green tube Posted February 4, 2013 Share Posted February 4, 2013 No. I think his forecast is pretty good this time around IMO, but to say he's the best met in NJ when he has been wrong with many storms in the recent past is pretty mind boggling. alan kasper used to be really into snowstorms... but now he just seems bored by his job.... and almost annoyed when he has to deal with a storm. overall, i think he's pretty good...... but i've been hearing his forecasts for a very very long time.... i remember as kid seeing him on channel 2 in the late 1970s. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted February 4, 2013 Share Posted February 4, 2013 alan kasper used to be really into snowstorms... but now he just seems bored by his job.... and almost annoyed when he has to deal with a storm. overall, i think he's pretty good...... but i've been hearing his forecasts for a very very long time.... i remember as kid seeing him on channel 2 in the late 1970s. He's also very south and central NJ centric. He'll usually mention snow in far north and west parts of the state but generally they aren't in the 101.5 listening area. I also always hated the 'some' highs in the 40s wording. What does that mean? Are the other highs in the 50s or the 30s? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TWCCraig Posted February 4, 2013 Share Posted February 4, 2013 HRRR gives everyone less than an inch and ends precip before 5am. Agreeable. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PB GFI Posted February 4, 2013 Share Posted February 4, 2013 HRRR gives everyone less than an inch and ends precip before 5am. Agreeable. Do u have em ? Last HRRR I saw in the Philly thread painted the area w an inch. R they drier now ? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Absolute Humidity Posted February 4, 2013 Share Posted February 4, 2013 Hour 8 on 22H RAP has pecep moving into central Jersey. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
famartin Posted February 4, 2013 Share Posted February 4, 2013 Fighting over an inch of snow, look wh.at this putrid winter's done to us. +10000 hey.... we're getting better. this is only a 2 page thread. we had a 38 page thread for our inch a while back. lol. Its only a short thread because it was started this morning. I was shocked to find that a so-called "observations" thread was already 3 pages long before the storm even started Anyway, my call for TTN area is a coating to 2 inches tonight. Kinda lean towards the lower amounts, especially given how the latest NAM suddenly dried up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Absolute Humidity Posted February 4, 2013 Share Posted February 4, 2013 12 hour 22H RAP has .1 just about on top of NYC. See HRRR below http://rapidrefresh.noaa.gov/HRRR/Welcome.cgi?dsKey=hrrr_jet&domain=full&run_time=04+Feb+2013+-+20Z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ericjcrash Posted February 4, 2013 Share Posted February 4, 2013 12 hour 22H RAP has .1 just about on top of NYC. See HRRR below http://rapidrefresh.noaa.gov/HRRR/Welcome.cgi?dsKey=hrrr_jet&domain=full&run_time=04+Feb+2013+-+20Z I don't follow the HRRR often but when its brought up it always seems too wet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TWCCraig Posted February 5, 2013 Share Posted February 5, 2013 I don't follow the HRRR often but when its brought up it always seems too wet. If you consider it too wet in this situation, that would mean we see absolutely nothing. Doubt that. Dusting to an inch, if you're lucky, 1.5". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mulen Posted February 5, 2013 Share Posted February 5, 2013 Alberta disappointers how many times they don't even make it over the mountains, 50yrs in queens and can count on both hands how of these systems are disruptive. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nzucker Posted February 5, 2013 Share Posted February 5, 2013 If you consider it too wet in this situation, that would mean we see absolutely nothing. Doubt that. Dusting to an inch, if you're lucky, 1.5". Ripping? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TWCCraig Posted February 5, 2013 Share Posted February 5, 2013 Alberta disappointers how many times they don't even make it over the mountains, 50yrs in queens and can count on both hands how of these systems are disruptive. You say that about every storm. Ripping? Lol. Yep, Have some ripping clear skies right now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nzucker Posted February 5, 2013 Share Posted February 5, 2013 You say that about every storm. Lol. Yep, Have some ripping clear skies right now. Better to rip clear skies than gas like that video. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TWCCraig Posted February 5, 2013 Share Posted February 5, 2013 Better to rip clear skies than gas like that video. If we got a KU, then this would be one stinky board don't ya think? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted February 5, 2013 Share Posted February 5, 2013 Srefs seems wetter this run fwiw Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PB GFI Posted February 5, 2013 Share Posted February 5, 2013 Srefs seems wetter this run fwiwwhere does that .25 contour line get too Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfsheepsheadbay Posted February 5, 2013 Share Posted February 5, 2013 where does that .25 contour line get too Well off shore. It's not wetter...about the same. .1 for everyone in the NYC metro area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Absolute Humidity Posted February 5, 2013 Share Posted February 5, 2013 In fact, it drops Philly off the .1 contour. The .25 contour is 25-35mi further offshore than 15z. No surprise here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted February 5, 2013 Share Posted February 5, 2013 Nam drier Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PB GFI Posted February 5, 2013 Share Posted February 5, 2013 Better 1 to 2 inch forecast go by the waste side than 1 foot forecasts Judging by the radar coatings to an inch still verify. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfsheepsheadbay Posted February 5, 2013 Share Posted February 5, 2013 Nam drier Looks the same to me. .10 contour makes it to NYC and probably just west of there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 5, 2013 Share Posted February 5, 2013 Nam is .10 for NYC Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mitchel Volk Posted February 5, 2013 Share Posted February 5, 2013 Looks more like the Friday storm we has a week and a half ago, around an inch or so. There will be some very minimal ocean enhancement. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
famartin Posted February 5, 2013 Share Posted February 5, 2013 Nam is .10 for NYC That doesn't tell the real story. Its actually 0.05" 7PM-1AM, 0.02" 1AM-7AM, 0.01" 7AM-1PM, 0.01" 1PM-7PM. Realistically its more like 0.07", with what falls during the day tomorrow either not being real, or being showery hit-or-miss. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 5, 2013 Share Posted February 5, 2013 I thought it starts tonight Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TWCCraig Posted February 5, 2013 Share Posted February 5, 2013 Radar looks horrific. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 5, 2013 Share Posted February 5, 2013 Radar looks horrific. It's a clipper. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TWCCraig Posted February 5, 2013 Share Posted February 5, 2013 It's a clipper. The last few we had looked better. Of all the clippers this season, this will end up being the least snowiest (for me). Ain't gonna be rippin here tonight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TwcMan Posted February 5, 2013 Share Posted February 5, 2013 Looks like a south NJ "special" again... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
green tube Posted February 5, 2013 Share Posted February 5, 2013 Radar looks horrific. when the intellicast radar looks bad.... you really know you're fooked. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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