Clinch Leatherwood Posted February 5, 2013 Share Posted February 5, 2013 Well hats off I'll be really excited to see 3.5" of snow QPF fall, but I'm going out on the limb as in the skeptical court until we get inside of about 48 hours. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted February 5, 2013 Share Posted February 5, 2013 BOS warms to -4C at 850 but that's as warm as it gets. BL stays cold. Ageo ftw. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted February 5, 2013 Share Posted February 5, 2013 Well hats off I'll be really excited to see 3.5" of snow QPF fall, but I'm going out on the limb as in the skeptical court until we get inside of about 48 hours. You don't think we get 3 feet? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 5, 2013 Share Posted February 5, 2013 Too good to be true. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted February 5, 2013 Share Posted February 5, 2013 QPF for Brockton-Tanunton-Plymouth? Over 3 inches. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ctsnowstorm628 Posted February 5, 2013 Share Posted February 5, 2013 Looks good for all of New England sans northern ME. Schweeeet. When does it begin/end on the Euro? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Logan11 Posted February 5, 2013 Share Posted February 5, 2013 Those qpf #'s are uncharacteristically wet for the Euro. We won't even discuss ratios. LOL Well hats off I'll be really excited to see 3.5" of snow QPF fall, but I'm going out on the limb as in the skeptical court until we get inside of about 48 hours. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BxEngine Posted February 5, 2013 Share Posted February 5, 2013 Can anyone give me qpf for kslk? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted February 5, 2013 Share Posted February 5, 2013 What's the start time on this storm? If Midnight Thur/Fri, then we're only 60 hrs out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted February 5, 2013 Share Posted February 5, 2013 You don't think we get 3 feet? Be some fluff in there too and some OES enhancement, maybe 12 or 14 to 1 overall, that's more like 40-50" of snow Jerry. These storms happen all the time around here I know...but I'm out on that limb saying show me the money inside of 48 hours but for now great to look at as it does show the potential. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted February 5, 2013 Share Posted February 5, 2013 even half of that would be awesome!! Well hats off I'll be really excited to see 3.5" of snow QPF fall, but I'm going out on the limb as in the skeptical court until we get inside of about 48 hours. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Quincy Posted February 5, 2013 Share Posted February 5, 2013 1978 redux, literally on the 35 anniversary? lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxsniss Posted February 5, 2013 Share Posted February 5, 2013 unbelievable... day-job stopping solution here ripped out of Kocin's book... 973 near or slightly southeast of BM: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
joey2002 Posted February 5, 2013 Share Posted February 5, 2013 Well hats off I'll be really excited to see 3.5" of snow QPF fall, but I'm going out on the limb as in the skeptical court until we get inside of about 48 hours. Well it might not end up dropping 3" QPF... but the odds are looking good for this at least being our first big snowstorm in a long time! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cyclone-68 Posted February 5, 2013 Share Posted February 5, 2013 Please pardon my amateur question but how does this potential storm compare or analog to any others up here? Assuming it does occur as modeled? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted February 5, 2013 Share Posted February 5, 2013 Be some fluff in there too and some OES enhancement, maybe 12 or 14 to 1 overall, that's more like 40-50" of snow Jerry. These storms happen all the time around here I know...but I'm out on that limb saying show me the money inside of 48 hours but for now great to look at as it does show the potential. 1/3 of the progged euro qpf and we probably exceed our cumulative 2 year total...lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
radarman Posted February 5, 2013 Share Posted February 5, 2013 How sharp is the cutoff to the west? I see 3" at ORH. Are we talking 2" at the river, 1" for the Taconics? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted February 5, 2013 Share Posted February 5, 2013 QPF for Brockton-Tanunton-Plymouth? 3.36" for Taunton 3.24" for Plymouth Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
joey2002 Posted February 5, 2013 Share Posted February 5, 2013 1978 redux, literally on the 35 anniversary? lol This is a fairly quick mover though, lol, how many hours does it take to drop these wild amounts? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Logan11 Posted February 5, 2013 Share Posted February 5, 2013 Based on that position northeast of 40/70, it seems to cross the BM , but not outside it. unbelievable... day-job stopping solution here ripped out of Kocin's book... 973 near or slightly southeast of BM: Euro_02_05_13_12z_USA_PRMSL_msl_096.gif Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 5, 2013 Share Posted February 5, 2013 How sharp is the cutoff to the west? I see 3" at ORH. Are we talking 2" at the river, 1" for the Taconics? Pretty much all of SNE is over 2"....maybe extreme western fringes at the NY border are a bit under. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted February 5, 2013 Share Posted February 5, 2013 unbelievable... day-job stopping solution here ripped out of Kocin's book... 973 near or slightly southeast of BM: Euro_02_05_13_12z_USA_PRMSL_msl_096.gif Bold. So true! Once I saw the rest of the 12Z move this way and then the Euro double down I figured...whoah! This is special. Let's do this! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 5, 2013 Author Share Posted February 5, 2013 I should start more threads Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattb65 Posted February 5, 2013 Share Posted February 5, 2013 Too good to be true. So you were naked drawing up the 0z run, how about the 12z run? (I obviously didn't think there could be a better evolution of the surface and mid levels than 0z but now 12z comes in even more impressive) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted February 5, 2013 Share Posted February 5, 2013 Nice cold conveyor signal from the 12z GEFS, PWAT anomalies are just above 1 SD too. Starting to get that heavy QPF signal at 250 mb too. Seeing negative u wind anomalies aloft is typically a good sign for a slow down in forward speed. Would rather see those be true easterly winds aloft for a real stall, but this will do. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
codfishsnowman Posted February 5, 2013 Share Posted February 5, 2013 hows it looking here in death valley? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted February 5, 2013 Share Posted February 5, 2013 Pinch me Don. This IS the fountain of youth. Provided it doesn't get clogged up...lol. I agree. I hope it verifies. It would allow one to forget the torture of last winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SlantStickers Anonymous Posted February 5, 2013 Share Posted February 5, 2013 Absolutely insane, 3 feet sounds way too good to be true, but my god this is so amazing as modeled I may have a stroke. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
radarman Posted February 5, 2013 Share Posted February 5, 2013 Pretty much all of SNE is over 2"....maybe extreme western fringes at the NY border are a bit under. Thanks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 5, 2013 Share Posted February 5, 2013 The QPF values on the Euro are just staggering. This model is usually the most conservative when it comes to QPF out of the higher end models. One of the reasons it outscores all other guidance on QPF. It is eye-opening. But still just one run that is this obscene. We'll need to see some consistency before thinking '78 redux and reserving an extra page in the KU book. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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