dbc Posted February 6, 2013 Share Posted February 6, 2013 GREAT STEP BY THE NAM . IT FINALLY SEES THE TRACK FROM CAP HATT TO CAPE COD . 1ST TIME ITS DONE THAT .SO IT TOO HAS STEPPED TO THE EURO , NEXT STEP IS ONCE IT DEEPENS THE CENTER LIKE THE EURO , IT TOO WILL STEP IN LINE JUST FINE . Exactly this. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
friedmators Posted February 6, 2013 Share Posted February 6, 2013 ~Boston gets snow measured in meters this run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Zelocita Weather Posted February 6, 2013 Share Posted February 6, 2013 Regardless, this is a BIG step towards the EURO, look at the difference between the 6z NAM and 12z NAM....worlds apart. And although in the beggining it is realtively warm, when the real strom starts cranking we are REALLY close to something big on this run...by hour 60 the 0 line is crashing south and thats before anything gets going.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
supermeh Posted February 6, 2013 Share Posted February 6, 2013 GREAT STEP BY THE NAM . IT FINALLY SEES THE TRACK FROM CAP HATT TO CAPE COD . 1ST TIME ITS DONE THAT .SO IT TOO HAS STEPPED TO THE EURO , NEXT STEP IS ONCE IT DEEPENS THE CENTER LIKE THE EURO , IT TOO WILL STEP IN LINE JUST FINE . NAM was much better. Look at everything till 36 hours. All were positive steps. Everything after is long range garbage. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted February 6, 2013 Share Posted February 6, 2013 Phase occurs by hr 63. By hr 69 she pulls away. Would probably be a solid advisory snowfall well NW of the city before the changeover. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dsnowx53 Posted February 6, 2013 Share Posted February 6, 2013 Yeah, this is definitely a big step towards the Euro. The phase was a little late and sloppy, but if that phase was cleaner, some of us might have gotten dumped on. A cleaner phase would allow more precip to expand away from the center of the coastal low. None of the other NAM runs were showing the QPF bomb for Boston. I remain cautiously optimistic, but actually pretty encouraged by the NAM run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted February 6, 2013 Share Posted February 6, 2013 NAM was late with the phase and shut things off too fast for us, but was a step in the right direction. Really hoping the GFS at 12z takes a step toward the Euro, otherwise I have to think it's over done. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dsnowx53 Posted February 6, 2013 Share Posted February 6, 2013 Wow. This is a terrific look, especially considering what previous NAM runs were showing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted February 6, 2013 Share Posted February 6, 2013 GREAT STEP BY THE NAM . IT FINALLY SEES THE TRACK FROM CAP HATT TO CAPE COD . 1ST TIME ITS DONE THAT .SO IT TOO HAS STEPPED TO THE EURO , NEXT STEP IS ONCE IT DEEPENS THE CENTER LIKE THE EURO , IT TOO WILL STEP IN LINE JUST FINE . The NAM needs to close off 12 hrs sooner for the Euro solution. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Zelocita Weather Posted February 6, 2013 Share Posted February 6, 2013 Spits out 3-5" QPF in SNE this run.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Zir0b Posted February 6, 2013 Share Posted February 6, 2013 so so close....this is a great spot for the H5 low to be closed off, just need to happen earlier. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted February 6, 2013 Share Posted February 6, 2013 Yeah, this is definitely a big step towards the Euro. The phase was a little late and sloppy, but if that phase was cleaner, some of us might have gotten dumped on. A cleaner phase would allow more precip to expand away from the center of the coastal low. None of the other NAM runs were showing the QPF bomb for Boston. I remain cautiously optimistic, but actually pretty encouraged by the NAM run. A few hours sooner on that phase and we would have been golden from the City east-she really goes to town just a little too late. Maybe some fun for a few hours out on LI taking that run verbatim. Definitely encouraging. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Absolute Humidity Posted February 6, 2013 Share Posted February 6, 2013 Just for Fun, (or sickness), this reminds me a lot about March 2000. Massive bomb that misses by hairs. At least now, we can see this as a possible solution. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IntenseBlizzard2014 Posted February 6, 2013 Share Posted February 6, 2013 The NAM is getting better. Starting to acknowledge the Coastal Low. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted February 6, 2013 Share Posted February 6, 2013 Has there ever been a storm with 2 feet in Boston and zero NYC? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Saloo Kaloo Posted February 6, 2013 Share Posted February 6, 2013 Wow eastern Massachusetts gets destroyed at hour 72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted February 6, 2013 Share Posted February 6, 2013 Has there ever been a storm with 2 feet in Boston and zero NYC? No, I don't believe so, but there also had never been a storm with 2 feet in Philly and zero in NYC. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted February 6, 2013 Share Posted February 6, 2013 Has there ever been a storm with 2 feet in Boston and zero NYC? good point, but 2/5/10 also gave philly 27 and NYC zip...different setup of course. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Zelocita Weather Posted February 6, 2013 Share Posted February 6, 2013 No, I don't believe so, but there also had never been a storm with 2 feet in Philly and zero in NYC. 3 years ago today that happened.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dsnowx53 Posted February 6, 2013 Share Posted February 6, 2013 The NAM needs to close off 12 hrs sooner for the Euro solution. f72.gif I'd say more like 6. The Euro was not closed off until 6z Saturday morning, and the NAM closes off at 12z Saturday morning. Since the Euro's phase occurs earlier, the storm slows down earlier, too, which is why it closed off all the way back into Maryland. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted February 6, 2013 Share Posted February 6, 2013 6"+ QPF on this run for Boston. Would be the most epic storm ever for them. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 6, 2013 Share Posted February 6, 2013 12z Nam snow map has over 40 inches for Boston Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IntenseBlizzard2014 Posted February 6, 2013 Share Posted February 6, 2013 good point, but 2/5/10 also gave philly 27 and NYC zip...different setup of course. I think El Ninos have sharper gradients than every other ENSO phase. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted February 6, 2013 Share Posted February 6, 2013 Just for Fun, (or sickness), this reminds me a lot about March 2000. Massive bomb that misses by hairs. At least now, we can see this as a possible solution. Different setup, the low tracked inland and we got screwed because we ended up on the east side of the low. This is a case where some models show the phase occuring too late and so we miss out, barely. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ag3 Posted February 6, 2013 Share Posted February 6, 2013 Has there ever been a storm with 2 feet in Boston and zero NYC? 2'? NAM has more like 3-4' for Boston. HAHA: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ace0927 Posted February 6, 2013 Share Posted February 6, 2013 ~Boston gets snow measured in meters this run. dear god...what a kick in the balls this would be Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted February 6, 2013 Share Posted February 6, 2013 Wow, eastern MA/RI get over 4" liquid this run. There's actually a 5.8" or something max near Plymouth. Looks like the Cape would be rain for the worst of it. Boston would likely crumble under the weight of all that snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted February 6, 2013 Share Posted February 6, 2013 This is where we hope the typical NAM bias of being too NW and amplified with the northern stream waves as it has been frequently this year beyond 48 hours is true, if thats the case the primary is more south and phases in earlier....I like where the NAM shows this at this range. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted February 6, 2013 Share Posted February 6, 2013 No, I don't believe so, but there also had never been a storm with 2 feet in Philly and zero in NYC. Yeah diff set-up. Yet I would find it hard to believe it would work out like that. But it is weather. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dsnowx53 Posted February 6, 2013 Share Posted February 6, 2013 A few hours sooner on that phase and we would have been golden from the City east-she really goes to town just a little too late. Maybe some fun for a few hours out on LI taking that run verbatim. Definitely encouraging. Yeah, I think the NAM solution would allow us a few hours of fun. It also only closed off at H5 6 hours later than the Euro did, and closed off right near the 40/70 benchmark -- the Euro ensembles which were great, also closed off right near the 40/70 benchmark. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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