Bob Chill Posted February 5, 2013 Share Posted February 5, 2013 At least boston and sne look safe for a solid pounding. That's a relief. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted February 5, 2013 Share Posted February 5, 2013 12z GFS so close....is there any reason to think the OV low will just disappear? Earlier I said this was such a long shot because we would need the northern branch to weaken and not destroy the thermal profile as much but then also for the southern system to amplify quickly. So far the trend in all the models is for both... less influence from the northern branch AND a more dominant southern system. We really are so so close now... and perhaps if the trend continues this might be salvageable. I am still very interested in the pattern coming up later in Feb also. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted February 5, 2013 Share Posted February 5, 2013 The coolest part about the gfs is the 850 line has been south to way south of us for like 1000 straight hours now but it does such a sweet job at moving n of us as precip moves and but thank god it quickly drops south right after the precip is gone. It's like ballet it's so pretty. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted February 5, 2013 Share Posted February 5, 2013 still early in the game imho it could go either way up and down the coast just assume the worst for us and maybe we get a surprise Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 5, 2013 Author Share Posted February 5, 2013 this would really hurt if it was all rain. Noreaster with a 1035 high in early Feb during a cold pattern and somehow its mostly rain. The Euro has been trending colder the past few runs Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted February 5, 2013 Share Posted February 5, 2013 Well, 2 beats 1 most of the time. We've got the low strengthening which should wrap in some ne flow, and the high to the ne doing the same thing, vs the low to our west trying to pull in warm air from the sw (which isn't an easy thing to do in our area this time of year, especially if it weakens a little). 2>1 (I hope) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted February 5, 2013 Share Posted February 5, 2013 The coolest part about the gfs is the 850 line has been south to way south of us for like 1000 straight hours now but it does such a sweet job at moving n of us as precip moves and but thank god it quickly drops south right after the precip is gone. It's like ballet it's so pretty. Warm/Wet and Cold/Dry is one the most beautiful cycles in nature. Truly an amazing planet we live on! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted February 5, 2013 Share Posted February 5, 2013 The coolest part about the gfs is the 850 line has been south to way south of us for like 1000 straight hours now but it does such a sweet job at moving n of us as precip moves and but thank god it quickly drops south right after the precip is gone. It's like ballet it's so pretty. Unintended pun? Seek help quickly. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted February 5, 2013 Share Posted February 5, 2013 this would really hurt if it was all rain. Noreaster with a 1035 high in early Feb during a cold pattern and somehow its mostly rain. The Euro has been trending colder the past few runs Oh dear Ji, don't do it bro...don't invest...just watch. Right now it's nothing...assume it stays that way...don't set yourself up for a world of sad. Take a trip to Boston, it's a cheap flight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted February 5, 2013 Share Posted February 5, 2013 It is so nice to at least have an STJ again so that we will have things to track for the next few weeks. They may not work out, but at least they have a legit chance and are worth following. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted February 5, 2013 Share Posted February 5, 2013 nothing, I mean nothing, has been a slam-dunk this year at 3-4 days for anyone on the east coast I guess there's always a first time, but I don't believe it in fact, the Euro came in cold for us last night and I wouldn't be surprised to see it continue that trend especially in light of all the systems that have been crushed/dampened to the south this year <now watch it trend north> Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted February 5, 2013 Share Posted February 5, 2013 this would really hurt if it was all rain. Noreaster with a 1035 high in early Feb during a cold pattern and somehow its mostly rain. The Euro has been trending colder the past few runs probably b/c it was too amped like always tho hm says that's hogwash i suppose Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted February 5, 2013 Share Posted February 5, 2013 dc bullseye.. just don't glance north Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted February 5, 2013 Share Posted February 5, 2013 dc bullseye.. just don't glance north BCWoBpsCQAA72St.png large.png Ian, you think we could get some of that brown color down this way? Blue is just not my favorite. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted February 5, 2013 Share Posted February 5, 2013 dc bullseye.. just don't glance north BCWoBpsCQAA72St.png large.png do you think it's really going to look like that in 102 hrs? I sure don't....I just don't know what it really will look like lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Subtropics Posted February 5, 2013 Share Posted February 5, 2013 You could argue SNE is more due than we are.. This winter has been awful for them as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted February 5, 2013 Share Posted February 5, 2013 dc bullseye.. just don't glance north BCWoBpsCQAA72St.png large.png The takeaway from that to me is....previous runs showed nothing...this is one where you don't worry about what someone else may be getting and just be happy if your area gets anything. Liking the trends for now but who knows...it is only Tuesday Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted February 5, 2013 Share Posted February 5, 2013 You could argue SNE is more due than we are.. This winter has been awful for them as well. Ctblizz has almost 40" of snow in his sig....I'm thinking they are just fine up there... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted February 5, 2013 Share Posted February 5, 2013 do you think it's really going to look like that in 102 hrs? I sure don't....I just don't know what it really will look like lol my guess is that our numbers go down and boston's numbers go up but this is kind of a shady pattern for a big snowstorm so maybe everyone will bust Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted February 5, 2013 Share Posted February 5, 2013 The takeaway from that to me is....previous runs showed nothing...this is one where you don't worry about what someone else may be getting and just be happy if your area gets anything. Liking the trends for now but who knows...it is only Tuesday I'd be pretty stoked if the brown turd over e mass was dropped here instead. I guess it's so bad here we can't even get a deuce dropped on us when we want it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted February 5, 2013 Share Posted February 5, 2013 Can't we have a track like the UKIE when its cold enough here? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastCoast NPZ Posted February 5, 2013 Share Posted February 5, 2013 do you think it's really going to look like that in 102 hrs? I sure don't....I just don't know what it really will look like lol I sure don't think it'll look like that in 102h either. The southern edge of that blue area will be at least another 100 miles north. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lsukev Posted February 5, 2013 Share Posted February 5, 2013 You can cut the pessimism in here with a knife. We really need a legit snowstorm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wonderdog Posted February 5, 2013 Share Posted February 5, 2013 do you think it's really going to look like that in 102 hrs? I sure don't....I just don't know what it really will look like lol I think it will look somewhat better. Just a feeling, I like the trend the last 2 days. We have Climo on our side; we have a 1037 hi and the GFS has the storm now. Time to strap in. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Avdave Posted February 5, 2013 Share Posted February 5, 2013 12z Euro isnt looking so hot for us so far, out to 66 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TUweathermanDD Posted February 5, 2013 Share Posted February 5, 2013 12z Euro isnt looking so hot for us so far, out to 66 Wrong, its very hot. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted February 5, 2013 Share Posted February 5, 2013 12z Euro isnt looking so hot for us so far, out to 66 looks pretty hot.. as in not cold Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TUweathermanDD Posted February 5, 2013 Share Posted February 5, 2013 looks pretty hot.. as in not cold See above Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted February 5, 2013 Share Posted February 5, 2013 Shut down your browser of the EURO after 72 unless you want to be frustrated Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted February 5, 2013 Share Posted February 5, 2013 SNE....jesus Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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