Quixotic1 Posted December 6, 2013 Share Posted December 6, 2013 Lookin' out my front door. 2 - 3" is my estimate which goes well with the Little Elm observation of 3.5" just to the west. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ed Lizard Posted December 6, 2013 Share Posted December 6, 2013 SW Wichita County, Texas. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bubba hotep Posted December 6, 2013 Share Posted December 6, 2013 We are down to 25 now, I think two things helped us up this way: 1. we warmed up to near freezing for a period over night, and 2. we got more sleet than rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
1900hurricane Posted December 6, 2013 Share Posted December 6, 2013 I managed to get some pretty good virga fro this system in College Station, although I regret to say that I never got any measurements of how much... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DFWWeather Posted December 6, 2013 Share Posted December 6, 2013 Has anyone noticed the output from both the ECMWF and the GFS for the last several runs for surface temps across North Texas and Oklahoma? Both models consistently bring the 5°F isotherm at the surface across DFW and temps well below zero in Oklahoma for next Wednesday morning. They both appear to be seeing ice accumulations well cause it is this area where the brutal cold sets up. H85 temps don't really support this kind of cold at the surface. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bubba hotep Posted December 6, 2013 Share Posted December 6, 2013 Looks like the GFS has given up on measurable precipitation for Saturday night into Sunday. After that, the ensembles have hinted at a slim chance of something Tuesdayish or so. Next weekend anyone? Looks warm but it seems like we have been trending colder with systems so far this winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bubba hotep Posted December 7, 2013 Share Posted December 7, 2013 Looks like 00z NAM & GFS came in a tad wetter over the weekend for the DFW area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bubba hotep Posted December 7, 2013 Share Posted December 7, 2013 We are getting some sleet right now. FWD says we might possibly maybe could see snow: .UPDATE...12Z FWD SOUNDING DATA COMING IN NOW SHOWS THAT THE WARM NOSE HASFALLEN TO NEAR OR JUST BELOW 0 AND THAT THERE IS SOME MOISTURE INTHE DENDRITIC GROWTH ZONE. THEREFORE...HAVE CHANGED THEPREDOMINATE PRECIP TYPE TODAY FROM SLEET TO LIGHT SNOW. WILL KEEPTHE POPS LOW SINCE ANY SNOW FLAKES THAT FALL WILL STILL HAVE TOOVERCOME A STOUT LAYER OF DRY AIR JUST ABOVE THE SURFACE. ANYACCUMULATIONS SHOULD BE LIGHT DUE TO THE DRY AIR...BUT SURFACETEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN COLD ENOUGH THAT ANYTHING THAT DOES FALLWILL STICK. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DoctorMu Posted December 7, 2013 Share Posted December 7, 2013 Now 24 hours at freezing or below in CLL. Some very isolated sleet/virga skirting the area since around 11 am. There's a light patch of precip on the way from the SW Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Quixotic1 Posted December 8, 2013 Share Posted December 8, 2013 Well after two days of cabin fever, we decided to test the roads. The SWS is well warranted. At 3 pm it was bad. At 530 it was almost impossible with wrecks all around. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bubba hotep Posted December 8, 2013 Share Posted December 8, 2013 Well after two days of cabin fever, we decided to test the roads. The SWS is well warranted. At 3 pm it was bad. At 530 it was almost impossible with wrecks all around. Roads were still a mess out this way today and now pretty heavy freezing mist tonight with a Freezing Fog Advisory in place. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Srain Posted December 8, 2013 Share Posted December 8, 2013 It's starting to get messy in Central and portions of SE Texas now. Icing reported W of Houston on I-10 and on HWY 71 in the Bastrop area. Also just got a report of icing on cars in the College Station area as well as Sealy/Brookshire. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
msp Posted December 8, 2013 Share Posted December 8, 2013 Most overpasses in town here now closed. Saw several accidents driving across town right now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DoctorMu Posted December 8, 2013 Share Posted December 8, 2013 Quite a bit of icing on cars and bridges now indeed in CLL. The wet streets could freeze as well in the ice fog. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Srain Posted December 8, 2013 Share Posted December 8, 2013 I-35 in Austin now closed. Austin PD is working numerous accidents. Also accidents reported just N of Victoria due to icing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
David Reimer Posted December 8, 2013 Share Posted December 8, 2013 It is now 32°F at DFW with a dewpoint of 30°F. This storm is a dud for the heart of the Metroplex. The streets will just be water in the morning. Temperatures cannot fall anymore with heavier precipitation. They need to fall below 28°F for several hours for the secondary and primary roads to ice. I'm just now getting to read this thread but would you like to correct that statement? I mean, we've only just had the biggest ice storm in ten years... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
somethingfunny Posted December 8, 2013 Share Posted December 8, 2013 South Garland is a mess. It seems like we got more ice and less sleet than most of DFW, though at least we didn't get as much as Paris did... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ed Lizard Posted December 8, 2013 Share Posted December 8, 2013 Police shut down the northbound and southbound upper decks of I-35 in Austin due to icy conditions.The Travis County Sheriff's Office told KVUE Sunday night just before 10 p.m. they were responding to at least 20 accidents across the county. The dispatch center is overwhelmed with 911 calls and was unable to provide KVUE any detailed information.Ed Bluestein Blvd. northbound at Bolm Rd. and southbound at Techni Center Dr. in Central East Austin are completely shut down due to a 25-vehicle collision.Interstate 10 between Schulenburg and Flatonia is closed due to accidents caused by that icing.KVUE News was told at least 100 TxDOT crews are treating and retreating roads across the area. More crews have just been called out to problem areas. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bubba hotep Posted December 8, 2013 Share Posted December 8, 2013 We should have some mega icicles tomorrow morning with this afternoon thaw not being even remotely close to removing all the ice. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bubba hotep Posted December 9, 2013 Share Posted December 9, 2013 I saw wet roads with lots of ice on bridges and overpasses this evening when going to pickup some food. Add in some freezing fog and it will be a tricky Monday morning for lots of DFW. 000FXUS64 KFWD 090003 AAAAFDFWDAREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATEDNATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX603 PM CST SUN DEC 8 2013.UPDATE...WILL UPDATE TO ISSUE A FREEZING FOG ADVISORY AGAIN AS VISIBILITIESCONTINUE TO FALL AND TEMPERATURES DROP TO BELOW FREEZING. AREASTHAT CLEARED TO THE WEST WILL HAVE THE HIGHEST POTENTIAL FOR VERYLOW VISIBILITIES THROUGH LATE TONIGHT. FARTHER EAST...LOW CEILINGSWILL CONTINUE TO BUILD DOWN TOWARD THE SURFACE. FOG WILL LIKELYRESULT IN ADDITIONAL ICING TO EXPOSED SURFACES. TRAVEL IS EXPECTEDTO BECOME DANGEROUS AGAIN TONIGHT...AS MELTED WATER FROM EARLIERREFREEZES ON AREA ROADS. NO OTHER CHANGES MADE AT THIS TIME.DUNN Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ed Lizard Posted December 9, 2013 Share Posted December 9, 2013 FWISD and DISD- day off for the kids!!!! Interesting video of damaged cars and falling ice sheets during yesterdays' afternoon thaw. Temps nearing freezing already, should be some melting and drying today in the Metroplex. Weak reinforcing cool front and nightfall, any standing water should refreeze overnight, but really, the end is in site. Falling ice- From KXAS Facebook, I think it was a Ford. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
1900hurricane Posted December 9, 2013 Share Posted December 9, 2013 I drove from Houston back to College Station on Saturday night (needed to get back and figured it was the lesser of the two evils over early Sunday morning), just as the freezing drizzle was really starting to pick up (temp was very clearly below 32*F most of the way). I could not believe how fast the other people were driving in these conditions. I capped my speed at 55-60 mph down 6, but almost everyone else was going as if nothing abnormal was even happening. I don't know if they were being dismissive of the freezing drizzle or were just plain oblivious of it, but I kept telling myself that I was going to see someone wreck that night. That didn't actually happen, but as soon as I got home, I started hearing about several wrecks in the locations I had just driven. And people wonder why they aren't able to drive in winter conditions... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DoctorMu Posted December 9, 2013 Share Posted December 9, 2013 I drove from Houston back to College Station on Saturday night (needed to get back and figured it was the lesser of the two evils over early Sunday morning), just as the freezing drizzle was really starting to pick up (temp was very clearly below 32*F most of the way). I could not believe how fast the other people were driving in these conditions. I capped my speed at 55-60 mph down 6, but almost everyone else was going as if nothing abnormal was even happening. I don't know if they were being dismissive of the freezing drizzle or were just plain oblivious of it, but I kept telling myself that I was going to see someone wreck that night. That didn't actually happen, but as soon as I got home, I started hearing about several wrecks in the locations I had just driven. And people wonder why they aren't able to drive in winter conditions... There were quite a few accidents in BCS on bridges/overpasses... We were 40 hours at or below freezing. Impressive for early Dec. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bubba hotep Posted December 10, 2013 Share Posted December 10, 2013 Some really cool scenes today with full sun on the frozen landscape, wish I had my camera with me and not just my cell phone: Could a Christmas surprise be in the cards again this year? Some interesting signals starting to pop up in the long range tea leaves. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Quixotic1 Posted December 10, 2013 Share Posted December 10, 2013 Saw the GFS Ops and nearly passed out. I'd say it wouldn't verify except I am going out of town for Christmas which means we'll probably get a blizzard. 10 degrees with 30 mph winds and heavy snow. Wow. Some version of that front with precip has been on the last 3 runs now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bubba hotep Posted December 11, 2013 Share Posted December 11, 2013 12z GFS continues to beat the pre-Christmas storm drum. The signal for this next cold out break seems to be getting stronger each day. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Quixotic1 Posted December 11, 2013 Share Posted December 11, 2013 12z GFS continues to beat the pre-Christmas storm drum. The signal for this next cold out break seems to be getting stronger each day. The cold looks incredible. 0 line flirting with Red River. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Srain Posted December 11, 2013 Share Posted December 11, 2013 12z GFS continues to beat the pre-Christmas storm drum. The signal for this next cold out break seems to be getting stronger each day. The cold looks incredible. 0 line flirting with Red River. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DFWWeather Posted December 11, 2013 Share Posted December 11, 2013 Bring on the deep freeze (yikes!!!). Can anyone say December 1983? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Quixotic1 Posted December 11, 2013 Share Posted December 11, 2013 Strong Wording from FWD AFD: .LONG RANGE FORECAST......FOR THE 8 TO 12 DAY FORECAST PERIOD......THURSDAY DEC 19 THROUGH MONDAY DEC 23... THERE WILL BE A POTENTIAL FOR A SIGNIFICANT COLD OUTBREAK ACROSSNORTH AND CENTRAL TEXAS THAT COULD START JUST BEYOND THE 7 DAYFORECAST PERIOD. GIVEN THE EXTENDED RANGE...THERE IS STILLCONSIDERABLE UNCERTAINTY ON POTENTIAL IMPACTS. A CLOSE INSPECTION OFTHE LATEST 42-MEMBER NORTH AMERICAN ENSEMBLE (NAEFS) SUGGESTS THATTHE LOWER END OF POTENTIAL IMPACTS WILL BE A RELATIVELY SHORT /TWOTO THREE DAY/ PERIOD OF MUCH-BELOW NORMAL TEMPERATURES WITH LITTLEOR NO WINTRY PRECIPITATION ACROSS NORTH AND CENTRAL TEXAS. THE UPPEREND OF THE IMPACTS SUGGEST A 3-4 DAY PERIOD OF MUCH-BELOW NORMALTEMPERATURES WITH A CHANCE FOR WINTRY PRECIPITATION IN MANY AREAS OFNORTH AND CENTRAL TX. BASED ON THE LAST 3-4 RUNS OF THE NAEFS...CONFIDENCE IS GROWING THATA VERY COLD ARCTIC AIRMASS WILL BEGIN SPREADING INTO NORTH TEXAS ONDEC 19 OR DEC 20. THE FORECAST 500 MB PATTERN AND FORECAST MID LEVELTEMPERATURES ACROSS SOUTHERN CANADA STRONGLY SUPPORT A SOUTHWARDPLUNGING AIRMASS AT LEAST AS COLD AS THE AIRMASS THAT ARRIVED INTEXAS ON DEC 5-6. THIS MORNINGS /12Z/ DETERMINISTIC RUNS OF BOTH THEGFS AND ECMWF SUGGEST THAT THE INITIAL COLD SURGE WILL ARRIVE LATETHURSDAY DEC 19 OR FRIDAY DEC 20. IF THE FORECAST HOLDS TRUE...THENTEMPERATURES AVERAGING 20-25 DEGREES BELOW NORMAL CAN BE EXPECTEDOVER ALL OF NORTH AND CENTRAL TEXAS OVER THE WEEKEND DEC 21-22. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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