Clinch Leatherwood Posted February 4, 2013 Share Posted February 4, 2013 I'm surprised at HPC. Me too, not even the JMA has that type of hit. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SR Airglow Posted February 4, 2013 Share Posted February 4, 2013 Not expecting much from this, but if the EURO verified verbatim or close to it, i'm mostly rain down here, correct? -skisheep Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
blizzard24 Posted February 4, 2013 Share Posted February 4, 2013 you all will remember when feb and march are done will be good and a big snowstorms for sne with cold air for area . Those that say winter is over will be wrong. i have some other weather people that support that too. i DONT LISTER to tv stations people they only are told by ther owners for ratings . execpt brad from channel 30 he is good. Friday storm is be biggier than models show . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 4, 2013 Author Share Posted February 4, 2013 Because it matches up precip wise with the bomb the euro shows, There is no other model showing that amount of qpf Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 4, 2013 Share Posted February 4, 2013 I wouldn't waste much time on this miss if I were folks Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted February 4, 2013 Share Posted February 4, 2013 I wouldn't waste much time on this miss if I were folksRegardless, there's a northern stream system that should deliver some light accums. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted February 4, 2013 Share Posted February 4, 2013 I wouldn't waste much time on this miss if I were folks We've been doing that all winter, so what is another one? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted February 4, 2013 Share Posted February 4, 2013 I wouldn't waste much time on this miss if I were folks i think we get it...you don't like this one. that's fine. lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 4, 2013 Author Share Posted February 4, 2013 I wouldn't waste much time on this miss if I were folks If its not in your BY we should all just toss it out the window, We should still see snow from the s/w in the northern stream regardless Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
It's Always Sunny Posted February 4, 2013 Share Posted February 4, 2013 Not expecting much from this, but if the EURO verified verbatim or close to it, i'm mostly rain down here, correct? -skisheep Yeah. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 4, 2013 Share Posted February 4, 2013 Well I'll never say never in this business, but the euro op has had its share of day 4.5 to day 6 bombs. It's not like that time range is accurate, but that's not a great performance indicator IMO. We'll see how this goes..maybe it's seeing something in the srn stream. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 4, 2013 Share Posted February 4, 2013 i think we get it...you don't like this one. that's fine. lol.Noone feels good about it except you it appears. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 4, 2013 Author Share Posted February 4, 2013 Well I'll never say never in this business, but the euro op has had its share of day 4.5 to day 6 bombs. It's not like that time range is accurate, but that's not a great performance indicator IMO. We'll see how this goes..maybe it's seeing something in the srn stream. Well as a few have said, It is still a snow threat phase or no phase Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted February 4, 2013 Share Posted February 4, 2013 Well I'll never say never in this business, but the euro op has had its share of day 4.5 to day 6 bombs. It's not like that time range is accurate, but that's not a great performance indicator IMO. We'll see how this goes..maybe it's seeing something in the srn stream.This would be the worst one yet with 3 straight bombs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted February 4, 2013 Share Posted February 4, 2013 Noone feels good about it except you it appears. i didn't say one way or the other. doesn't mean i can't watch it though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chrisrotary12 Posted February 4, 2013 Share Posted February 4, 2013 Normally I would be excited about the Euro showing a Coastal Bomb at the day 5-6 range, but considering how terrible it has been recently. For one of our previous systems I posted on facebook about how I liked the chances of snow for for some day a couple weeks ago when the system was probably 4 days out. Well Noyes jinxed it and commented that "Unless the model has an error of 500 miles or so, you have to like the chances of seeing snow" . Well dammit the model had an error of 500 miles and we got crap. Wake me up in 4 days if the Euro still has the bomb idea. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Logan11 Posted February 4, 2013 Share Posted February 4, 2013 Looks like the 0Z Euro has already begun the inevitable shift east. It took me out of the best snow. Glad to have to over with early so I can move on. LOL Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Logan11 Posted February 4, 2013 Share Posted February 4, 2013 The whole situation is very progressive as usual this year. The whole thing would have to come together so perfectly just in time, something that has never happened this year. When I see some serious west based -NAO locked in I'll be a believer. Normally I would be excited about the Euro showing a Coastal Bomb at the day 5-6 range, but considering how terrible it has been recently. For one of our previous systems I posted on facebook about how I liked the chances of snow for for some day a couple weeks ago when the system was probably 4 days out. Well Noyes jinxed it and commented that "Unless the model has an error of 500 miles or so, you have to like the chances of seeing snow" . Well dammit the model had an error of 500 miles and we got crap. Wake me up in 4 days if the Euro still has the bomb idea. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cycloneslurry Posted February 4, 2013 Share Posted February 4, 2013 Looks like the 0Z Euro has already begun the inevitable shift east. It took me out of the best snow. Glad to have to over with early so I can move on. LOL I agree with you about getting this over early one as it is much less frustrating than ones that storms that string you along and then don't produce at the last minute. As frustrating as this winter has been, at least we have know for at least 72 hours prior that the storm was a miss. This week appears to be more of the same as I think by Tuesday we will be pretty certain about another miss and then the same 10 people can track another coating to and inch for 40 pages. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 4, 2013 Author Share Posted February 4, 2013 I agree with you about getting this over early one as it is much less frustrating than ones that storms that string you along and then don't produce at the last minute. As frustrating as this winter has been, at least we have know for at least 72 hours prior that the storm was a miss. This week appears to be more of the same as I think by Tuesday we will be pretty certain about another miss and then the same 10 people can track another coating to and inch for 40 pages. You probably should start right now to stop tracking it............... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cycloneslurry Posted February 4, 2013 Share Posted February 4, 2013 You probably should start right now to stop tracking it............... Nah...I will wait until tomorrow as it has been the 72-84 hours period prior when all coastals have been pulled off the table. The pattern has been too progressive for some time...it remains too progressive now. This week looks like more of the same for the past month. Two more unphased, moisture-starved, fast moving clippers that produce less than 2 inches region wide. If the EURO still show a phased solution Wednesday it will be the first time we will have seen a solution like that within 48 hours of the event at it will deserve more credence. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ctsnowstorm628 Posted February 4, 2013 Share Posted February 4, 2013 Just looking over things and I think it'll be really difficult to time this up perfectly ala Euro...lots of moving parts. Even the most recent run gets things going pretty late, relatively speaking, for western New England. I have a feeling this will end up northern stream dominated with a clipper'esque outcome Friday morning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 4, 2013 Author Share Posted February 4, 2013 Just looking over things and I think it'll be really difficult to time this up perfectly ala Euro...lots of moving parts. Even the most recent run gets things going pretty late, relatively speaking, for western New England. I have a feeling this will end up northern stream dominated with a clipper'esque outcome Friday morning. That's a good possibility, It has a little more moisture with it then the weds s/w Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ctsnowstorm628 Posted February 4, 2013 Share Posted February 4, 2013 That's a good possibility, It has a little more moisture with it then the weds s/w Yeah. I'm curious to see the Euro as it gets closer to 96hrs today...I bet it caves. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
codfishsnowman Posted February 4, 2013 Share Posted February 4, 2013 let us not forget the euro did have the right idea generally speaking about the end of the year event with that one big run...that and noyes and ct blizz all scored MAJOR victory with that one Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ctsnowstorm628 Posted February 4, 2013 Share Posted February 4, 2013 let us not forget the euro did have the right idea generally speaking about the end of the year event with that one big run...that and noyes and ct blizz all scored MAJOR victory with that one That was inside 78hrs...model error increases exponentially outside that range. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 4, 2013 Author Share Posted February 4, 2013 let us not forget the euro did have the right idea generally speaking about the end of the year event with that one big run...that and noyes and ct blizz all scored MAJOR victory with that one Not out of the possibility, But its going to have to get some other model support here soon to buy its solution Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 4, 2013 Author Share Posted February 4, 2013 That was inside 78hrs...model error increases exponentially outside that range. The days of the inside 96hr take it to the bank euro has been gone for a while Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 4, 2013 Share Posted February 4, 2013 12z GFS definitely not biting on the larger solution...it likes the idea of a very paltry event. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 4, 2013 Author Share Posted February 4, 2013 It hangs the moisture back over NNE with the northern s/w Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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