Ji Posted February 2, 2013 Share Posted February 2, 2013 I don't see how February ends up being anything but below normal temps. I know believe we see BN temps AN snow for Feb. great winter forecast if this verifies Hi Ian Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TUweathermanDD Posted February 2, 2013 Share Posted February 2, 2013 I don't see how February ends up being anything but below normal temps. I know believe we see BN temps AN snow for Feb. great winter forecast if this verifies Hi Ian Thanks Ji, glad you're on board. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted February 3, 2013 Share Posted February 3, 2013 I don't make long range forecasts leave me out of it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted February 3, 2013 Share Posted February 3, 2013 I don't make long range forecasts leave me out of it. Lolz, Ji loves stirring the pot. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted February 3, 2013 Share Posted February 3, 2013 Lolz, Ji loves stirring the pot. It definitely looks like Feb won't be torchy like the last two months. I have a decent shot at busting on my guesses for snowfall for the month. Matt's ideas seem quite good overall at this pt.. Wildcard might be snow IMO. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted February 3, 2013 Share Posted February 3, 2013 Wildcard might be snow IMO. I'm counting all precip as 10:1 snow. I'm tired of this crap. Feb's gonna be HUGE Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted February 3, 2013 Share Posted February 3, 2013 I'm counting all precip as 10:1 snow. I'm tired of this crap. Feb's gonna be HUGE Counting on precip is the mistake. The only precip we seem to get are anomalous cold front lines of storms. I'm still hoping for an over performer Mon night. If one model shows even a remote chance tonight, I'm threadin that sucker up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TUweathermanDD Posted February 3, 2013 Share Posted February 3, 2013 Counting on precip is the mistake. The only precip we seem to get are anomalous cold front lines of storms. I'm still hoping for an over performer Mon night. If one model shows even a remote chance tonight, I'm threadin that sucker up. Is that the nam one? That gives Baltimore over .1? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted February 3, 2013 Share Posted February 3, 2013 Counting on precip is the mistake. The only precip we seem to get are anomalous cold front lines of storms. I'm still hoping for an over performer Mon night. If one model shows even a remote chance tonight, I'm threadin that sucker up. Three letters.....S T J Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TUweathermanDD Posted February 3, 2013 Share Posted February 3, 2013 Three letters.....S T J Thats why im bullish on 1-2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted February 3, 2013 Share Posted February 3, 2013 Three letters.....S T J I get that, but at the same time I don't think I've ever seen such lame precip events time after time even if they are out of the northern stream. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted February 3, 2013 Share Posted February 3, 2013 Is that the nam one? That gives Baltimore over .1? I meant from tonight's runs. I'm curious to see what they do. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TUweathermanDD Posted February 3, 2013 Share Posted February 3, 2013 I meant from tonight's runs. I'm curious to see what they do. We'll be watching Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted February 3, 2013 Share Posted February 3, 2013 I don't see how February ends up being anything but below normal temps. I know believe we see BN temps AN snow for Feb. great winter forecast if this verifies Hi Ian This winter is like a warm version of 10-11 without the 1/26. In other words. Awful. I feel good about -dep for feb. our norm is a torch. Snow is a crap shoot. We may end up striking out. Even if we do get a decent storm it could end up being February 32-33. I have like 40 events so far and less than 3" on the season. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FrederickWX Posted February 3, 2013 Share Posted February 3, 2013 This winter is like a warm version of 10-11 without the 1/26. In other words. Awful. I feel good about -dep for feb. our norm is a torch. Snow is a crap shoot. We may end up striking out. Even if we do get a decent storm it could end up being February 32-33. I have like 40 events so far and less than 3" on the season. Yeah, this has truly been the way that this winter has gone. It's not even nickle and dime - it's more like penny crap. With a forecast looking like this, you might expect some decent snow, right? But alas, it's all flurries, and light snow showers that will probably total less than an inch of snow this week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scarlet Pimpernel Posted February 3, 2013 Share Posted February 3, 2013 This winter is like a warm version of 10-11 without the 1/26. In other words. Awful. I feel good about -dep for feb. our norm is a torch. Snow is a crap shoot. We may end up striking out. Even if we do get a decent storm it could end up being February 32-33. I have like 40 events so far and less than 3" on the season. Yeah, this pretty much describes it! I've had something like 5-6 "events" this year which by now have added up to last year's paltry total (or a bit more) so far. Whoo-hooo! I don't like to denigrate any snow, and admittedly a couple of these small clippers have provided some rather picturesque scenes. But it's kind of telling when we've got separate threads in here to cover flurries or a couple hours of light snow. I have no idea how February will turn out this year in terms of temperature or snow, but I do like the indications in the longer range. If that holds and actually verifies. So, I guess I'll remain hopeful that we'll break through with something decent before winter is over. My next hope is that we don't suffer through another God-awful July (or summer in general). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FrederickWX Posted February 3, 2013 Share Posted February 3, 2013 Yeah, this pretty much describes it! I've had something like 5-6 "events" this year which by now have added up to last year's paltry total (or a bit more) so far. Whoo-hooo! I don't like to denigrate any snow, and admittedly a couple of these small clippers have provided some rather picturesque scenes. But it's kind of telling when we've got separate threads in here to cover flurries or a couple hours of light snow. I have no idea how February will turn out this year in terms of temperature or snow, but I do like the indications in the longer range. If that holds and actually verifies. So, I guess I'll remain hopeful that we'll break through with something decent before winter is over. My next hope is that we don't suffer through another God-awful July (or summer in general). Looks pretty mild after this week (with the exception of a couple of days of cooler temps next week). I don't know why anyone would be excited about February, especially given how December and January have gone. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scarlet Pimpernel Posted February 3, 2013 Share Posted February 3, 2013 Looks pretty mild after this week (with the exception of a couple of days of cooler temps next week). I don't know why anyone would be excited about February, especially given how December and January have gone. That is true, after this upcoming week (or starting later this upcoming week), it does get warmer though doesn't appear to be a torch I don't think. What I'm talking about...and others as well, I assume...is more toward mid-month or so. If you look at the GFS and the ensemble mean beyond about day 10 it looks colder in the east with a pretty good +PNA along with southern stream energy. The ingredients appear to be there, so there could be some interesting possibilities. Not saying that's guaranteed, but I did like the overall "look" if it could only verify. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FrederickWX Posted February 3, 2013 Share Posted February 3, 2013 That is true, after this upcoming week (or starting later this upcoming week), it does get warmer though doesn't appear to be a torch I don't think. What I'm talking about...and others as well, I assume...is more toward mid-month or so. If you look at the GFS and the ensemble mean beyond about day 10 it looks colder in the east with a pretty good +PNA along with southern stream energy. The ingredients appear to be there, so there could be some interesting possibilities. Not saying that's guaranteed, but I did like the overall "look" if it could only verify. It would be nice to get a real storm late in February where we get 4 or 5 inches, but I'm not holding my breath. I guess, in a normal winter, I would be more optimistic. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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