ORH_wxman Posted February 20, 2013 Author Share Posted February 20, 2013 100hr snow What a sick solution. Almost like Feb 23-28 1969. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 20, 2013 Author Share Posted February 20, 2013 This is one way to get a stalled cutoff near us: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted February 20, 2013 Share Posted February 20, 2013 end of the euro run is ridiculous. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 20, 2013 Author Share Posted February 20, 2013 end of the euro run is ridiculous. It gives BOS like another 2 feet of snow and it would have been more if the run didn't end at 240h, lol. It hammers the Cape too. Really all of SNE is hammered, but esp the Cape up to BOS where over 2" more qpf falls before the run cuts off. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted February 20, 2013 Share Posted February 20, 2013 It gives BOS like another 2 feet of snow and it would have been more if the run didn't end at 240h, lol. It hammers the Cape too. Really all of SNE is hammered, but esp the Cape up to BOS where over 2" more qpf falls before the run cuts off. it reminds me of some of the big spring cut-offs that just punish the area with rain. the way the flow bends around like that. from S to N to E to W and so on. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 20, 2013 Share Posted February 20, 2013 Look at the analogs LOL. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 20, 2013 Share Posted February 20, 2013 Look at the analogs LOL. http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/predictions/814day/814analog.off.gif Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 20, 2013 Author Share Posted February 20, 2013 Look at the analogs LOL. Feb 2010, Mar 2010, Mar 2001, Feb 1969, Mar 1984, Mar 1993....its like a who's who of monster late season patterns...if you take that 2010 pattern and adjust it colder (which the upcoming pattern will be), that is epic for us Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 20, 2013 Share Posted February 20, 2013 Feb 2010, Mar 2010, Mar 2001, Feb 1969, Mar 1984, Mar 1993....its like a who's who of monster late season patterns...if you take that 2010 pattern and adjust it colder (which the upcoming pattern will be), that is epic for us I really thought you hacked into the mainframe. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 20, 2013 Share Posted February 20, 2013 Didn't MArch 2010 Morch all if us ? ESP the last 3 weeks Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 20, 2013 Author Share Posted February 20, 2013 Didn't MArch 2010 Morch all if us ? ESP the last 3 weeks It was marine puke airmass the first 2 weeks and then we torched late that month...but part of the reason it was a torch overall is becuase the first week of the month was like highs in the mid 40s and lows around 33F...that is awful for early March...but the pattern was actually decent if it had been a real airmass...remember we got 3-4 inches of rain in mid-month while being like 1C too warm in the mid-levels. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwinter23 Posted February 20, 2013 Share Posted February 20, 2013 What a sick solution. Almost like Feb 23-28 1969. that 69 analog just keeps rearing its head this winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted February 20, 2013 Share Posted February 20, 2013 It was marine puke airmass the first 2 weeks and then we torched late that month...but part of the reason it was a torch overall is becuase the first week of the month was like highs in the mid 40s and lows around 33F...that is awful for early March...but the pattern was actually decent if it had been a real airmass...remember we got 3-4 inches of rain in mid-month while being like 1C too warm in the mid-levels. i hated feb 2010. nyc could have seen blizz of 1888 amounts if the storm late in the month had colder air Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwinter23 Posted February 20, 2013 Share Posted February 20, 2013 It was marine puke airmass the first 2 weeks and then we torched late that month...but part of the reason it was a torch overall is becuase the first week of the month was like highs in the mid 40s and lows around 33F...that is awful for early March...but the pattern was actually decent if it had been a real airmass...remember we got 3-4 inches of rain in mid-month while being like 1C too warm in the mid-levels. And the days leading up to that massive rain/wind storm in mid-march 2010 is one of the top analogs on CPC today...along with the days preceding march 2001 ( ) it really is all about the airmass involved in the pattern Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 20, 2013 Author Share Posted February 20, 2013 i hated feb 2010. nyc could have seen blizz of 1888 amounts if the storm late in the month had colder air Yep...a fresher airmass (not even talking brutal cold either) could have made that month even more insane than it was for some areas down in that area. We had no replenishing of the airmass after late January basically. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tamarack Posted February 20, 2013 Share Posted February 20, 2013 Feb 2010, Mar 2010, Mar 2001, Feb 1969, Mar 1984, Mar 1993....its like a who's who of monster late season patterns...if you take that 2010 pattern and adjust it colder (which the upcoming pattern will be), that is epic for us That late Feb 2010 storm was achingly close to repeating 1969 when Farmington got 43", and it was 43 yr later to the day. Take 5F off my temps and my 11" of 4:1 mashed potatos followed by 1.1" of 33F slushy rain (this during NYC's snowicane) turns into 35-40". Sugarloaf got about 60" from that thing. Be nice to have another shot. 12z gfs has 2" qpf at 30-35F (RUM/AUG) for D7-9. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 20, 2013 Share Posted February 20, 2013 Euro ensembles are amazing..lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 20, 2013 Author Share Posted February 20, 2013 Euro ensembles are amazing..lol. Worthy of holding Bryce up to the street light during heavy snow like the Lion King. The Feb 26-27 system continues to get a bit more interesting...I'm not counting on it for a huge amount of snow, but a messy snow to mix/rain back to snow type deal might make it so its not a net loss on the snow pack or a very small amount. Could be interesting as we get closer. The timeframe after that just looks awesome. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 20, 2013 Share Posted February 20, 2013 Good Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 20, 2013 Share Posted February 20, 2013 Worthy of holding Bryce up to the street light during heavy snow like the Lion King. The Feb 26-27 system continues to get a bit more interesting...I'm not counting on it for a huge amount of snow, but a messy snow to mix/rain back to snow type deal might make it so its not a net loss on the snow pack or a very small amount. Could be interesting as we get closer. The timeframe after that just looks awesome. Yeah what a weenie run. I love how there is a semi permanent offshore low. It's likely not the same low, but the signal is so strong. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 20, 2013 Share Posted February 20, 2013 like Scooter said SOS only instead of 2010 Sultan Signal its a Sh it load of Snow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
blazess556 Posted February 20, 2013 Share Posted February 20, 2013 18z GFS run is absurd...historic snow totals. must have been run from CT Blizz's computer. Just storm after storm. not surprised though with the favorable teleconnections. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted February 20, 2013 Share Posted February 20, 2013 If that extended GFS pattern orientation is right a lot of climo sites set a new seasonal snow total record, period. As in, never snowed that much in recorded history... Either way, this setting up of an an usually deep eastern U.S. geopotential medium entity is hit on hard by the la-la range Euro from the op. 12z run, but what is intriguing is that the goose-bumple teleconnector spread is a new ice age. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted February 20, 2013 Share Posted February 20, 2013 Jaw dropping ECMWF derived PNA prog! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted February 20, 2013 Share Posted February 20, 2013 man something truly special could be cooking - Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 21, 2013 Share Posted February 21, 2013 This may be a 30-40 day period that we remember for the rest of our lives Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted February 21, 2013 Share Posted February 21, 2013 This may be a 30-40 day period that we remember for the rest of our lives It won't be that hard for me...lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
#NoPoles Posted February 21, 2013 Share Posted February 21, 2013 50 for Boston next week, mid-week? and rain? can't we string some snow storms together this season or are we just going to alternate for the rest of the season? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 21, 2013 Share Posted February 21, 2013 50 for Boston next week, mid-week? and rain? can't we string some snow storms together this season or are we just going to alternate for the rest of the season? 50? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
#NoPoles Posted February 21, 2013 Share Posted February 21, 2013 50? well, pete had 47...i rounded... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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