Bob Chill Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 Feel free to come visit if you get stuck I'll bring a 30 pack but u probably can't drink yet so I'll drink it all myself. If hubbs likes beer ill bring two 30s! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 I love it when pressures off SC/NC are "Falling Rapidly" http://www.ndbc.noaa.gov/station_page.php?station=41037 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 I'll bring a 30 pack but u probably can't drink yet so I'll drink it all myself. If hubbs likes beer ill bring two 30s! Yes I can - formula ftw Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 Yes I can - formula ftw Uh oh...better hire a sitter..... Better throw an ob in. 34.9 and slowly falling. I'd like to buy a flake for 200, Pat. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sparky Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 My best wrap around memory ever!!!!!! It can happen....keep hope alive.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 21z SREFs have I-95 as the .5 line over 24 hr QPF... Wes close to the 1" line Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 Dews upper teens right along Md/Pa border. Just got home to Manchester md and can confirm its raw here. Breezy with temp of 31 and dry. Does not feel like rain that's for sure. If I can get any good precip in here its snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 21z SREFs have I-95 as the .5 line over 24 hr QPF... Wes close to the 1" line That seems in line with last run. Not the improvement we need. The real question is how does the .5 fall. In light spurts of .1 over 24 hours or in a thump. Big difference. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Subtropics Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 If Baltimore gets a foot of back end snow like '78 I will never post here again... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 That seems in line with last run. Not the improvement we need. The real question is how does the .5 fall. In light spurts of .1 over 24 hours or in a thump. Big difference. mostly in 12 hrs or so.. seems a bit west of everything else. sref tends to have a more expansive western edge than actual sometimes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 looks like the nam is a hair east of last run and torchy Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WEATHER53 Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 Currently 35/27. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 gotta love that gradient Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Subtropics Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 37/30 Here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattie g Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 nws doesnt do grammar Geezus Kryste...that's disgusting. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 gotta love that gradient http://www.americanwx.com/bb/index.php?app=core&module=attach§ion=attach&attach_rel_module=post&attach_id=88226'>Untitled-23.gif THat's fine with me. If only we could get rain dry slotted Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 THat's fine with me. If only we could get rain dry slotted nam's definitely going to give someone 900" of snow this run Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BTRWx Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 gotta love that gradient Untitled-23.gif so close: http://www.twisterdata.com/index.php?sounding.lat=38.92520&sounding.lon=-77.21190&sndclick=y&prog=forecast&model=NAM&grid=221&model_yyyy=2013&model_mm=02&model_dd=08&model_init_hh=00&fhour=09¶meter=SNOWIN&level=SURFACE&unit=none&maximize=n&mode=singlemap&sounding=y&output=image&view=large&archive=false Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wonderdog Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 Currently 35/27. Was that in line with what you wanted? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 mostly in 12 hrs or so.. seems a bit west of everything else. sref tends to have a more expansive western edge than actual sometimes. I think that is because the SREF usually have a few members that go off the reservation and spread out the mean. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastCoast NPZ Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 for marginal events the LWX also considers rush hour impact and ZR potential. thanks for that explanation. That makes more sense. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 8, 2013 Author Share Posted February 8, 2013 NAM 2-3 feet for NYC? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 I think that is because the SREF usually have a few members that go off the reservation and spread out the mean. Yeah. This one looks like a pretty tight western edge outside some general lighter activity. SREF probably too far west with heavier. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 8, 2013 Author Share Posted February 8, 2013 gotta love that gradient Untitled-23.gif there is never precip to the left of these lows Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowfan Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 SREF brings 30-40% snow probs for 4" into northern Baltimore and Hartford counties. 50-60% for an inch down to BWI Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 there is never precip to the left of these lows mt tolland dry slot as nyc gets buried same thing happened to ct boxing day 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 there is never precip to the left of these lows That has been because of the northern branch influence on these storms of late. If it was a true miller a it would develop a true CCB and mature faster and spread out...but these miller b type systems wrap up very tight. It will spread out once it phases but too late for us. We know the drill. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 NAM annihilates NYC Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 looking at SREF and NAM, I am starting to think there is a chance that northern NJ might end up a good place to be for this one. There is actually a risk that eastern Mass might dry slot now. Don;'t get me wrong everyone up there is ending up over 12" but where that band sets up and dumps 20" plus might be further west. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 NAM annihilates NYC forkyfork will have a new lightning round radar loop for the next conference Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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