dryslot Posted February 5, 2013 Author Share Posted February 5, 2013 During morning recess for me. It was the last day for the year at the Lewis School I went to for K-5. The roof collapsed and we finished in another mothballed buiding Good times, good times The better question would have been how many got to see the storm............ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted February 5, 2013 Share Posted February 5, 2013 How did the other 2 workout................ Yup. To answer your other question, sure I'm looking at the models but I'm not taking any solution serious until tomorrow. The train is now stopped at the station and I'm at the teller about to buy my ticket. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chrisrotary12 Posted February 5, 2013 Share Posted February 5, 2013 Well I have bought my ticket guys. Just waiting for the train to pull into the station. 5 runs of the Euro. EC Ensembles in rather good agreement. 00 and 06 gfs both took steps towards the Euro. If the 12 z gfs continues the trend towards a euro solution and the 12 z euro holds serve. Then I will be sitting in coach with you all. Fingers crossed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted February 5, 2013 Share Posted February 5, 2013 Well I have bought my ticket guys. Just waiting for the train to pull into the station. 5 runs of the Euro. EC Ensembles in rather good agreement. 00 and 06 gfs both took steps towards the Euro. If the 12 z gfs continues the trend towards a euro solution and the 12 z euro holds serve. Then I will be sitting in coach with you all. Fingers crossed. coach is for your and Kevin.. business class here.. lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Miser Posted February 5, 2013 Share Posted February 5, 2013 x2. Don't you still have it going out to sea by 200 miles anyway? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted February 5, 2013 Share Posted February 5, 2013 What a pleasant surprise this AM. And, does anyone remember what happened 35 years ago today/tomorrow? That's still my favorite storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chrisrotary12 Posted February 5, 2013 Share Posted February 5, 2013 coach is for your and Kevin.. business class here.. lol Wish I could afford business class. lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
It's Always Sunny Posted February 5, 2013 Share Posted February 5, 2013 Regardless of how this pans out I think the coastal front will be something to watch for SNE. If precip amounts amp up for the GFS there still could be some disappointment. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 5, 2013 Author Share Posted February 5, 2013 Yup. To answer your other question, sure I'm looking at the models but I'm not taking any solution serious until tomorrow. The train is now stopped at the station and I'm at the teller about to buy my ticket. There are still things that are a concern i feel especially up here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowMan Posted February 5, 2013 Share Posted February 5, 2013 There are still things that are a concern i feel especially up here Are you just concerned whether the track is NW enough? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted February 5, 2013 Share Posted February 5, 2013 any word on the SREF'S? outside it's wheelhouse? looks better to the untrained eye.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChrisM Posted February 5, 2013 Share Posted February 5, 2013 in class on phone.. did the euro still have a cut off of precip along 91 more or less? I'm going home this weekend and want to know what to expect for my drive etc. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TUweathermanDD Posted February 5, 2013 Share Posted February 5, 2013 Yeah, the 2.34 the Euro prints out for KBOS is a bit concerning, as I feel it probably has to be overdone, but the question is by how much, how and why? Synoptically, the slow down/stalling of the low is unlikely, but to simply disregard it thanks to a previous fast flow is a bit of a lackluster argument. Essentially with a true banana to the north, you have a mechanism to slow it down, and that should happen to some extent despite the lack of upstream blocking where we'd typically associate it with irt a KU type storm. I only bring that up because the Euro is a KU for some of you guys, and I don't think a storm of that magnitude is likely. There could however be a major snow event somewhere, and I feel temperatures will verify a bit colder because of A. the models trending the NW primary towards the lakes weaker* and developing the coastal low quicker and B. the setup during this time of year with the appropriate low track and a nice high to the north should allow some cold air intrusion. That's more something you'd expect to see closer in, as the synoptic features are analyzed and predicted better, but nonetheless this one could be a doozy for some up in those parts. Just rooting for some front end snow/wintry stuff down in the MA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 5, 2013 Author Share Posted February 5, 2013 Are you just concerned whether the track is NW enough? Do not like how the Euro has shifted east every run, GFS looks similar as well, The high over quebec and its strength are also concerning, What i would like to see and it does not matter what i want is the southern s/w to get stronger so it ends up further north before the phase so that this system gains enough latitude to track near Yarmouth, NS, The ggem was similar albeit a little warm but i really don't think with the high it gets that toasty Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
It's Always Sunny Posted February 5, 2013 Share Posted February 5, 2013 any word on the SREF'S? outside it's wheelhouse? looks better to the untrained eye.. SREFs aren't too reliable outside a 48 hour window. I'm not even looking at those yet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 5, 2013 Author Share Posted February 5, 2013 This year you take the srefs and deposit them in the dumpster, They have been horrible Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 5, 2013 Share Posted February 5, 2013 SREFS have had no wheelhouse at all this year. Toss. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 5, 2013 Share Posted February 5, 2013 The more I look at the euro, the more I'm in awe. The midlevels are like something I would draw up while nude in class. Incredible. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted February 5, 2013 Share Posted February 5, 2013 SREFs aren't too reliable I'm not even looking at those yet. FYP Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted February 5, 2013 Share Posted February 5, 2013 The more I look at the euro, the more I'm in awe. The midlevels are like something I would draw up while nude in class. Incredible. Search your feeings Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 5, 2013 Share Posted February 5, 2013 The GFS is awfully warm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Zeus Posted February 5, 2013 Share Posted February 5, 2013 The more I look at the euro, the more I'm in awe. The midlevels are like something I would draw up while nude in class. Incredible. Sure. But the GFS and NAM both have us getting rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattb65 Posted February 5, 2013 Share Posted February 5, 2013 The more I look at the euro, the more I'm in awe. The midlevels are like something I would draw up while nude in class. Incredible. Lol, exactly what I thought this morning. The h8 evolution is incredible for just a complete plastering of heavy heavy snow in boston. I don't have access on the wunder maps to see what h7 looks like but I imagine it was just as amazing for depositing perfect banding and stall/pivot right around BOS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 5, 2013 Share Posted February 5, 2013 Sure. But the GFS and NAM both have us getting rain. I don't care what any model shows at this stage, just commenting from a met standpoint on the euro. That's a classic look, but as I said earlier...way too early to get excited. The GFS is a little too warm IMO...that won't be rain into ORH county with a 1038nhigh north and a low SE of the BM. No way. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 5, 2013 Share Posted February 5, 2013 Well my concern here is either something more progressive, or something coming very close and ptype problems. However that is a great high to the north which is always a plus around here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 5, 2013 Author Share Posted February 5, 2013 Well my concern here is either something more progressive, or something coming very close and ptype problems. However that is a great high to the north which is always a plus around here. That's a pretty wide margin of error Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Zeus Posted February 5, 2013 Share Posted February 5, 2013 I don't care what any model shows at this stage, just commenting from a met standpoint on the euro. That's a classic look, but as I said earlier...way too early to get excited. The GFS is a little too warm IMO...that won't be rain into ORH county with a 1038nhigh north and a low SE of the BM. No way. I agree that the GFS looks too warm given the high pressure, but it's still a bit of a concern for our neck of the woods. I would love for the Euro to win this one, of course. But it hasn't been my model of choice in a winter where suppression has been the solution that wins out more than not and it's the outlier with its particular solution. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 5, 2013 Author Share Posted February 5, 2013 Nam is not liking the phase idea Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowMan Posted February 5, 2013 Share Posted February 5, 2013 Nam is not liking the phase idea Toss Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 5, 2013 Share Posted February 5, 2013 That high to the north is pretty nice...frontogenesis inducer there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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