Allsnow Posted February 6, 2013 Share Posted February 6, 2013 I feel good knowing the euro has a bomb for us inside 72 hrs. Would love to see the gfs jump on the earlier phase in 30 min Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JonClaw Posted February 6, 2013 Share Posted February 6, 2013 dear god...what a kick in the balls this would be Murphy's Law is in effect... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowlover11 Posted February 6, 2013 Share Posted February 6, 2013 I swear this would be a huge kick in the nuts if the nam is right. Boston would be under feet of snow while we get a few inches at most. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mikemurph44 Posted February 6, 2013 Share Posted February 6, 2013 dear god...what a kick in the balls this would be if this actually happens, I won't even turn my tv on till a week after its over. Double kick to the balls if this were to happen Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted February 6, 2013 Share Posted February 6, 2013 The GFS is going to the Euro solution either this run or the 18Z run I think. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 6, 2013 Share Posted February 6, 2013 I would say throw out the Nam for Boston because of the amounts but the Euro is similiar. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Zelocita Weather Posted February 6, 2013 Share Posted February 6, 2013 Temps REALLY don't matter in a sense at this point....yes in the beginning with garbage precip, that could start as slop/rain...but it all comes down to the phase. If it pahses in time, it will snow and it will snow a lot. If it doesn't minimal precip anyway. Track is good, so if phase occurs in time were good to go... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PB GFI Posted February 6, 2013 Share Posted February 6, 2013 The NAM needs to close off 12 hrs sooner for the Euro solution. f72.gif I think it does , the Euro has been scary consistent in its last 4 runs with this . the NAM and GFS were first South and East and now they r both up the coast , so the finally came around to the right track .Now i think it catches on that this really starts to bomb once east of HATT and not east of AC . And thats all the differences are right now .... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wxoutlooksblog Posted February 6, 2013 Share Posted February 6, 2013 3 years ago today that happened.... Not going to happen this time. And, I suspect it will be another twelve to twenty-four hours before NAM and GFS trend more towards the operational ECMWF solution though ECMWF is probably a little overdone. WX/PT Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IntenseBlizzard2014 Posted February 6, 2013 Share Posted February 6, 2013 I would say throw out the Nam for Boston because of the amounts but the Euro is similiar. Yeah. Honestly I think it'll have 2/3s that amount anyway. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ace0927 Posted February 6, 2013 Share Posted February 6, 2013 Wow. This is a terrific look, especially considering what previous NAM runs were showing. move that closed isobar SSW about 150-200 miles and were game Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted February 6, 2013 Share Posted February 6, 2013 Considering how completely unreliable the nam is, the 06z run was a joke, I wouldn't take it too seriously, QPF way overdone. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ace0927 Posted February 6, 2013 Share Posted February 6, 2013 Just for Fun, (or sickness), this reminds me a lot about March 2000. Massive bomb that misses by hairs. At least now, we can see this as a possible solution. March 2001 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted February 6, 2013 Share Posted February 6, 2013 One of the most epic CCB's ever for New England Lets break this one out for our friends in the New England forum Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted February 6, 2013 Share Posted February 6, 2013 if this actually happens, I won't even turn my tv on till the week after its over. Double kick to the balls if this were to happen Miller B's have sharp cutoffs generally, but that to me is almost certainly overdone. It's probably way too wet up in New England-again, I don't buy widespread 20" or more totals from this-too fast a pattern. Even 12/26/10 which almost stalled for a time under a -NAO regime didn't produce anything like what the NAM shows. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dsnowx53 Posted February 6, 2013 Share Posted February 6, 2013 move that closed isobar SSW about 150-200 miles and were game technically called an isohypse (line of equal height contour), but yes, ideally we'd want that 150-200 miles further SSW. This run's look was still pretty good, though. I expect today's 12z GFS to show something like yesterday's 12z Euro. Just like with the 11/7 snowstorm, the GFS will probably be a bit warmer than the Euro, all else being equal. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Zelocita Weather Posted February 6, 2013 Share Posted February 6, 2013 From JB this morning.... He says the colder run means that heavier accumulations will be further south and west and NYC to Boston is in line for the heaviest with alot of this area getting 1-2 feet of snow, even with rain mixing in on the coast. ECMWF/ JMA blend is closest to his current thinking. This means a crippling event for much of the area from N Jersey through southern and central New England. He sees hurricane force winds as possible in coastal areas. He sees an extensive storm from north of I 70 in the midwest - with the I80 corridor from Chicago to PA seeing more than 4 inches and a band of 8-12 inches Michigan into New York State. The SW side of accumulations of more than 3 inches could reach as far south as BWI to ACY Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted February 6, 2013 Share Posted February 6, 2013 Miller B's have sharp cutoffs generally, but that to me is almost certainly overdone. It's probably way too wet up in New England-again, I don't buy widespread 20" or more totals from this-too fast a pattern. Even 12/26/10 which almost stalled for a time under a -NAO regime didn't produce anything like what the NAM shows. Even if you took the 4-5" QPF and cut that in half, with 12:1 ratios it's still a 30"+ storm for them. : Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted February 6, 2013 Share Posted February 6, 2013 LOL....look at the 09Z ARW...too funny...the thing literally makes a concerted effort to just roll along southern LI Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 6, 2013 Share Posted February 6, 2013 This isn't a bad look on the Nam Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IntenseBlizzard2014 Posted February 6, 2013 Share Posted February 6, 2013 LOL....look at the 09Z ARW...too funny...the thing literally makes a concerted effort to just roll along southern LI Basically it stalls out for over several hours. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
earthlight Posted February 6, 2013 Share Posted February 6, 2013 http://www.americanwx.com/bb/index.php/topic/39216-february-8th-storm-potential-part-ii/ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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