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Feb 8th-9th Do We Finally Get A Coastal?


dryslot

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based on the number of online meltdowns we've had already...if this threat craps the bed, i'm pretty sure our forum will implode...

 

I think everyone is in the wait and see approach.  We've had the models converge but the Euro/ENS still are the outliers with the hook bomb.  Only way I'd be upset is if we got inside of about 48 hours and a huge storm went away.

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That would certainly show that people haven't learned their lesson WRT NWP guidance at this range.

 

 

Nobody will ever learn.

 

I'm gonna have to go with DON'T GET ON THE BUS!

 

http://www1.whdh.com/news/articles/national/12009766692352/grisly-scene-after-calif-tour-bus-crash-killed-7/

 

http://www1.whdh.com/news/articles/local/boston/12009771648167/first-responders-describe-boston-bus-crash/

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The 06z GEFS really only had one member that was close to anything like the Euro...even though many members now infuse a lot more moisture from the southern stream. Expecting a KU type result at this juncture borders on insanity.

That is different than it being possible. Its definitely possible, but don't expect it.

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The 06z GEFS really only had one member that was close to anything like the Euro...even though many members now infuse a lot more moisture from the southern stream. Expecting a KU type result at this juncture borders on insanity.

That is different than it being possible. Its definitely possible, but don't expect it.

 

 

congrats on being post #666 in this thread...

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At this point even a modest event would go a long way, There has not been many

 

There is growing evidence for a moderate event for a chunk of the region. Though there is a distinct difference between a moderate event and the Euro solution for those who are confusing anyone doubting the Euro solution as being synonymous to saying no decent snow.

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There is growing evidence for a moderate event for a chunk of the region. Though there is a distinct difference between a moderate event and the Euro solution for those who are confusing anyone doubting the Euro solution as being synonymous to saying no decent snow.

I have been looking at the Euro run for a while, entirely Met sensible, has to line up perfect. That does not happen often, be nice to get some good timing for once.
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There is growing evidence for a moderate event for a chunk of the region. Though there is a distinct difference between a moderate event and the Euro solution for those who are confusing anyone doubting the Euro solution as being synonymous to saying no decent snow.

 

 

Yes, It has looked to be and advisory event to some extent for a lot here, That's the way to treat it until we get closer in or we get more consensus to the Euro

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I also think with that high to the NNW of here, We will see the models pick up on the colder air as we move along over the next day or so

 

Yes, this is a classic high position for NWP guidance to underestimate in New England. Its not a weak polar high either...that is some obscene cold north of the border.

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Yes, this is a classic high position for NWP guidance to underestimate in New England. Its not a weak polar high either...that is some obscene cold north of the border.

 

 

It is, Going by my temps here this am, We were down to 1F, Not going to move out this air mass very easily, That high seems to be building not retreating

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There is growing evidence for a moderate event for a chunk of the region. Though there is a distinct difference between a moderate event and the Euro solution for those who are confusing anyone doubting the Euro solution as being synonymous to saying no decent snow.

 

I think that's the best way of summarizing.  The only one I'm aware of that was saying nothing for Friday was the KURO model. 

 

Even in the event of a coastal miss/lesser involvement  things look pretty good for many of you.

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