WEATHER53 Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 WWA extended south to Baltimore, Howard, Montgomery. All day such advisories have moved closer to us. We still have to see what happens, but if even Montgomery County gets 1-2" of snow I hope the negative nellies and their endorsers can modify their approach or hit the road. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TradeWinds Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 At 35.3F/28F in Frederick. My dewpoint rose 4 degrees since 7 PM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WEATHER53 Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 In VA, it looks more like its moving N almost NNW. Look how it's slanted ene to wsw. It's already displaying some tipping negative characteristics. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kmlwx Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 All day such advisories have moved closer to us. We still have to see what happens, but if even Montgomery County gets 1-2" of snow I hope the negative nellies and their endorsers can modify their approach or hit the road. One thing to remember is that MoCo unlike Fauquier is not divided into two zones. Places like Damascus are vastly different than Silver Spring. The advisory is probably not really for eastern MoCo. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solo2 Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 34.5 and DP of 24 here now. Lets hope the Western VA snow is break in our direction.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 All day such advisories have moved closer to us. We still have to see what happens, but if even Montgomery County gets 1-2" of snow I hope the negative nellies and their endorsers can modify their approach or hit the road. Howard FTW?. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NOVAForecaster Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 Cautiously optimistic about the 0Z GFS... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solo2 Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 At 35.3F/28F in Frederick. My dewpoint rose 4 degrees since 7 PM. My DP is 24, but it is a pretty cheapo station.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 36.7 here. DP around 30. IADs 7pm sounding was decent, but we still are going to have SE flow all night. not if this is right http://weather.unisys.com/surface/sfc_con.php?image=st&inv=0&t=cur Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Herb@MAWS Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 Was pleased to see when I got home from work today that daytime high temp only reached 37.6, a little less than forecasted. Down to 33.5 at10:30pm -- even with overcast, temp has managed to fall a few critical degrees before precip onset. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 Look how it's slanted ene to wsw. It's already displaying some tipping negative characteristics. I thought you were right all along about the cold. As wxUSA said (I think) cad is not some weenieism. It's almost always under modeled, and northern stream or no, it's hard to overcome a 1036 in Maine. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scraff Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 Howard FTW?. I'd take it, but I'm a sharing kind of guy. Spread the love to everyone on this board.....please! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 Cautiously optimistic about the 0Z GFS... And its a no Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jwilson Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 Look at all that juice in Michigan, alone. Every single clipper that trained through since last week was dry as a bone...ugh Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 still no consensus, NAM goes nuts and RGEM just backed off for NYC area compared to 18z run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solo2 Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 And its a no Swing and a miss... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TUweathermanDD Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 Southern vort weaker? No. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 The GFS is no help. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scraff Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 And its a no If it sucks, toss it as far as you can. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MN Transplant Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 not if this is right http://weather.unisys.com/surface/sfc_con.php?image=st&inv=0&t=cur Meant aloft. Should have stated that. RAP is ok for the first couple of hours, but is pretty warm by 2-3am. Now, it has been known to have a warm bias, so lets look for that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WEATHER53 Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 One thing to remember is that MoCo unlike Fauquier is not divided into two zones. Places like Damascus are vastly different than Silver Spring. The advisory is probably not really for eastern MoCo. I doubt there is one person over that last 24 hours, other than perhaps me, who would have endorsed that a WWA would be issued for a segment of the immediate DC metro area Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TUweathermanDD Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 The GFS is no help. Has a weaker s vort, thats bs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NOVAForecaster Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 Looks almost identical. Maybe a little more CAD but the precip is a little east. We just can't win, can we? That's why my optimism was cautious Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 I doubt there is one person over that last 24 hours, other than perhaps me, who would have considered that a WWA would be issued for a segment of the immediate DC metro areaHuh? Their criteria for a weekday morning is like 4 flakes. This isn't turning into a snow event here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 still no consensus, NAM goes nuts and RGEM just backed off for NYC area compared to 18z run. Lol at everyone in the NY thread chucking the GFS because it does not show what they want. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 N. MD backlash has sort of made a return on the GFS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kmlwx Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 I doubt there is one person over that last 24 hours, other than perhaps me, who would have considered that a WWA would be issued for a segment of the immediate DC metro area LWX is pretty trigger happy with advisories. Only a trace of ice is needed to pull the trigger! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Grothar of Herndon Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 The GFS is no help. Throw it out. Time to NowCast! :-) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
needbiggerboat Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 I doubt there is one person over that last 24 hours, other than perhaps me, who would have considered that a WWA would be issued for a segment of the immediate DC metro area You want a cookie? Folks have been conservative and/or realistic for good reason....that doesn't mean negative. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 Lol at everyone in the NY thread chucking the GFS because it does not show what they want. it doesn't show what they want falling from the sky because of this; a mess at 5H (compared to NAM) http://mag.ncep.noaa.gov/Image.php?model=gfs&area=namer¶m=500_vort_ht&cycle=00ℑ=gfs%2F00%2Fgfs_namer_027_500_vort_ht.gif Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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