Ji Posted February 5, 2013 Share Posted February 5, 2013 DC gets frozen start? Wet snow?. Euro says maybeAlso..euro shows coastal on feb 15 from leftover stj energy Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 5, 2013 Author Share Posted February 5, 2013 Surface looks warm though. Has to be overdone with that high sitting to the north Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 5, 2013 Author Share Posted February 5, 2013 Boston gets crushed. Holy crap. Blizzard Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 5, 2013 Author Share Posted February 5, 2013 Just don't see the surface temps being that high. This could be 2-3 inch wet snow evebt Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 5, 2013 Author Share Posted February 5, 2013 Boston 18-28 inches Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 5, 2013 Author Share Posted February 5, 2013 Euro big DC snow at 240 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MDstorm Posted February 5, 2013 Share Posted February 5, 2013 Euro big DC snow at 240 Wow....only 240 hours away. That's a lot better than those old 10 day threats that never pan out. Anyway, sleep is over-rated.....I'm all in for this threat. MDstorm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eurojosh Posted February 5, 2013 Share Posted February 5, 2013 How is this a thread? Do we never learn? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattie g Posted February 5, 2013 Share Posted February 5, 2013 I didn't even need to see who the thread starter was - I knew it would be Ji. Well played. I'm all in with my unsuited 2-7. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted February 5, 2013 Share Posted February 5, 2013 Euro big DC snow at 240 Dude, its a cutter Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted February 5, 2013 Share Posted February 5, 2013 Ji is using the inverse optometry approach. Starting off looking like sh!t and then get better. Much better than the reverse ophthalmology approach that has been suckin it all season. I'm ALL IN Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted February 5, 2013 Share Posted February 5, 2013 Ji is using the inverse optometry approach. Starting off looking like sh!t and then get better. Much better than the reverse ophthalmology approach that has been suckin it all season. I'm ALL IN 200/20 eyesight? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowfan Posted February 5, 2013 Share Posted February 5, 2013 Another dumb thread Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
anotherman Posted February 5, 2013 Share Posted February 5, 2013 It can't be dumber than Margusity calling for 3-6 last night. Hahahahahaha. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowfan Posted February 5, 2013 Share Posted February 5, 2013 It can't be dumber than Margusity calling for 3-6 last night. Hahahahahaha. Hey, didn't you get the memo. Certain people don't want people from your parts posting in our threads. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 5, 2013 Author Share Posted February 5, 2013 Dude, its a cutter ? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bjohnson102184 Posted February 5, 2013 Share Posted February 5, 2013 Change the date to the 18th and I am all in with you Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wonderdog Posted February 5, 2013 Share Posted February 5, 2013 Subtle changes in positioning and the storm winding up sooner could make friday's storm more interesting. I agree with the other poster who said these are the events that are fun to follow. Nice to see that the Euro has not back down on the coastal. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HM Posted February 5, 2013 Share Posted February 5, 2013 The models last week, between the GFS truncation and the model's faster Pacific Low arrival, essentially crushed the southern stream waves in the compressing flow. The last 2 days have exposed a lot of bad logic from various weather sources, whether it was "the euro has been doing this lately" to "it is the seasonal trend" to "the flow is too progressive" ... all of these things are bad logic. Instead, the questions should be, "why have they been doing this and why would or why won't that continue?" There is a 1030mb+ high with an inverted ridge, reducing the southerly component of the low level winds. There is going to be wintry precip on the front-end, assuming the modeling is in ballpark with how it's handling the s/w. Obviously, issues with precip type are a big concern, especially for the coastal areas. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 5, 2013 Author Share Posted February 5, 2013 Dude, its a cutter maybe an outer banks cutter Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted February 5, 2013 Share Posted February 5, 2013 850 temps are below freezing for the first part of the storm for us on the Euro, but surface temps are torching. Got to kill that low to the northwest so we can get some northerly component to our low-level winds. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TUweathermanDD Posted February 5, 2013 Share Posted February 5, 2013 850 temps are below freezing for the first part of the storm for us on the Euro, but surface temps are torching. Got to kill that low to the northwest so we can get some northerly component to our low-level winds. Agreed, posted something small in the NE forum on that, we aren't going to get nearly as nice a prog on our wintry chances if that primary dominates longer, what is positive is that most recent models have began to die it off quicker, so that cold allow the high to the north to bring in some more LL cold, and not allow southerly flow to torch us. Also, a note, we need to watch the track of the 850 low in a situation like this, I find it at least somewhat important. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted February 5, 2013 Share Posted February 5, 2013 You ever see the SREFS and NAM so far apart on a precip event than they are for Friday? If memory serves, these are the types of events that trend colder as we get closer. Doesn't mean it will, but it is still Feb. 5. You might think looking at some of the maps that the temps are way too warm, but they aren't as high as it would appear. Yes, even on the SREFS they are too warm, but they are barely too warm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted February 5, 2013 Share Posted February 5, 2013 12z GFS so close....is there any reason to think the OV low will just disappear? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted February 5, 2013 Share Posted February 5, 2013 12z GFS so close....is there any reason to think the OV low will just disappear? Other than the fact that "WE'RE DUE!" not really. Such a tease. Hot girl in a bar problems again. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted February 5, 2013 Share Posted February 5, 2013 On second look I suppose it's possible for the ns vort to get pushed a little further south. Depends on the pv of course. 100 miles south and we get a quicker transfer and the 1035hp to the n can do it's thing. It's going to be messy and close but we need some help quick. Only a couple of days to play. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted February 5, 2013 Share Posted February 5, 2013 12z GFS so close....is there any reason to think the OV low will just disappear? Eh...OH Valley low is much stronger on 12z than (for example) 6z. Coastal is too, however. End result isn't too different. It probably won't disappear...but if it can weaken and the coastal can get stronger faster, we might have a chance. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 5, 2013 Author Share Posted February 5, 2013 12z GFS so close....is there any reason to think the OV low will just disappear? its so close...its warmer than the euro. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TUweathermanDD Posted February 5, 2013 Share Posted February 5, 2013 On second look I suppose it's possible for the ns vort to get pushed a little further south. Depends on the pv of course. 100 miles south and we get a quicker transfer and the 1035hp to the n can do it's thing. It's going to be messy and close but we need some help quick. Only a couple of days to play. Closer than i ever thought we'd be. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted February 5, 2013 Author Share Posted February 5, 2013 man..the european model sometimes just shocks me Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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