Chicago WX Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 NAM crushes Toronto. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wisconsinwx Posted February 7, 2013 Author Share Posted February 7, 2013 The warm tongue is covering almost all of Wisconsin right now, it'll get pushed out by the cold front overnight Thursday. The 0 C isotherm is going to stall roughly along a line from La Crosse to Madison to Chicago. http://www.aos.wisc.edu/weatherdata/avn_tempest/12UTC/avn_c850_flash.html Light snow underway, decent flake size and now it's really starting to come down. 20-25 dBZ overhead. 28 F on top of the meteorology building. So you think Milwaukee should be all snow? Besides the NAM, most of the models basically have us all snow, but some confirmation from a guy with a better handle on trends is appreciated. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 looks like it's going to happen for SSC Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 NAM crushes Toronto. Probably going to nip at 1.50" QPF. Slash that number by the standard 40% and we still have a pretty sweet storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmc76 Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 looks like it's going to happen for SSC Yep. 10-15" easy! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hm8 Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 20" + run for YYZ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OntarioWX Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 It's looking really likely that somebody in Ontario will end up with at least a foot. It won't be here but somewhere north of Toronto looks good. Perhaps even nipping at the city itself? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 A whooping. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 looks like it's going to happen for SSC I've earned it through my suffering I think. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowstorms Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 Probably going to nip at 1.50" QPF. Slash that number by the standard 40% and we still have a pretty sweet storm. I'm sticking with my 7-10" for now. If this consistency continues then i'll up my forecast. haha it shows 70cm for Kingston lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jim Marusak Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 20" + run for YYZ mayor ford would be pulling a mayor mel asking for the army after a storm like that for the downtown. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 NAM hi res Ripping snow in Chicago before the op NAM. Southern Ontario does well on this model. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmc76 Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 DTW is a 2-4" magnet! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 I've earned it through my suffering I think. Your big storm climo would indicate due-ness Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 NAM hi res Ripping snow in Chicago before the op NAM. torching mid level warm layer a stone cold lock Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ajdos Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 Nam looks awesome for Detroit..Toast to another storm...NOT Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ajdos Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 DTW is a 2-4" magnet! LOL...Yeah, it really is the City of the 2-4" inchers... LMAO Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SpartyOn Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 DTW is a 2-4" magnet! For real. They cant shake it higher it seems. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 Kinda sucks this storm isn't sharing the wealth much. These threads are way more fun when its bustling with up to 100 weenies at a time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmc76 Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 Kinda sucks this storm isn't sharing the wealth much. These threads are way more fun when its bustling with up to 100 weenies at a time. hey enjoy it! Don't worry about us. Were used to this Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SpartyOn Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 Blockbuster GTA event. SSC is getting his well deserved settlement for a 5 year drought. Crongratz dude. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chargers09 Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 Still tossing towels after the nam i see. This is a nightly occurence. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 Congrats Toronto folks! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmc76 Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 Maybe I need to update the biggest Toronto storms thread Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
michsnowfreak Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 For real. They cant shake it higher it seems. They just had it higher Dec 26. Seriously though....I would take 2-4" considering 2 days ago I expected nothing. If you want to be technical, this is the best NAM run we have seen for here, though it still is no gfs or euro. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chargers09 Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 4 km nam was pretty. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SpartyOn Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 The NAM is the 500lb Gorilla in the room for Detroit and points south. its hard to ignore it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmc76 Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 They just had it higher Dec 26. Seriously though....I would take 2-4" considering 2 days ago I expected nothing. If you want to be technical, this is the best NAM run we have seen for here, though it still is no gfs or euro. yes it is No dry slot. moisture moves out so quick Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 Here is the 00z NAM forecast sounding for ORD valid at 21z tomorrow. The lowest 200 mb or so are hovering right around freezing so trying to come up with a precise time for changeover is going to be challenging. CAA is nonexistent for much of the event so I think precip rates are going to be key. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 Congrats are much appreciated guys but not a flake has fallen here yet. Conversion is the hardest part. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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