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Friday February 8th Storm Potential


Edge Weather

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Regardless, this is a BIG step towards the EURO, look at the difference between the 6z NAM and 12z NAM....worlds apart. And although in the beggining it is realtively warm, when the real strom starts cranking we are REALLY close to something big on this run...by hour 60 the 0 line is crashing south and thats before anything gets going....

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GREAT STEP BY THE NAM . IT FINALLY SEES THE TRACK FROM CAP HATT TO CAPE COD . 1ST TIME ITS DONE THAT .SO IT TOO HAS STEPPED TO THE EURO , NEXT STEP IS ONCE IT DEEPENS THE CENTER LIKE THE EURO , IT TOO WILL STEP IN LINE JUST FINE .

NAM was much better. Look at everything till 36 hours. All were positive steps. Everything after is long range garbage.

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Yeah, this is definitely a big step towards the Euro. The phase was a little late and sloppy, but if that phase was cleaner, some of us might have gotten dumped on. A cleaner phase would allow more precip to expand away from the center of the coastal low.

 

None of the other NAM runs were showing the QPF bomb for Boston. I remain cautiously optimistic, but actually pretty encouraged by the NAM run. 

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GREAT STEP BY THE NAM . IT FINALLY SEES THE TRACK FROM CAP HATT TO CAPE COD . 1ST TIME ITS DONE THAT .SO IT TOO HAS STEPPED TO THE EURO , NEXT STEP IS ONCE IT DEEPENS THE CENTER LIKE THE EURO , IT TOO WILL STEP IN LINE JUST FINE .

 

The NAM needs to close off 12 hrs sooner for the Euro solution. 

 

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Yeah, this is definitely a big step towards the Euro. The phase was a little late and sloppy, but if that phase was cleaner, some of us might have gotten dumped on. A cleaner phase would allow more precip to expand away from the center of the coastal low.

 

None of the other NAM runs were showing the QPF bomb for Boston. I remain cautiously optimistic, but actually pretty encouraged by the NAM run. 

A few hours sooner on that phase and we would have been golden from the City east-she really goes to town just a little too late. Maybe some fun for a few hours out on LI taking that run verbatim. Definitely encouraging.

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The NAM needs to close off 12 hrs sooner for the Euro solution. 

 

attachicon.giff72.gif

 

 

I'd say more like 6. The Euro was not closed off until 6z Saturday morning, and the NAM closes off at 12z Saturday morning.

 

Since the Euro's phase occurs earlier, the storm slows down earlier, too, which is why it closed off all the way back into Maryland. 

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Just for Fun, (or sickness), this reminds me a lot about March 2000. Massive bomb that misses by hairs. At least now, we can see this as a possible solution. 

Different setup, the low tracked inland and we got screwed because we ended up on the east side of the low. This is a case where some models show the phase occuring too late and so we miss out, barely.

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A few hours sooner on that phase and we would have been golden from the City east-she really goes to town just a little too late. Maybe some fun for a few hours out on LI taking that run verbatim. Definitely encouraging.

 

 

Yeah, I think the NAM solution would allow us a few hours of fun. It also only closed off at H5 6 hours later than the Euro did, and closed off right near the 40/70 benchmark -- the Euro ensembles which were great, also closed off right near the 40/70 benchmark. 

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