ravensrule Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 I'll bet there will be a surprise with this somewhere. Whether that's DC, Balt, ne Maryland, whether it's front end, back side, I don't know, but i'll bet it happens. I'm out, so don't think this is just some weenie post. If by surprise you mean 2" then I think you are right. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 If by surprise you mean 2" then I think you are right. Yeah, I'm not talking a foot, but if somebody over in that area gets a decent winter event, I'm not going to be surprised. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 I'll bet there will be a surprise with this somewhere. Whether that's DC, Balt, ne Maryland, whether it's front end, back side, I don't know, but i'll bet it happens. I'm out, so don't think this is just some weenie post. Cant see it happening on the front end. There is a slight chance on the back-end with wrap-around, but that works out like once every 20 years. I got 3 inches from that April 97 storm...so maybe its time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MDstorm Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 yeah still not great but the low is going south.. reacharound! the models suck at that range anyway so anything is possible. SNE gets rain next week per GFS---can't be right. MDstorm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scraff Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 http://www.erh.noaa.gov/er/lwx/winterstorm/ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 i really hate us sometimes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FrederickWX Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 Nice storm for them, while we continue to chase flurries, rainstorms, and fantasy storms. We've had good snowstorms north, south and west of us this winter. The DC Snow Shield continues it's two year run of unyielding strength. All hail the shield!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 Stop it Ian-Nemo. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 if they're dumb enough to hug the nam they deserve it. To be fair to them, they have had the euro all along, then for a time had the GGEM, NAM, and GFS for a run or two advertising 2 ft plus for their area. Now the GGEM and GFS has backed off significantly to more of a typical 12-18" type storm. They still have the euro and NAM and of course are hugging them. Its not like they have alwayws only had the NAM, and even now they still have the euro for another 50 minutes at least... I can see how yesterday when all guidance was trending towards a massive snow and the euro had been rock solid with that solution for several runs, that they bought in and now its hard to let it go. Yes in the end they will get a foot or more and should be happy but it still hurts to have a historic event right in front of you then have it kind of slip away at the last minute. Rooting against them just because we are not getting snow seems kinda petty to me. I root for NYC and Boston to miss a storm if it means they miss it to the south or the storm cuts further west thus we get snow here...but I have never been interested in rooting for a storm to go OTS and miss everyone just because I am not getting snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 7, 2013 Author Share Posted February 7, 2013 Boston will get more snow in a 2 hour period than we have seen the past 2 years Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastCoast NPZ Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 Boston will get more snow in a 2 hour period than we have seen the past 2 years Don't worry, this won't be the last time they cash-in during the upcoming pattern. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 Don't worry, this won't be the last time they cash-in during the upcoming pattern. if this ends up being a Feb 1969 repeat after what we have been through the last 2 years alreayd, then we have a right to think God hates us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 the euro rakes us..how much snow at the beginning if any? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
usedtobe Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 the euro rakes us..how much snow at the beginning if any? Need to know the 950mb temp to know. 850 won't help you, the surface will some but the real heat early is at 950 mb or so. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 just a quick and dirty glance, euro looks like 0.8" for DCA Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 12z rgem front ends us. I'm huggin Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 Need to know the 950mb temp to know. 850 won't help you, the surface will some but the real heat early is at 950 mb or so. I'm assuming it is warm...How cold do we need 950?...can we get snow at +1? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MN Transplant Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 The NMM/ARW actually do have some on the backside, mostly for MD Saturday morning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 the euro is insane for 40N Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TUweathermanDD Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 Euro went the nam's way. Closer to the backend I suppose...ill take flakes on my punt storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 I'm assuming it is warm...How cold do we need 950?...can we get snow at +1? we got an inch of snow the other day from those convective snowshowers that came across northern MD with the front with temps around 37 degrees. BUt it was snowing at a crazy rate, golf ball size flakes and such so...I guess it depends how hard it is snowing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
usedtobe Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 I'm assuming it is warm...How cold do we need 950?...can we get snow at +1? That's usually about the cut off but you can get mixed snow and rain up to 3C if the layer is shallow enough. Above 3C it's almost always rain. The other models mostly looked too warm except back towards FDK and points west at onset. Unless we get backside action, I'm not much interested in this storm for us. Course I could always be wrong along with the GFS and NAM soundings. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 everytime you say that, it reminds me of that DMB music video where that guy gives everyone a hug. hr 18 of 16z rap. 850's sub freezin, 925's breezin, surface cheezin. I'm huggin Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 Need to know the 950mb temp to know. 850 won't help you, the surface will some but the real heat early is at 950 mb or so. even the 850s arent good for DC and SE. we do get a lot more precip but still a sharp cutoff across the area.. living on the edge is always an issue. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 we got an inch of snow the other day from those convective snowshowers that came across northern MD with the front with temps around 37 degrees. BUt it was snowing at a crazy rate, golf ball size flakes and such so...I guess it depends how hard it is snowing. yeah...but it was probably cold from 975 up Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 Snow map has snow to the SW of DC area.. not sure how tho. Nice little hole up the Potomac. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 7, 2013 Author Share Posted February 7, 2013 the euro rakes us..how much snow at the beginning if any? FRI 06Z 08-FEB 1.6 -2.5 1022 83 82 0.01 559 542 FRI 12Z 08-FEB 3.2 -0.9 1016 98 95 0.27 556 543 FRI 18Z 08-FEB 4.2 0.5 1010 95 96 0.37 552 544 SAT 00Z 09-FEB 3.2 -2.5 1009 96 53 0.04 544 536 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 Snow map has snow to the SW of DC area.. not sure how tho. Nice little hole up the Potomac.guess it's at the beginning Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.