Absolute Humidity Posted February 4, 2013 Share Posted February 4, 2013 Not the Rgem. Rgem has only 1-2mm of precip. That's only .03"-.06" of precip. Every Clipper I've had the last month all ended up with .07 or less. Even the 1.9" event only had .07 qpf. RGEM is likely right on the dime. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted February 4, 2013 Share Posted February 4, 2013 Mount holly My forecast from Mt. Holly Tonight A slight chance of rain before 9pm, then a chance of snow. Cloudy, with a low around 19. West wind 5 to 7 mph becoming calm in the evening. Chance of precipitation is 40%. Total nighttime snow accumulation of less than a half inch possible. Tuesday A chance of snow before 9am, then a slight chance of rain between 9am and 10am. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 32. Light northeast wind. Chance of precipitation is 30%. New snow accumulation of less than a half inch possible. Tuesday Night Snow likely, mainly after 1am. Cloudy, with a low around 24. Calm wind. Chance of precipitation is 70%. New snow accumulation of around an inch possible. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted February 4, 2013 Share Posted February 4, 2013 This one appears to have a coastal enhancement aspect to it with coastal NJ, NYC, LI getting the most precip. It's not much more, but a bit more then inland locations. I'll believe it when I see it. Odds are a coating to an isolated inch with perhaps 1-2" over Monmouth. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted February 4, 2013 Share Posted February 4, 2013 Mount holly Lol...a bit more aggressive then a coating-inch Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted February 4, 2013 Share Posted February 4, 2013 I'll believe it when I see it. Odds are a coating to an isolated inch with perhaps 1-2" over Monmouth. This heavier band is forecast to be from NYC south...chances are Anthony in Brooklyn gets more then you. My call is a inch for the city and local amounts of 2-3 in Monmouth and middlesex county Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ag3 Posted February 4, 2013 Share Posted February 4, 2013 This heavier band is forecast to be from NYC south...chances are Anthony in Brooklyn gets more then you. My call is a inch for the city and local amounts of 2-3 in Monmouth and middlesex county That's according to the nam/srefs/rap/gfs/gefs. The euro/rgem/ukmet/ggem are only .03"-.06" for NYC/LI. The American models are more aggressive with coastal enhancement. Will be interesting to see if the 18z GFS continues to portray that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterwarlock Posted February 4, 2013 Share Posted February 4, 2013 Lol...a bit more aggressive then a coating-inch I wouldnt call an inch to an inch and a half aggressive especially since they are forecasting for a very wide range of locations for the statement, thats pretty appropriate Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted February 4, 2013 Share Posted February 4, 2013 I wouldnt call an inch to an inch and a half aggressive especially since they are forecasting for a very wide range of locations for the statement, thats pretty appropriate It's more enhanced then what was discussed by you and few others before. They also go on to talk about a heavier band setting up. Nobody in this thread is wish-casting. Go into feb 8th thread for that Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted February 4, 2013 Share Posted February 4, 2013 Fighting over an inch of snow, look what this putrid winter's done to us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEG NAO Posted February 4, 2013 Author Share Posted February 4, 2013 you guys crack me up arguing about a coating to an inch or maybe 2 in spots - like it makes a big difference - some spots will get a coating others an inch others may squeeze out 2 and its virtually impossible to say who will get what in advance - thats a nowcasting thing in this type of situation Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TWCCraig Posted February 4, 2013 Share Posted February 4, 2013 Fighting over an inch of snow, look what this putrid winter's done to us. What's even sadder is that all this bickering back and forth isn't going to change the totals in the end. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
green tube Posted February 4, 2013 Share Posted February 4, 2013 Mount holly for the northern half of NJ their POP is 40%. that's kinda sucky. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pazzo83 Posted February 4, 2013 Share Posted February 4, 2013 Fighting over an inch of snow, look what this putrid winter's done to us. Yep, time for 70s and sundresses. End the misery. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PB GFI Posted February 4, 2013 Share Posted February 4, 2013 Yep, time for 70s and sundresses. End the misery. What size sundress are you ? JK brother , I couldn`t resist Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterwarlock Posted February 4, 2013 Share Posted February 4, 2013 Yep, time for 70s and sundresses. End the misery. preach Jesus Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted February 4, 2013 Share Posted February 4, 2013 Gfs continues to have the coastal enhancement Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
green tube Posted February 4, 2013 Share Posted February 4, 2013 Fighting over an inch of snow, look what this putrid winter's done to us. hey.... we're getting better. this is only a 2 page thread. we had a 38 page thread for our inch a while back. lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pazzo83 Posted February 4, 2013 Share Posted February 4, 2013 What size sundress are you ? JK brother , I couldn`t resist Haha, come up to midtown on a warm day. God bless it... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEG NAO Posted February 4, 2013 Author Share Posted February 4, 2013 hey.... we're getting better. this is only a 2 page thread. we had a 38 page thread for our inch a while back. lol. well the clipper parade is moving faster then expected - and we get to do this all over again tomorrow ! yippie yi yee ! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Absolute Humidity Posted February 4, 2013 Share Posted February 4, 2013 for the northern half of NJ their POP is 40%. that's kinda sucky. Suddenly I'm upto 50% now. Still down from 70% and their SWS and Forecast discussion contradict each other, One says 314 PM EST MON FEB 4 2013...ACCUMULATING SNOW TO AFFECT MUCH OF THE REGION TONIGHT...A QUICK MOVING SYSTEM WILL TRACK ACROSS THE AREA TONIGHT, PRODUCINGA PERIOD OF SNOW FROM WEST TO EAST. THE SNOWFALL AMOUNTS AREEXPECTED TO BE ON THE LIGHT SIDE WITH TOTALS OF GENERALLY 1.0 TO1.5 INCHES. THERE IS THE POTENTIAL FOR AN AREA OF HEAVIER SNOW TODEVELOP FOR A TIME ACROSS A PORTION OF OUR REGION, AND THIS WOULDBE IN THE FORM OF AN EAST TO WEST ORIENTATED BAND. IF THIS OCCURS,SNOWFALL RATES WOULD BE LOCALLY HIGHER FOR A TIME OTHERWISE ALIGHT INTENSITY SNOW IS ANTICIPATED. The discussion says 31 minutes later... 350 PM EST MON FEB 4 2013IT IS BEGINNING TO SOUND LIKE A BROKEN RECORD HERE, BUT THIS CLIPPERTYPE SYSTEM WILL BRING ANOTHER LIGHT SNOWFALL TO THE AREAOVERNIGHT. QPF AMOUNTS ARE GENLY EXPECTED TO BE LIGHT AND EVEN WITHSNOW/WATER EQUIVALENTS EXPECTED TO BE AROUND 15 TO 1, IT LOOKS TO BEA SUB-ADVISORY EVENT WITH MOST AREAS 1 INCH OR LESS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PB GFI Posted February 4, 2013 Share Posted February 4, 2013 Haha, come up to midtown on a warm day. God bless it... Haha, come up to midtown on a warm day. God bless it... We are back at 55 water , so next time you come up and see our contact , stop by the desk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JERSEYSNOWROB Posted February 4, 2013 Share Posted February 4, 2013 We are back at 55 water , so next time you come up and see our contact , stop by the desk DTCC? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PB GFI Posted February 4, 2013 Share Posted February 4, 2013 DTCC? DTCC? GFI , Equity Derivs Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Nikolai Posted February 4, 2013 Share Posted February 4, 2013 Haha, come up to midtown on a warm day. God bless it... some girl was wearing a tube top & pink skirt the other day when it was in the 50s... it was still January and every migrant worker on the block was staring her down as she walked past. two guys walked past and commented on her ugly legs. so not cute! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pazzo83 Posted February 4, 2013 Share Posted February 4, 2013 We are back at 55 water , so next time you come up and see our contact , stop by the desk Yea we heard that you guys are just getting back set up after Sandy, we should be coming by in the next couple of weeks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted February 4, 2013 Share Posted February 4, 2013 some girl was wearing a tube top & pink skirt the other day when it was in the 50s... it was still January and every migrant worker on the block was staring her down as she walked past. two guys walked past and commented on her ugly legs. so not cute! Jealous? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JERSEYSNOWROB Posted February 4, 2013 Share Posted February 4, 2013 GFI , Equity Derivs ahhh Cool. I deal with dtcc everyday that's why I knew that address. Are you guys moving over to Jersey City? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PB GFI Posted February 4, 2013 Share Posted February 4, 2013 ahhh Cool. I deal with dtcc everyday that's why I knew that address. Are you guys moving over to Jersey City? Nah , Need the city for the night life . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snow_Miser Posted February 4, 2013 Share Posted February 4, 2013 but are you disagreeing with Kasper's forecast? because upton and mt. holly have pretty much the same forecast as kasper. No. I think his forecast is pretty good this time around IMO, but to say he's the best met in NJ when he has been wrong with many storms in the recent past is pretty mind boggling. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Nikolai Posted February 4, 2013 Share Posted February 4, 2013 Jealous? if there is one thing I am never envious of it's legs bc mine are amazing but that's because i'm skinny and 6'3 and walk a ton but seriously, shorts before april/may are a no-no... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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