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Mid to late February Pattern Discussion...stormy or end of winter?


ORH_wxman

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What's great about living in New England is that we've had 10/29/11  and we've had 4/1/97 so there really is a 5 month period where one cannot rule out the possibility of an epic snow event.

 

 

As an 8th grader I thought April 6(?) 1982 was pretty epic up on the hill in Arlington.

 

and come to think of it I remeber taking a picture of our porch in Cambridge some time in 1976 or 77 of an acumulating May snowfall.

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He's just joking about my caution flags. :lol:

 

Yeah figured... I've been "off the grid" since the big one, easy to get out of touch in here lol...

 

Caution flags are always healthy. Hopefully with such favorable large scale features, at least we should have some exciting things to track...

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It was epic for BOS too...over a foot of powdery snow. Cold storm.

 

I remember getting an early dismisal from school.  It could have been my first gratifying moment in weather weenieism because I had told a few classmates that morning that it was going to snow and our teacher basically said that was BS.  (I heard that it was a possibility the night before from Bruce Schoegler and my older brother was all in)

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As an 8th grader I thought April 6(?) 1982 was pretty epic up on the hill in Arlington.

 

and come to think of it I remeber taking a picture of our porch in Cambridge some time in 1976 or 77 of an acumulating May snowfall.

That was May 76, I remember pictures in the paper from the town Florida getting hit pretty good, also in the early 80's we had a decent event in Worcester in May, maybe 5-6 inches.

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That was May 76, I remember pictures in the paper from the town Florida getting hit pretty good, also in the early 80's we had a decent event in Worcester in May, maybe 5-6 inches.

 

 

ORH only had 2 measurable events in May in the 1970s and 1980s...12.7" on May 9-10, 1977 and 0.3" in May 1986.

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May 10 1977.

 

I thought it was 77 but was too lazy to go looking, now that I have googled it there is confirmation but interestingly, very little news accounts of the event.

 

ORH only had 2 measurable events in May in the 1970s and 1980s...12.7" on May 9-10, 1977 and 0.3" in May 1986.

 

Wow!  I think we had 2" in Cambridge which I thought was extraordinary even as a 9 year old.

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This pattern looks almost nothing like Mar 1993 ironically even though it looks good. Mar 1993 had a huge +NAO/+AO...but it had a really stout western ridge. It looks more like 1958, though 1958 didn't have a good western ridge (though our initial pattern over the next week or 10 days doesn't have a big western ridge either). Mar 1960 is a decent match.

Porn,,,,plain and simple.

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This pattern looks almost nothing like Mar 1993 ironically even though it looks good. Mar 1993 had a huge +NAO/+AO...but it had a really stout western ridge. It looks more like 1958, though 1958 didn't have a good western ridge (though our initial pattern over the next week or 10 days doesn't have a big western ridge either). Mar 1960 is a decent match.

some all-time great March storms in those years...

 

March 58, specifically in southern canada, kinda resembles what is upcoming-the closed h5 block

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One ofthe reasons the pattern is so good looking to some of us, is because the block gives us margin for error. Look at how different the GFS is at handling the shortwaves this run, yet it still produces two large snow events on Feb 26-27 and Mar 1-2. That block forces the storms underneath us. It crapped out on the 2/24 a bit staying a bit strung out and south (but still close to good), but the other two deliever.

 

Lots of chances.

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LOL, I knew you'd correct me if I was wrong, it was probably April 30th

 

 

April 28-29, 1987 had 17" at ORH...though the lower elevations saw less. You might be thinking of that one. April '83 had a late one around April 19th that was more like 3-4"...but a good week earlier than the '87 event.

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