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NAM model seems to have a new short comming


Mitchel Volk

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I notice that for the past week or so the NAM has been showing precipitation well after the 700MB RH goes under 70%.  The models is showing this for the next system, but the worst forecast was after that strong katafront passage last week, the model still had precipitation three hours after the 70% line passed.  It is very hard to get precipitation well after a strong katafront passage.

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Seems like it's been a rough year for almost every model. Arguments can be made that a model was good with a certain storm, but overall most of them have been rather poor. Over the past few years, you at least could rely on the Euro. Now is the time for the JMA to prove itself as the best model :P

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