Max Posted February 5, 2013 Share Posted February 5, 2013 how much verbatim for BOS? PVD? 18"-24" per 0z euro Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
joey2002 Posted February 5, 2013 Share Posted February 5, 2013 how much verbatim for BOS? PVD? Looks like at least 20" verbatim for Boston, lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
N. OF PIKE Posted February 5, 2013 Share Posted February 5, 2013 how much verbatim for BOS? PVD? on the wx weenie EURO maps there's a general 24 inches of snow for PVD 22 ish BOS and it looks like maybe 26 fallriver, middleboro /taunton /plympton area. just a pounding for SE SNE and even my local 10 miles north of boston gets like 18. so just a brutal beatdown of snow, and weenies are rollin around nude. it's like a 16 hr snow blitz from hr 92 to 108 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eduggs Posted February 5, 2013 Share Posted February 5, 2013 I usually hate estimating snowfall from midrange model runs... but it's hard to resist with this Euro run. It's a fantastic run for SE New England because of the nearly perfect track and the fact that the low center slows and rapidly intensifies right in the sweet spot. A quick estimate off the Euro looks like max totals 1-2 feet, with heaviest south of Boston. In fact double digit snows back west to about I-91. A very snowy run. Even places well west and north get significant snow, though not as heavy as locations directly impacted by the coastal low. Great trends tonight, but everything has to go right for a huge storm. A moderate snowstorm seems much more attainable. The mid-level setup looks fragile. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
joey2002 Posted February 5, 2013 Share Posted February 5, 2013 Yup when it ends party cloudy and 32 on Friday, we won't be surprised or disappointed like some mets and posters here will Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherX Posted February 5, 2013 Share Posted February 5, 2013 Euro Ens in lock step with the OP on major features, not as deep yet, but nice looking setup. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Logan11 Posted February 5, 2013 Share Posted February 5, 2013 It looks to me like the Euro did shift a bit more east again though. It's a big hit for southeast/eastern Mass, but now most places west of ORH are out of the major stuff. The rest of us get decent snows from the northern stream feature and maybe it's some kind of inverted trough. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 5, 2013 Share Posted February 5, 2013 The storm has such a comma head which is why the euro is so juicy. Still have to be careful to fall in love here. We have 4 days still. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hazey Posted February 5, 2013 Share Posted February 5, 2013 Looks good up here too. Interesting trends.Fun times and sleepless nights ahead. Would love to see a Jan 2005 track or something close to that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Logan11 Posted February 5, 2013 Share Posted February 5, 2013 What happened with the clipper that was supposed to bomb and hit central/eastern NS, PEI, etc? Did someone get good snows? Looks good up here too. Interesting trends.Fun times and sleepless nights ahead. Would love to see a Jan 2005 track or something close to that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 5, 2013 Share Posted February 5, 2013 06z also looks better. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted February 5, 2013 Share Posted February 5, 2013 06z also looks better. We should have known when the kuro/jb combo had a miss we were in good shape. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MaineJayhawk Posted February 5, 2013 Share Posted February 5, 2013 Starting to look legit. Will 06z KURO cave or will it be "stay the course"? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 5, 2013 Share Posted February 5, 2013 We should have known when the kuro/jb combo had a miss we were in good shape. I hate seeing something so nice looking 4 days out, but looks legit to an extent. Even the gfs would be a nice snow for many. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hazey Posted February 5, 2013 Share Posted February 5, 2013 What happened with the clipper that was supposed to bomb and hit central/eastern NS, PEI, etc? Did someone get good snows? Yup. 6-10" from west to east. I got 8" at my place. Yes the 6z gfs is slowly getting in bed with the Euro. Nice trends. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowMan Posted February 5, 2013 Share Posted February 5, 2013 Should have great snows tonight...Blizz said tonight's snow will be more than Friday lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted February 5, 2013 Share Posted February 5, 2013 Woke up to the cold from hell this morning. Ugh. Awful. At least the overnight model trends cheered me up a bit. The 00z GEFS members were amazingly flat. Still some work to do but encouraging trends for sure. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted February 5, 2013 Share Posted February 5, 2013 Woke up to the cold from hell this morning. Ugh. Awful. At least the overnight model trends cheered me up a bit. The 00z GEFS members were amazingly flat. Still some work to do but encouraging trends for sure. Is this going to be the case where yet again where a model that's been bad at times in this range very recently steals the show? Euro won't budge, that's an epic snowstorm. Gfs has caved to the idea of a coastal but still misses pretty far se with the bulk. The hurdle seemingly all year was getting to about 72 hours without the more aggressive solutions falling apart. This run or next...hopefully others join the euro. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted February 5, 2013 Share Posted February 5, 2013 lol...6z NOGAPS is amped and over the outer Cape. EC ens mean has the 0.75" line running from coastal ME to about here and southward to about HFD/BDR. They also seem to be about 6hrs faster than the op. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted February 5, 2013 Share Posted February 5, 2013 lol...6z NOGAPS is amped and over the outer Cape. EC ens mean has the 0.75" line running from coastal ME to about here and southward to about HFD/BDR. They also seem to be about 6hrs faster than the op. Schwartz Synoptic Seven says KURO bust. I feel like this is our best chance at something legit in a long time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted February 5, 2013 Share Posted February 5, 2013 Ahhh woke up and saw the ECMWF and thought, well this outta be a sh*t show in here today, lol. I wouldn't even look at that model right now if I lived in the BOS-PVD corridor. Its just too good to even comtemplate in those areas... you'll just be let down even if you get 8" instead of 18", lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 5, 2013 Share Posted February 5, 2013 Well..a little reverse psychology with this apparently worked. I had a feeling it might Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MaineJayhawk Posted February 5, 2013 Share Posted February 5, 2013 He'll claim reverse psychology. You heard it here first. Well..a little reverse psychology with this apparently worked. I had a feeling it might Win Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted February 5, 2013 Share Posted February 5, 2013 I hate seeing something so nice looking 4 days out, but looks legit to an extent. Even the gfs would be a nice snow for many. Its probably prudent to start at least bumping up POPs... this is one of those storms that the real pros will slowly ramp up in forecasts. Some on-air met is going to get called out for only going with "at least some light snow likely" when all the weenies want them to start mentioning the word blizzard, lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 5, 2013 Share Posted February 5, 2013 Why does anyone care? Haven't you figured him out, yet. Kevin is a lot of fun. Good guy. I like him. But he does this crap on purpose. He doesn't REALLY think - at times - what he purports; he's just doing it to get a rise out of people, and also - part of him is trying to get the Mets and others to argue for an event, so that he can play the reverse psycho-babble angle. You'd think people would know that by now..but judging from some of the nasty posts overnight,,and pot shots this morning..I guess they didn't get it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 5, 2013 Share Posted February 5, 2013 He'll claim reverse psychology. You heard it here first. IDK...wait and see if the EURO can make it 5 times in a row. Then I'm buying a ticket. Maybe even priority boarding. Someone got it!!..Good work Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted February 5, 2013 Share Posted February 5, 2013 Well..a little reverse psychology with this apparently worked. I had a feeling it might And at 12z all the models will have lost the storm. You should've just "stayed the course" with no storm on Friday. As soon as you get on-board this is gone so stick with the plan Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 5, 2013 Share Posted February 5, 2013 And at 12z all the models will have lost the storm. You should've just "stayed the course" with no storm on Friday. As soon as you get on-board this is gone so stick with the plan Did people really think I was going with a miss.. Have i ever done that? Has anyone ever known me to downplay an event? Still some really awful comments overnight..but it is what it is. Let's hope the trends continue today. If this comes any farther west mixing becomes an issue for some Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted February 5, 2013 Share Posted February 5, 2013 CostanzaBlizz FTL Hard to go against 5 Euro runs in a row. Still a ways out though Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted February 5, 2013 Share Posted February 5, 2013 Did people really think I was going with a miss.. Have i ever done that? Has anyone ever known me to downplay an event? Still some really awful comments overnight..but it is what it is. Let's hope the trends continue today. If this comes any farther west mixing becomes an issue for some Hey the "miss" call is a safe bet for a snow lover... if it misses, you are disappointed but you can claim you were right... if it works out, you're happy, don't care that you were wrong, and claim reverse physcology. I think most here knew something was up when you were expecting this to keep trending east. When it was showing a big NNE bomb, we did expect you to assume it was over-amped and would trend just enough SE to hit SNE, but not far enough to miss. I think everyone knows with you that it is safe to assume you will be calling for it to trend north/south/east/west (circle correct answer) so that I-84 is in the sweet spot. That's what is built into the KFS model. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.