CoastalWx Posted February 24, 2013 Share Posted February 24, 2013 I've had almost 3' of snow this month. Disappointing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 24, 2013 Share Posted February 24, 2013 Man some decent cold signals heading into March. Seasonal calls for Morch rapidly going down the toilet. Love it. The I think we could see a heck of a storm over the CONUS maybe mid month or so. The PNA ridge may be retrograding and we still have weak ridging into Greenland. Maybe it's the 10th or something..point is we could see a good storm or two somewhere in the Midwest or Northeast. I know you despise my analogs but the number of big storms showing up in that time period really is eye opening. Put it this way, Jerry, Jeff, Me and even Matty Zwyts fantasy storms are on the list. Lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 24, 2013 Share Posted February 24, 2013 I know you despise my analogs but the number of big storms showing up in that time period really is eye opening. Put it this way, Jerry, Jeff, Me and even Matty Zwyts fantasy storms are on the list. Lol I don't despise analogs at all...my issue is sometimes they are misused. Not you...just some people I think run away with the idea of getting another Feb 69, Mar 93....etc. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted February 24, 2013 Share Posted February 24, 2013 I've had almost 3' of snow this month. Disappointing. blows, doesn't it. I've had like 8" since the blizzard. last night was cool with the bombers falling out of the sky. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 24, 2013 Share Posted February 24, 2013 Pretty cold pattern on the Euro thru day 10. Pretty much all below normal with light snows rotating in from time to time next weekend. I am so glad I was wrong about MORCH. I said i would admit it if it happened and I admit it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted February 24, 2013 Share Posted February 24, 2013 Pretty cold pattern on the Euro thru day 10. Pretty much all below normal with light snows rotating in from time to time next weekend. I am so glad I was wrong about MORCH. I said i would admit it if it happened and I admit it. Early spike-it's still 2/24.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted February 24, 2013 Share Posted February 24, 2013 Man some decent cold signals heading into March. Seasonal calls for Morch rapidly going down the toilet. Love it. I think we could see a heck of a storm over the CONUS maybe mid month or so. The PNA ridge may be retrograding and we still have weak ridging into Greenland. Maybe it's the 10th or something..point is we could see a good storm or two somewhere in the Midwest or Northeast. Think we see any fresh cold air? This airmass now is pretty stale and looks to hang around for awhile (at least through this week) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted February 24, 2013 Share Posted February 24, 2013 Think we see any fresh cold air? This airmass now is pretty stale and looks to hang around for awhile (at least through this week) Yeah looks like crap. I think we're pretty close to climo next weekend. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ctsnowstorm628 Posted February 24, 2013 Share Posted February 24, 2013 Yeah looks like crap. I think we're pretty close to climo next weekend. Yeah as we head into March, it's tough to get good surface cold unless its dynamically forced. There's a reason the CP's snow season ends around 3/1-3/10. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 24, 2013 Share Posted February 24, 2013 Think we see any fresh cold air? This airmass now is pretty stale and looks to hang around for awhile (at least through this week) It looks like after next weekend the blocking relaxes a bit and actually the Pacific takes over. This allows for colder air to move south. It's actually possible temps later in the first week of march or into week 2 are colder then they are now. We are close to a few storm chances over the next 10 days..tough to say if they clip us or not. The blocking isn't as west based as it looked earlier and hence things got shifted east. As the pattern relaxes and the Pacific improves..I still see signs for continued storminess right through mid month. I think it could be quite fun for some of us. I talked to our long range guy...if I have a chance I'll post some stuff later. He had some interesting charts showing why the so called IO convection just fizzled and so did Morch. The current convection now over Indonesia should drift east and possibly help build the ridging into the Pacific...but this too may weaken in about a week. There isn't a lot of strong signals right now to force a pattern...but the opposite is also true...there isn't a huge signal to destroy it either. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted February 24, 2013 Share Posted February 24, 2013 It looks like after next weekend the blocking relaxes a bit and actually the Pacific takes over. This allows for colder air to move south. It's actually possible temps later in the first week of march or into week 2 are colder then they are now. We are close to a few storm chances over the next 10 days..tough to say if they clip us or not. The blocking isn't as west based as it looked earlier and hence things got shifted east. As the pattern relaxes and the Pacific improves..I still see signs for continued storminess right through mid month. I think it could be quite fun for some of us. I talked to our long range guy...if I have a chance I'll post some stuff later. He had some interesting charts showing why the so called IO convection just fizzled and so did Morch. The current convection now over Indonesia should drift east and possibly help build the ridging into the Pacific...but this too may weaken in about a week. There isn't a lot of strong signals right now to force a pattern...but the opposite is also true...there isn't a huge signal to destroy it either. Cool. Even if we have a chance at something decent (obviously best chances north and east of me) that's enough to keep me interested. The MJO is a wildcard too? Looks like it's supposed to go into the circle of death-hopefully it doesnt come back out in Phases 4-6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 24, 2013 Share Posted February 24, 2013 It looks like after next weekend the blocking relaxes a bit and actually the Pacific takes over. This allows for colder air to move south. It's actually possible temps later in the first week of march or into week 2 are colder then they are now. We are close to a few storm chances over the next 10 days..tough to say if they clip us or not. The blocking isn't as west based as it looked earlier and hence things got shifted east. As the pattern relaxes and the Pacific improves..I still see signs for continued storminess right through mid month. I think it could be quite fun for some of us. I talked to our long range guy...if I have a chance I'll post some stuff later. He had some interesting charts showing why the so called IO convection just fizzled and so did Morch. The current convection now over Indonesia should drift east and possibly help build the ridging into the Pacific...but this too may weaken in about a week. There isn't a lot of strong signals right now to force a pattern...but the opposite is also true...there isn't a huge signal to destroy it either.Yeah I'm afraid those thinking spring or even climo are really going to be disappointed as we move thru the next 3-4 weeks. We've got quite a bit of cold and snow to go Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 24, 2013 Share Posted February 24, 2013 Cool. Even if we have a chance at something decent (obviously best chances north and east of me) that's enough to keep me interested. The MJO is a wildcard too? Looks like it's supposed to go into the circle of death-hopefully it doesnt come back out in Phases 4-6 MJO is all fooked up. Don't pay much attention to those dynamic model charts. There are Kelvin waves moving east and Rossby waves moving west acting to constructively and destructively interfere. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted February 24, 2013 Share Posted February 24, 2013 Yeah I'm afraid those thinking spring or even climo are really going to be disappointed as we move thru the next 3-4 weeks. We've got quite a bit of cold and snow to go Well I think through the next 7 we're pretty close to climo. I don't see any major cold push. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 24, 2013 Share Posted February 24, 2013 Well I think through the next 7 we're pretty close to climo. I don't see any major cold push.Just cold enough to snow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted February 24, 2013 Share Posted February 24, 2013 Just cold enough to snow Sure if we can get a storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 24, 2013 Share Posted February 24, 2013 Sure if we can get a storm.We have Tues nite and then spokes that spin in off the ocean next weekend Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted February 24, 2013 Share Posted February 24, 2013 We have Tues nite and then spokes that spin in off the ocean next weekend Odds favor little if any accumulation from your "spinning spokes" lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted February 24, 2013 Share Posted February 24, 2013 We have Tues nite and then spokes that spin in off the ocean next weekend Odds favor little if any accumulation from your "spinning spokes" lol spokes of flurries Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted February 24, 2013 Share Posted February 24, 2013 spokes of flurries Spokes of clouds and spits of graupel Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted February 24, 2013 Share Posted February 24, 2013 Spokes of clouds and spits of graupel Mmmm graupel flurries and snow grains at 32-36 degrees. Full on winter right there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 24, 2013 Share Posted February 24, 2013 Yeah this week will not be cold at all and will be mild possibly Thursday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted February 24, 2013 Share Posted February 24, 2013 This month turned out to be disappointing after the pattern looked so promising following the Blizzard. This was a one-storm month for many areas. BOS will finish low to mid 30s for February snow. Sucks doesn't it. The 30 inches in 8 days really was disappointing. The best part was good snow cover all month virtually. Get ahold of yourself Nate! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 24, 2013 Share Posted February 24, 2013 BOS will finish low to mid 30s for February snow. Sucks doesn't it. The 30 inches in 8 days really was disappointing. The lest part was good snow cover all month virtually. Get ahold of yourself Nate!Dude needs a new pair of socks. Naked from the knees down Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 25, 2013 Share Posted February 25, 2013 Disappointing we lose storm potential for a little whole unless the gfs is right. Hopefully next week brings something. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted February 25, 2013 Share Posted February 25, 2013 i hope we can take advantage of this pattern. would love to see the winter go out with a monster storm along the east coast. would hate to see the trough just gradually erode over time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted February 25, 2013 Share Posted February 25, 2013 i hope we can take advantage of this pattern. would love to see the winter go out with a monster storm along the east coast. would hate to see the trough just gradually erode over time. Rotting into mud season would be awful. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted February 25, 2013 Share Posted February 25, 2013 Rotting into mud season would be awful. 12z GFS looks like mid-winter. man i hope that's right. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted February 25, 2013 Share Posted February 25, 2013 12z GFS looks like mid-winter. man i hope that's right. Yeah getting that storm around D10 is key. Otherwise it's like a climo regime with temps through D10 and slow and steady melting. If we can pull off a sweet Miller B at the end that would be great. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted February 25, 2013 Share Posted February 25, 2013 wow. LL's wildflowers and oysters FTL on the GFS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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