BTRWx Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 gotta love that gradient Untitled-23.gif so close: http://www.twisterdata.com/index.php?sounding.lat=38.92520&sounding.lon=-77.21190&sndclick=y&prog=forecast&model=NAM&grid=221&model_yyyy=2013&model_mm=02&model_dd=08&model_init_hh=00&fhour=09¶meter=SNOWIN&level=SURFACE&unit=none&maximize=n&mode=singlemap&sounding=y&output=image&view=large&archive=false Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wonderdog Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 Currently 35/27. Was that in line with what you wanted? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 mostly in 12 hrs or so.. seems a bit west of everything else. sref tends to have a more expansive western edge than actual sometimes. I think that is because the SREF usually have a few members that go off the reservation and spread out the mean. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastCoast NPZ Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 for marginal events the LWX also considers rush hour impact and ZR potential. thanks for that explanation. That makes more sense. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 8, 2013 Author Share Posted February 8, 2013 NAM 2-3 feet for NYC? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 I think that is because the SREF usually have a few members that go off the reservation and spread out the mean. Yeah. This one looks like a pretty tight western edge outside some general lighter activity. SREF probably too far west with heavier. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 8, 2013 Author Share Posted February 8, 2013 gotta love that gradient Untitled-23.gif there is never precip to the left of these lows Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowfan Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 SREF brings 30-40% snow probs for 4" into northern Baltimore and Hartford counties. 50-60% for an inch down to BWI Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 there is never precip to the left of these lows mt tolland dry slot as nyc gets buried same thing happened to ct boxing day 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 there is never precip to the left of these lows That has been because of the northern branch influence on these storms of late. If it was a true miller a it would develop a true CCB and mature faster and spread out...but these miller b type systems wrap up very tight. It will spread out once it phases but too late for us. We know the drill. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 NAM annihilates NYC Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 looking at SREF and NAM, I am starting to think there is a chance that northern NJ might end up a good place to be for this one. There is actually a risk that eastern Mass might dry slot now. Don;'t get me wrong everyone up there is ending up over 12" but where that band sets up and dumps 20" plus might be further west. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 NAM annihilates NYC forkyfork will have a new lightning round radar loop for the next conference Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 8, 2013 Author Share Posted February 8, 2013 NAM annihilates NYC forget Boston...its all about NYC Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 8, 2013 Author Share Posted February 8, 2013 a few sref members destroy us while others give us no precip Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 looking at SREF and NAM, I am starting to think there is a chance that northern NJ might end up a good place to be for this one. There is actually a risk that eastern Mass might dry slot now. Don;'t get me wrong everyone up there is ending up over 12" but where that band sets up and dumps 20" plus might be further west. dry slot should have been a concern.. everyone up in SNE just ran to apocalypse mode. these big storms always have a rippin dry slot. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 a few sref members destroy us while others give us no precip sprinkles Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gymengineer Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 You're starting to see NYC posters bleeding into the NE subforum to debate how much of the QPF will turn out to be liquid. They're both going to claim champ by the end of the evening. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 8, 2013 Author Share Posted February 8, 2013 whats the station code for Tolland,CT? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 whats the station code for Tolland,CT? Willamantic is closest .. IJD. But it's lower elev and south. Kev would probably you rather go off ORH. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxdude64 Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 dry slot should have been a concern.. everyone up in SNE just ran to apocalypse mode. these big storms always have a rippin dry slot. Yep. BTW, snowing with sleet mixed in down towards Blacksburg, VA. Radar looks like a wall just south of me.......... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 8, 2013 Author Share Posted February 8, 2013 Willamantic is closest .. IJD. But it's lower elev and south. Kev would probably you rather go off ORH. he only gets 2.2 liquid Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BTRWx Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 Cantore may end up with his yard stick in the wrong city. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 whats the station code for Tolland,CT? I think KIJD is the closest Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scraff Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 Berk on twitter says southern storm already stronger than originally modeled. Could mean colder storm. Hmmmm... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solo2 Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 Berk on twitter says southern storm already stronger than originally modeled. Could mean colder storm. Hmmmm... Here we go... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 he only gets 2.2 liquid Lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 he only gets 2.2 liquid man, sucks to be him Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 Berk on twitter says southern storm already stronger than originally modeled. Could mean colder storm. Hmmmm... It's amazing that accuweather or weatherbell has not hired him yet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 Berk on twitter says southern storm already stronger than originally modeled. Could mean colder storm. Hmmmm... Not really... he was also the one I am pretty sure who kept calling for DC to get 4" I believe in the the storm Zwyts and Ian chased south toward RIC and we got a coating... he isnt really beliveable IMO Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.