Jump to content
  • Member Statistics

    17,793
    Total Members
    7,904
    Most Online
    manaja
    Newest Member
    manaja
    Joined

PUNTING NEMO


Ji

Recommended Posts

  • Replies 1.5k
  • Created
  • Last Reply

GGEM has such a huge CCB, it actually gets respectable precip back towards DC and Baltimore early Saturday.  Has 1cm of precip total for DC-Baltimore and points N/E as well.  Of course, we know how often such a thing happens, but I'm going to hug whatever's there...

 

:lol:  And I just checked...it's actually still rain or at best a RA/SN mix near the M-D line.  :axe:

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Ian, what the heck happens to that Low on Day 7 on the Euro?

looks like it's a mess till it gets by us. for some reason there are two low centers.. one SW and the other off the NC coast.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

ughh, forget my post above then

 

it's sorta in the realm where maybe we could get a good move.. it doesn't look super horrible yet, but it looks kinda familiar too. guess yesterday's run was a fluke.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

it's sorta in the realm where maybe we could get a good move.. it doesn't look super horrible yet, but it looks kinda familiar too. guess yesterday's run was a fluke.

 

GFS was good enough too. At least not terrible with plenty of room for it to cut further west or slide out beneath us. Nobody does winter like the MA. Nobody. 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Yeah, if it's not hitting us, everybody else be damned!

 

Makes sense.  To have storm mode for here since this forum seems obsessed with how New England is going to do with this storm.  We'll probably have more posts about that then our own weather.  People down here are going to get pretty excited by the 38" in Worcester!

Link to comment
Share on other sites

I know most here know this but just to reinforce the problem at hand for those who are hoping because the 1036hp looks so good,  this says a lot:

 

attachicon.gifnamwind.JPG

 

Look at the wind barbs in our area. S-SE surface flow is a dagger. Same flow @ 850 too. 

 

The low near the lakes is a warm air vacuum. That beautiful 1036 hp is rendered useless until the 850 circulation shuts off to our n-w. If the antecedent airmass was much colder then we could talk about meaningful front end precip but there is just too much stacked against us here. 

 

There is a very very slim chance the circ around the low to the nw shuts off fast enough to let the low to our south pull enough cold air down to give us something at the end but I wouldn't bet a dollar at 5-1 odds on it. 

The 1036 high will thwart the contour closing off on the nw low and thus the nw low will be rendered far less effectual than is currenlty being portrayed.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Archived

This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.

  • Recently Browsing   0 members

    • No registered users viewing this page.

×
×
  • Create New...