2013 Share Posted February 14, 2013 that's cute. i've been on the boards a long time.. only so much fun in going all in on d10 etc. think i mostly verified again so oh well. being real > pessimism Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted February 14, 2013 Share Posted February 14, 2013 that's cute. i've been on the boards a long time.. only so much fun in going all in on d10 etc. think i mostly verified again so oh well. ::rolls eyes:: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted February 14, 2013 Share Posted February 14, 2013 being real > pessimism On a weather board> 10,000 times that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted February 14, 2013 Share Posted February 14, 2013 being real > pessimism i downplayed a bit too much on pm update this afternoon... what i get for actually doing work all day instead of half work and half wx watching. but nothing really surprising imo. little things like banding are always tricky. fine line between one or two setting up over some towns and no one getting them. if no one gets them there is no accum anywhere. even a mod band over dc didn't do much other than mix us like 75/25... i know people act like we're in amazing snow climo still but it's late season these days... yeah we have great potential for a higher end event but we also are running into the usual issues/pluses of elevation, being N&W etc. im happy people are happy with their snow. outside our recent snow hell.. still kind of a sucky event around here. maybe a little better than that up balti way. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nw baltimore wx Posted February 14, 2013 Share Posted February 14, 2013 On a weather board> 10,000 times that. I'm lost. But I'll get another beer and see if I can catch up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted February 14, 2013 Author Share Posted February 14, 2013 that's cute. i've been on the boards a long time.. only so much fun in going all in on d10 etc. think i mostly verified again so oh well. Were at d9 now. I'm all in. This may be it for the year. In or out? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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