dmc76 Posted February 6, 2013 Share Posted February 6, 2013 I'm going with 10-15" for theToronto area Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted February 6, 2013 Share Posted February 6, 2013 15z SREF individual and mean total QPF for MI and ON folks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chargers09 Posted February 6, 2013 Share Posted February 6, 2013 Lol the nam. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted February 6, 2013 Share Posted February 6, 2013 You're disappointed. lol, i was prepared for it to torch...will make tomorrow's clunker sting just a little more Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gosaints Posted February 6, 2013 Share Posted February 6, 2013 15z SREF individual and mean total QPF for MI and ON folks. 2:6 15z SREF total QPF.gif Lol holy balls boston i repeat holy balls Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jonger Posted February 6, 2013 Share Posted February 6, 2013 Mt Pleasant It's 33 degrees in Cleveland right now.... Doing some work out this way. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted February 6, 2013 Share Posted February 6, 2013 If Chicago peeps could draw one up, this would be the run. Alas... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OntarioWX Posted February 6, 2013 Share Posted February 6, 2013 15z SREF individual and mean total QPF for MI and ON folks. 2:6 15z SREF total QPF.gif Clinging to the edge of that 125 line. Not really expecting anything close to those kind of amounts but a man can dream. Looks like the north shore of Lake Ontario (Oshawa, Belleville, Kingston) is going to be the place to be in Ontario at least. See you later, Boston. It was nice knowing you. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted February 6, 2013 Share Posted February 6, 2013 If Chicago peeps could draw one up, this would be the run. Alas... This is like the 4th storm this year where the NAM has given false hope inside 24 hours...i'll never learn. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted February 6, 2013 Share Posted February 6, 2013 Maybe it doesn't get much better for the Toronto crew. 15z SREF 12 hour 12"+ snow probabilities... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SchaumburgStormer Posted February 6, 2013 Share Posted February 6, 2013 This is like the 4th storm this year where the NAM has given false hope inside 24 hours...i'll never learn. Haha not sure why I have any optimism on this one. We can bump my calls tomorrow when I fail miserably. NAM has been scary bad this winter. GFS has been the best loser for the past few impulses. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted February 6, 2013 Share Posted February 6, 2013 Lol holy balls boston i repeat holy balls That town is going to be buried for days if those strong solutions pan out! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted February 6, 2013 Share Posted February 6, 2013 This is like the 4th storm this year where the NAM has given false hope inside 24 hours...i'll never learn. It have me a lot of false hope in GHD. I learned then. Funny thing is, you used to be able to rely on its thermals...but now it seems it's cool biased in the near term. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtrackertf Posted February 6, 2013 Share Posted February 6, 2013 Of course once a big storm gets a brewing, far SEMI runs out of luck. Ah well, at least we should get some snow out of this. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted February 6, 2013 Share Posted February 6, 2013 Haha not sure why I have any optimism on this one. We can bump my calls tomorrow when I fail miserably. NAM has been scary bad this winter. GFS has been the best loser for the past few impulses. GFS typical gets more solutions right compared to the NAM. It nailed down the first two clipper pretty well, I'd say. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathergy Posted February 6, 2013 Share Posted February 6, 2013 I'm getting kinda tired of the 2-4" events. Go big or go home. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted February 6, 2013 Share Posted February 6, 2013 And for the rest...15z SREF 12 hour snow probabilities through 6z Friday. SE WI upward and onward looks pretty solid. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ajdos Posted February 6, 2013 Share Posted February 6, 2013 URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND RAPIDS MI 309 PM EST WED FEB 6 2013 GRR issues warnings.. MASON-LAKE-OSCEOLA-CLARE-OCEANA-NEWAYGO-MECOSTA-ISABELLA-MUSKEGON- MONTCALM-GRATIOT-OTTAWA-KENT-IONIA-CLINTON-ALLEGAN-BARRY-EATON- INGHAM- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...LUDINGTON...BALDWIN...REED CITY... CLARE...HART...FREMONT...BIG RAPIDS...MOUNT PLEASANT...MUSKEGON... GREENVILLE...ALMA...JENISON...GRAND RAPIDS...IONIA...ST. JOHNS... HOLLAND...HASTINGS...CHARLOTTE...LANSING 309 PM EST WED FEB 6 2013 ...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM NOON THURSDAY TO NOON EST FRIDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GRAND RAPIDS HAS ISSUED A WINTER STORM WARNING FOR SNOW...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM NOON THURSDAY TO NOON EST FRIDAY. THE WINTER STORM WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. HAZARDOUS WEATHER... * SNOW WILL DEVELOP THURSDAY AFTERNOON AND CONTINUE UNTIL EARLY FRIDAY MORNING. * TOTAL SNOWFALL OF 6 TO 12 INCHES IS EXPECTED. SOME LOCATIONS MAY SEE MORE THAN 12 INCHES OF SNOW. * SNOW WILL BE WET AND HEAVY IN NATURE. IMPACTS... * TRAVEL CONDITIONS ARE LIKELY TO BECOME VERY HAZARDOUS...ESPECIALLY THURSDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT. * VISIBILITIES NEAR ZERO AT TIMES...ESPECIALLY AT NIGHT. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... * WEATHER PREPAREDNESS INFORMATION IS AVAILABLE ON LINE AT WWW.READY.GOV/WINTER AND HTTP://GO.USA.GOV/5OG. && $$ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted February 6, 2013 Share Posted February 6, 2013 lol @ EC not even going with a watch. I know the brunt of the storm now looks like Friday morning, but geez. You're not going to get much higher probability for a 3rd-4th period event. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SchaumburgStormer Posted February 6, 2013 Share Posted February 6, 2013 GFS typical gets more solutions right compared to the NAM. It nailed down the first two clipper pretty well, I'd say. Yeah, but this winter it is basically the smartest kid in the special ed class. Models have been god awful. So I am running on the gut instinct and hoping for a significant southern trend. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ajdos Posted February 6, 2013 Share Posted February 6, 2013 I'm getting kinda tired of the 2-4" events. Go big or go home. Agree......Most of the snow almost melted today with all the sunshine... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
harrisale Posted February 6, 2013 Share Posted February 6, 2013 Maybe it doesn't get much better for the Toronto crew. 15z SREF 12 hour 12"+ snow probabilities... 2:6 15z SREF 51 hours YYZ.gif Best thing I've seen all day. Bullseye. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
toronto blizzard Posted February 6, 2013 Share Posted February 6, 2013 lol @ EC not even going with a watch. I know the brunt of the storm now looks like Friday morning, but geez. You're not going to get much higher probability for a 3rd-4th period event. I heard that watches were supposed to be issued at 3:30 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OntarioWX Posted February 6, 2013 Share Posted February 6, 2013 lol @ EC not even going with a watch. I know the brunt of the storm now looks like Friday morning, but geez. You're not going to get much higher probability for a 3rd-4th period event. With the way the Boxing Day storm went, EC might wait until there is 6" of snow on the ground already before making a statement. I hope I'm proven wrong but they always seem to be way too bullish or not reactive enough. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
harrisale Posted February 6, 2013 Share Posted February 6, 2013 lol @ EC not even going with a watch. I know the brunt of the storm now looks like Friday morning, but geez. You're not going to get much higher probability for a 3rd-4th period event. They still have 10-15cm "is possible" in the SWS. I think its safe to say that 20-30cm "is possible" at this point. Heaviest rates hit right during the Friday morning commute. People need to plan... its going to be a mess on the roads Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
daddylonglegs Posted February 6, 2013 Share Posted February 6, 2013 Looks like a Saukville special..i'm sure he's thrilled. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stevo6899 Posted February 6, 2013 Share Posted February 6, 2013 Of course once a big storm gets a brewing, far SEMI runs out of luck. Ah well, at least we should get some snow out of this. Nam is usually too far north so we might have that on our sides. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gosaints Posted February 6, 2013 Share Posted February 6, 2013 Nam is usually too far north so we might have that on our sides. Not this year Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted February 6, 2013 Share Posted February 6, 2013 NAM still liking 1.25"+ for Toronto. Wish the dryslot wasn't so close though. Considering how they're almost always underdone by the models it has me slightly concerned and another reason I'm not honkinh any 10"+ numbers. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WestCoaster Posted February 6, 2013 Share Posted February 6, 2013 EC taking it's sweet time posing that 3:30 PM update... me thinks there's panic at the weatheroffice. If they issue another "Special Statement" because of the timing we'll know they're trying to buy themselves more time. Whimps. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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