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Feb 8th-9th Do We Finally Get A Coastal?


dryslot

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I like the ENS look.

 

Eh the individual ensembles suck. There's one camp with no southern stream involvement (so maybe we sneak out withan inch or two) and the ones with phasing give a mild/rainy/mix look for CT/RI/SE Mass. 

 

It's one of those cases where the ensemble mean really doesn't tell the story. 

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Eh the individual ensembles suck. There's one camp with no southern stream involvement (so maybe we sneak out withan inch or two) and the ones with phasing give a mild/rainy/mix look for CT/RI/SE Mass. 

 

It's one of those cases where the ensemble mean really doesn't tell the story. 

Eh Euro, GEFS just beginning to come on board
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The s/w in the northern stream seems a little more potent over the last few model runs and was dropping some lt snows up here on its own before some were phasing it with the s/w in the south

Good ob. It's possible that is what brings any snow too so we have a couple of options here.

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Looks like GYX is jumping on it..............

 

Hazardous Weather Outlook

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOKNATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAY ME300 PM EST SUN FEB 3 2013MEZ007>009-012>014-018>028-NHZ001>010-013-014-042000-NORTHERN OXFORD-NORTHERN FRANKLIN-CENTRAL SOMERSET-SOUTHERN OXFORD-SOUTHERN FRANKLIN-SOUTHERN SOMERSET-INTERIOR YORK-INTERIOR CUMBERLAND-ANDROSCOGGIN-KENNEBEC-INTERIOR WALDO-COASTAL YORK-COASTAL CUMBERLAND-SAGADAHOC-LINCOLN-KNOX-COASTAL WALDO-NORTHERN COOS-SOUTHERN COOS-NORTHERN GRAFTON-NORTHERN CARROLL-SOUTHERN GRAFTON-SOUTHERN CARROLL-SULLIVAN-MERRIMACK-BELKNAP-STRAFFORD-INTERIOR ROCKINGHAM-COASTAL ROCKINGHAM-300 PM EST SUN FEB 3 2013THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR WESTERN MAINE...CENTRAL NEWHAMPSHIRE...NORTHERN NEW HAMPSHIRE AND SOUTHEASTERN NEW HAMPSHIRE..DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME..DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.THERE IS THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT SNOWFALL ON FRIDAY.ALTHOUGH THERE IS CONSIDERABLE UNCERTAINTY REGARDING THE EVOLUTIONOF THE LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM AS IT MOVES THROUGH THE REGION... THEREIS THE POTENTIAL FOR MODERATE TO HEAVY ACCUMULATIONS ACROSS MAINEAND NEW HAMPSHIRE.
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Yeah but not sure the GEFS look good right now. The ensemble mean doesn't tell a story that is a fair representation of what the members are showing. 

 

 

Did not look at the individual members but from the sounds of it, There are a few really amped up ones in there that are skewing it?

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