PB GFI Posted February 6, 2013 Share Posted February 6, 2013 I wouldnt get too gassed up over a high res model at 66 - 72 hrs out , if it shows that inside 48 hours then you would have to take it into account . The NAM @ 72 hrs is just a bit at the end of its envlope . I dont even care what the GFS shows tonite ( blizzard or torch ) . I wana see if there`s continuity on tonites Euro . Thats where im making my bets . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Storm At Sea Posted February 6, 2013 Share Posted February 6, 2013 This is starting to look a little similar to the March 2001 debacle. Not necessarily in the H5 pattern, but just the general outcome in terms of weenie gnashing of teeth and snow most north of the big cities (except for Boston). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted February 6, 2013 Share Posted February 6, 2013 This is starting to look a little similar to the March 2001 debacle. Not necessarily in the H5 pattern, but just the general outcome in terms of weenie gnashing of teeth and snow most north of the big cities (except for Boston). This is much more likely to miss than anything, I cannot see anyway this is phased close enough for 1-2 foot snows well inland. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 6, 2013 Share Posted February 6, 2013 At hour 36, big improvements on this run. Northern stream is digging more on this run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted February 6, 2013 Share Posted February 6, 2013 The RSM run was just insane. It by far phases and bombs earlier than any other model. It's not worth much of anything, but cool to see. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted February 6, 2013 Share Posted February 6, 2013 The northern stream is digging more then at 18z so far through 48 hrs 00z gfs Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CooL Posted February 6, 2013 Share Posted February 6, 2013 GFS much improved at H5. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted February 6, 2013 Share Posted February 6, 2013 Hr 51 low over ga. 850's and surface below NYC Primary over cincy Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted February 6, 2013 Share Posted February 6, 2013 Hr 54 primary over Ohio 1012 over sc Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted February 6, 2013 Share Posted February 6, 2013 1008 over hse hr 57 Primary still over Ohio. Mix/snow northern va Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted February 6, 2013 Share Posted February 6, 2013 Hr 63 1004 east of Norfolk Rain from ewr south Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted February 6, 2013 Share Posted February 6, 2013 Hr 66 bombing out. Waiting for temps to crash. Just east of acy Hr 69 south of Long Island still rain Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted February 6, 2013 Share Posted February 6, 2013 Hr 72 light snow. The storm is pulling away. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CooL Posted February 6, 2013 Share Posted February 6, 2013 Primary holds on to long and the phase is a bit late Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted February 6, 2013 Share Posted February 6, 2013 Hr 72 light snow. The storm is pulling away. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 6, 2013 Share Posted February 6, 2013 Big improvements on this run compared to 18z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TWCCraig Posted February 6, 2013 Share Posted February 6, 2013 Hr 66 bombing out. Waiting for temps to crash. Just east of acy Hr 69 south of Long Island still rain @ Hr 69, that's probably when we change over to snow. You can see the heavy precip over LI. But GFS is warm verbatim. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted February 6, 2013 Share Posted February 6, 2013 Hr 75 light snow continues. Boston getting crushed Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted February 6, 2013 Share Posted February 6, 2013 Nice run so far with the GFS. Trended back towards its 12z run. It's warm verbatim and doesn't phase as fast as the Euro. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
supermeh Posted February 6, 2013 Share Posted February 6, 2013 More baby steps on gfs towards the euro. All you can ask for. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowlover11 Posted February 6, 2013 Share Posted February 6, 2013 another SNE bomb, the primary holds on too long. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted February 6, 2013 Share Posted February 6, 2013 Hr 78 NYC mod snow. 2nd deformation zone sets up lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dsnowx53 Posted February 6, 2013 Share Posted February 6, 2013 Definitely a nice trend. But the phase is still a bit too late, so the primary holds onto its influence for a bit too long. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted February 6, 2013 Share Posted February 6, 2013 Still snowing at hr 81 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dbc Posted February 6, 2013 Share Posted February 6, 2013 Primary holds on to long and the phase is a bit late Overdoing primaries and delaying phases at this range is a GFS trademark bias. I don't buy it. Euro run will hopefully improve upon it's 12z even further than it did as far as an earlier phase. Add to that the GFS low resolution being unable to pick up dynamics this far out and one can easily believe that this will become even more favorable for snowier solutions as we get closer. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted February 6, 2013 Share Posted February 6, 2013 I would think what ever falls from hr 72-81 is snow for NYC. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted February 6, 2013 Share Posted February 6, 2013 Decent amount of snow for nnj and NYC after 72 why is that? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kaner587 Posted February 6, 2013 Share Posted February 6, 2013 Ya and roughly .5+ falls as snow it looks for NYC east Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted February 6, 2013 Share Posted February 6, 2013 Everyone from about KMMU east is 0.75"+ this run. Could still be mostly snow for the NW folks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IntenseBlizzard2014 Posted February 6, 2013 Share Posted February 6, 2013 Loving this. Absolutely loving this. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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