A-L-E-K Posted February 6, 2013 Share Posted February 6, 2013 Should let Moneyman back in. At least 0.75" for Fond du Lac. Sheboygan may be the big winner in WI, if the Euro is right. don't like the sound of that EDIT: just seeing the euro on wunderground now...awful Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmc76 Posted February 6, 2013 Share Posted February 6, 2013 over 0.90"+ QPF for MKE?? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ajdos Posted February 6, 2013 Share Posted February 6, 2013 I wish a third of that was possible in SE Michigan. No ocean makes 12+ rare... 20 inches is a 1-2 per hundred year event here. Forget it..When they get hit they really get hit...we get our clippers... LOL Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BeastFromTheEast Posted February 6, 2013 Share Posted February 6, 2013 over 0.90"+ QPF for MKE?? Pumped! Best storm since GHD forsure if everything goes to plan.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wisconsinwx Posted February 6, 2013 Author Share Posted February 6, 2013 How's this going to impact the schools in SE Wisco is my next question. I'd imagine this will be a major problem for the am rush? Who knows? City schools are less likely to close because it takes a worse storm and this won't ramp up until late morning in SE Wisconsin most likely but rural districts on the outskirts may be more likely to close. I'm glad I don't have such concerns hanging over my head anymore. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted February 6, 2013 Share Posted February 6, 2013 1.00"+ Everything is shifted north though, compared to the 0z run. I'm guessing that means that dry slot is nipping at my heels. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmc76 Posted February 6, 2013 Share Posted February 6, 2013 Pumped! Best storm since GHD forsure if everything goes to plan.. 0.22" jump from 00Z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted February 6, 2013 Share Posted February 6, 2013 I'm guessing that means that dry slot is nipping at my heels. you have to gamble with the dry slot to get the goods Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted February 6, 2013 Share Posted February 6, 2013 don't like the sound of that EDIT: just seeing the euro on wunderground now...awful For most of N IL, yep. Looking at total QPF, it's a fairly good jump north versus the 0z run. MKE still does good, but jackpot would be north of them in WI. In MI, everything is again shifted north. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted February 6, 2013 Share Posted February 6, 2013 For most of N IL, yep. Looking at total QPF, it's a fairly good jump north versus the 0z run. MKE still does good, but jackpot would be north of them in WI. In MI, everything is again shifted north. Joe's DAB looking good again Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
harrisale Posted February 6, 2013 Share Posted February 6, 2013 Euro ups totals again for YYZ. 1.32" QPF. This is a great trend Time to start getting excited. YYZ THU 06Z 07-FEB -6.6 -11.8 1029 67 97 0.00 546 524 THU 12Z 07-FEB -5.5 -11.5 1029 73 96 0.01 548 526 THU 18Z 07-FEB -3.1 -8.6 1028 64 98 0.01 550 528 FRI 00Z 08-FEB -4.3 -6.0 1026 80 100 0.05 550 530 FRI 06Z 08-FEB -3.3 -5.6 1021 82 90 0.09 548 532 FRI 12Z 08-FEB -4.2 -6.4 1016 86 100 0.23 545 533 FRI 18Z 08-FEB -7.9 -7.6 1016 86 100 0.69 541 528 SAT 00Z 09-FEB -9.1 -9.6 1020 80 99 0.21 536 521 SAT 06Z 09-FEB -10.8 -10.5 1023 81 60 0.03 538 520 SAT 12Z 09-FEB -13.3 -9.5 1028 85 9 0.00 543 522 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted February 6, 2013 Share Posted February 6, 2013 I'm guessing that means that dry slot is nipping at my heels. Probably. It's just north with everything...while still keeping you in the goods of course. Stark difference is off to your east/northeast...where they went from 0.25-0.50" to 1.25"+. YOW, YUL, etc get crushed. Amazing really. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted February 6, 2013 Share Posted February 6, 2013 Euro ups totals again for YYZ. 1.32" QPF. This is a great trend Time to start getting excited. THU 06Z 07-FEB -6.6 -11.8 1029 67 97 0.00 546 524 THU 12Z 07-FEB -5.5 -11.5 1029 73 96 0.01 548 526 THU 18Z 07-FEB -3.1 -8.6 1028 64 98 0.01 550 528 FRI 00Z 08-FEB -4.3 -6.0 1026 80 100 0.05 550 530 FRI 06Z 08-FEB -3.3 -5.6 1021 82 90 0.09 548 532 FRI 12Z 08-FEB -4.2 -6.4 1016 86 100 0.23 545 533 FRI 18Z 08-FEB -7.9 -7.6 1016 86 100 0.69 541 528 SAT 00Z 09-FEB -9.1 -9.6 1020 80 99 0.21 536 521 SAT 06Z 09-FEB -10.8 -10.5 1023 81 60 0.03 538 520 SAT 12Z 09-FEB -13.3 -9.5 1028 85 9 0.00 543 522 Think I'm going to up the high end of my range range from 6-8" to 6-10". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted February 6, 2013 Share Posted February 6, 2013 For most of N IL, yep. Looking at total QPF, it's a fairly good jump north versus the 0z run. MKE still does good, but jackpot would be north of them in WI. In MI, everything is again shifted north. Uh oh... How far north? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted February 6, 2013 Share Posted February 6, 2013 12z ECMWF text list...Short version... DVN: THU 12Z 07-FEB 2.1 3.4 1016 84 87 0.04 556 543 THU 18Z 07-FEB 3.1 1.9 1015 91 99 0.07 554 542 FRI 00Z 08-FEB 0.7 -1.0 1014 99 96 0.32 550 538 FRI 06Z 08-FEB 0.2 -3.8 1019 89 37 0.02 544 529 MKE: THU 06Z 07-FEB 0.0 0.0 1021 83 99 0.01 554 537 THU 12Z 07-FEB -0.1 -1.0 1020 87 93 0.05 553 537 THU 18Z 07-FEB 0.5 -1.4 1018 92 100 0.15 552 538 FRI 00Z 08-FEB -0.1 -4.4 1015 97 100 0.36 549 537 FRI 06Z 08-FEB -1.2 -7.3 1016 92 96 0.33 541 528 FRI 12Z 08-FEB -2.4 -7.8 1022 85 42 0.05 542 525 ORD: THU 18Z 07-FEB 1.9 1.0 1017 82 88 0.03 554 541 FRI 00Z 08-FEB 1.0 -1.0 1013 95 100 0.08 551 541 FRI 06Z 08-FEB 0.1 -5.6 1014 93 85 0.24 544 532 FRI 12Z 08-FEB -1.1 -6.6 1020 87 59 0.02 543 527 FRI 18Z 08-FEB -0.9 -5.4 1026 75 19 0.01 550 529 LAF: FRI 06Z 08-FEB 4.7 0.4 1011 96 95 0.18 552 543 FRI 12Z 08-FEB 0.2 -4.5 1017 87 47 0.02 546 532 GRR: THU 12Z 07-FEB -4.0 -1.9 1023 84 95 0.01 553 535 THU 18Z 07-FEB 0.1 -2.5 1020 75 100 0.01 553 537 FRI 00Z 08-FEB -0.3 -1.6 1015 85 98 0.05 550 538 FRI 06Z 08-FEB -2.3 -4.1 1013 91 99 0.32 545 535 FRI 12Z 08-FEB -2.9 -7.6 1017 85 97 0.16 539 525 FRI 18Z 08-FEB -2.6 -6.7 1023 67 16 0.02 543 525 DTW: FRI 06Z 08-FEB -1.1 -0.1 1012 86 99 0.02 550 540 FRI 12Z 08-FEB -1.7 -3.4 1010 93 79 0.33 543 535 FRI 18Z 08-FEB -2.8 -6.8 1018 75 83 0.05 540 526 YYZ: THU 12Z 07-FEB -5.5 -11.5 1029 73 96 0.01 548 526 THU 18Z 07-FEB -3.1 -8.6 1028 64 98 0.01 550 528 FRI 00Z 08-FEB -4.3 -6.0 1026 80 100 0.05 550 530 FRI 06Z 08-FEB -3.3 -5.6 1021 82 90 0.09 548 532 FRI 12Z 08-FEB -4.2 -6.4 1016 86 100 0.23 545 533 FRI 18Z 08-FEB -7.9 -7.6 1016 86 100 0.69 541 528 SAT 00Z 09-FEB -9.1 -9.6 1020 80 99 0.21 536 521 SAT 06Z 09-FEB -10.8 -10.5 1023 81 60 0.03 538 520 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
harrisale Posted February 6, 2013 Share Posted February 6, 2013 Probably. It's just north with everything...while still keeping you in the goods of course. Stark difference is off to your east/northeast...where they went from 0.25-0.50" to 1.25"+. YOW, YUL, etc get crushed. Amazing really. Certainly a NE shift that gets Ottawa back in on the action, similar to what the GFS is saying. Euro now gives YOW 1.2" QPF, which is way up from the last run... nearly double if I'm remembering correctly. YOW: FRI 00Z 08-FEB -15.3 -14.1 1033 57 100 0.00 544 519 FRI 06Z 08-FEB -15.8 -12.1 1031 62 99 0.04 543 521 FRI 12Z 08-FEB -15.3 -11.0 1028 75 99 0.13 543 522 FRI 18Z 08-FEB -12.1 -8.8 1024 75 100 0.20 542 524 SAT 00Z 09-FEB -10.1 -9.7 1022 82 100 0.39 540 523 SAT 06Z 09-FEB -9.7 -11.0 1022 81 100 0.33 537 520 SAT 12Z 09-FEB -10.4 -10.4 1025 81 85 0.11 539 520 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted February 6, 2013 Share Posted February 6, 2013 EURO does not look to bad here around hour 39. Wish it was about 30 miles further south though, lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ajdos Posted February 6, 2013 Share Posted February 6, 2013 12z ECMWF text list...Short version... DVN: THU 12Z 07-FEB 2.1 3.4 1016 84 87 0.04 556 543 THU 18Z 07-FEB 3.1 1.9 1015 91 99 0.07 554 542 FRI 00Z 08-FEB 0.7 -1.0 1014 99 96 0.32 550 538 FRI 06Z 08-FEB 0.2 -3.8 1019 89 37 0.02 544 529 MKE: THU 06Z 07-FEB 0.0 0.0 1021 83 99 0.01 554 537 THU 12Z 07-FEB -0.1 -1.0 1020 87 93 0.05 553 537 THU 18Z 07-FEB 0.5 -1.4 1018 92 100 0.15 552 538 FRI 00Z 08-FEB -0.1 -4.4 1015 97 100 0.36 549 537 FRI 06Z 08-FEB -1.2 -7.3 1016 92 96 0.33 541 528 FRI 12Z 08-FEB -2.4 -7.8 1022 85 42 0.05 542 525 ORD: THU 18Z 07-FEB 1.9 1.0 1017 82 88 0.03 554 541 FRI 00Z 08-FEB 1.0 -1.0 1013 95 100 0.08 551 541 FRI 06Z 08-FEB 0.1 -5.6 1014 93 85 0.24 544 532 FRI 12Z 08-FEB -1.1 -6.6 1020 87 59 0.02 543 527 FRI 18Z 08-FEB -0.9 -5.4 1026 75 19 0.01 550 529 LAF: FRI 06Z 08-FEB 4.7 0.4 1011 96 95 0.18 552 543 FRI 12Z 08-FEB 0.2 -4.5 1017 87 47 0.02 546 532 GRR: THU 12Z 07-FEB -4.0 -1.9 1023 84 95 0.01 553 535 THU 18Z 07-FEB 0.1 -2.5 1020 75 100 0.01 553 537 FRI 00Z 08-FEB -0.3 -1.6 1015 85 98 0.05 550 538 FRI 06Z 08-FEB -2.3 -4.1 1013 91 99 0.32 545 535 FRI 12Z 08-FEB -2.9 -7.6 1017 85 97 0.16 539 525 FRI 18Z 08-FEB -2.6 -6.7 1023 67 16 0.02 543 525 DTW: FRI 06Z 08-FEB -1.1 -0.1 1012 86 99 0.02 550 540 FRI 12Z 08-FEB -1.7 -3.4 1010 93 79 0.33 543 535 FRI 18Z 08-FEB -2.8 -6.8 1018 75 83 0.05 540 526 YYZ: THU 12Z 07-FEB -5.5 -11.5 1029 73 96 0.01 548 526 THU 18Z 07-FEB -3.1 -8.6 1028 64 98 0.01 550 528 FRI 00Z 08-FEB -4.3 -6.0 1026 80 100 0.05 550 530 FRI 06Z 08-FEB -3.3 -5.6 1021 82 90 0.09 548 532 FRI 12Z 08-FEB -4.2 -6.4 1016 86 100 0.23 545 533 FRI 18Z 08-FEB -7.9 -7.6 1016 86 100 0.69 541 528 SAT 00Z 09-FEB -9.1 -9.6 1020 80 99 0.21 536 521 SAT 06Z 09-FEB -10.8 -10.5 1023 81 60 0.03 538 520 Might as well start raining at DTW......Going to be very close...down from last nights qpf.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted February 6, 2013 Share Posted February 6, 2013 Uh oh... How far north? Relax. It actually looks like QPF curves back SW for you versus the 0z run...probably as good, if not a bit better. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WestMichigan Posted February 6, 2013 Share Posted February 6, 2013 Wow, Euro cut the QPF total almost in half for GRR. Maybe blackrock will still get some good snow. Funny because the GFS and NAM have both been increasing QPF with each run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SchaumburgStormer Posted February 6, 2013 Share Posted February 6, 2013 EURO don't looks to bad here around hour 39. Wish it was about 30 miles further south though, lol. I am sure it will be on another run. Model insanity is the theme of the season. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted February 6, 2013 Share Posted February 6, 2013 I am sure it will be on another run. Model insanity is the theme of the season. Lol, I know. None of them exactly agree on this system. GFS would be the best for NE IL. What Skilling just showed on air. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted February 6, 2013 Share Posted February 6, 2013 Little worried about temp profiles in SE WI to be honest, as WAA can be sneaky...but I like this right now. Alek: 0.1" Boston: 23.4" Geos: 2.3" MKE: 6.8" MSN: 6.0" ORD: 0.8" Suckville: 8.5" Toronto: 9.8" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SchaumburgStormer Posted February 6, 2013 Share Posted February 6, 2013 Lol, I know. None of them exactly agree on this system. GFS would be the best for NE IL. What Skilling just showed on air. rpm_020713.jpg Be quite the b**ch slap for mby verbatim. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wisconsinwx Posted February 6, 2013 Author Share Posted February 6, 2013 Little worried about temp profiles in SE WI to be honest, as WAA can be sneaky...but I like this right now. Alek: 0.1" Boston: 23.4" Geos: 2.3" MKE: 6.8" MSN: 6.0" ORD: 0.8" Suckville: 8.5" Toronto: 9.8" Most of the models actually curve the 0C 850 line SE through Wisconsin, so MSN actually gets warmer initially than MKE. Not typical, who knows. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted February 6, 2013 Share Posted February 6, 2013 Little worried about temp profiles in SE WI to be honest, as WAA can be sneaky...but I like this right now. Alek: 0.1" Boston: 23.4" Geos: 2.3" MKE: 6.8" MSN: 6.0" ORD: 0.8" Suckville: 8.5" Toronto: 9.8" Extra dramatic effect putting Alek's total next to Boston's Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ajdos Posted February 6, 2013 Share Posted February 6, 2013 Extra dramatic effect putting Alek's total next to Boston's LOL.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted February 6, 2013 Share Posted February 6, 2013 Little worried about temp profiles in SE WI to be honest, as WAA can be sneaky...but I like this right now. Alek: 0.1" Boston: 23.4" Geos: 2.3" MKE: 6.8" MSN: 6.0" ORD: 0.8" Suckville: 8.5" Toronto: 9.8" Nice calls Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted February 6, 2013 Share Posted February 6, 2013 Most of the models actually curve the 0C 850 line SE through Wisconsin, so MSN actually gets warmer initially than MKE. Not typical, who knows. Eh, doesn't matter. Both crash. Extra dramatic effect putting Alek's total next to Boston's Totally didn't mean to do that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted February 6, 2013 Share Posted February 6, 2013 Also Boston. 5"+ qpf wtf? If anyone has bufkit, run a NAM KBOS sounding plot, funniest thing I have ever seen. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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