weathafella Posted February 14, 2013 Share Posted February 14, 2013 Tuesday does not have the chance to go snowier IMO. It's just not the setup for that. Can't win 'em all. Yeah the main reason I canceled dc is the specter of delays due to IFR conditions in rain and maybe fog generally which can back up the shuttle. Schedule locally is too packed to allow any leeway. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 14, 2013 Share Posted February 14, 2013 That is a long ways out though, mucho can change True, but JMHO. I could see some snow or ice to start in the far interior. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 14, 2013 Share Posted February 14, 2013 Yeah the main reason I canceled dc is the specter of delays due to IFR conditions in rain and maybe fog generally which can back up the shuttle. Schedule locally is too packed to allow any leeway. The pattern going forward sure does allow for some greatness, Jerry. I admit temps may not be the best at times...but man with a -PNA and what looks to be a developing -NAO..we'll sure have our shots. The key is not to have a wicked +EPO which appears not to be in the cards so that's good. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 14, 2013 Share Posted February 14, 2013 Tuesday does not have the chance to go snowier IMO. It's just not the setup for that. Can't win 'em all.Sure does. It's a setup similar to tomorrow.all we have to do is move the front thru quicker And have a wave run along it. It will come in as a Mix and then quickly go to cold rain and depending on timing and speed go to snow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted February 14, 2013 Share Posted February 14, 2013 The pattern going forward sure does allow for some greatness, Jerry. I admit temps may not be the best at times...but man with a -PNA and what looks to be a developing -NAO..we'll sure have our shots. The key is not to have a wicked +EPO which appears not to be in the cards so that's good. The d9 threat looks pretty solid for ths far out in time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 14, 2013 Share Posted February 14, 2013 True, but JMHO. I could see some snow or ice to start in the far interior. yep most likely scenario. I always think models move confluence out too fast, this has that look of an energy transfer to the coast.right now way too far North but judging by this Ens look with bagginess in NJ some membesr have to be flirting with an earlier transfer. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 14, 2013 Share Posted February 14, 2013 Sure does. It's a setup similar to tomorrow.all we have to do is move the front thru quicker And have a wave run along it. It will come in as a Mix and then quickly go to cold rain and depending on timing and speed go to snow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 14, 2013 Share Posted February 14, 2013 Dude look at all the srly flow ahead of it. 850s torch. Ain't happening. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 14, 2013 Share Posted February 14, 2013 Dude look at all the srly flow ahead of it. 850s torch. Ain't happening.Quoted for bumping Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 14, 2013 Share Posted February 14, 2013 The d9 threat looks pretty solid for ths far out in time. Yeah that could be a good one. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 14, 2013 Share Posted February 14, 2013 Quoted for bumping Sleep with it if you want. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 14, 2013 Share Posted February 14, 2013 Kevin you said all snow in the interior earlier. You are already hedging. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted February 14, 2013 Share Posted February 14, 2013 Tuesday does not have the chance to go snowier IMO. It's just not the setup for that. Can't win 'em all.Sure does. It's a setup similar to tomorrow.all we have to do is move the front thru quicker And have a wave run along it. It will come in as a Mix and then quickly go to cold rain and depending on timing and speed go to snow Wait...what? You're talking about Tuesday? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PWMan Posted February 14, 2013 Share Posted February 14, 2013 Tuesday/Wednesday will be wet for most. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 14, 2013 Share Posted February 14, 2013 Wait...what? You're talking about Tuesday? LOL, yes. Heavy heavy fantasies. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 14, 2013 Share Posted February 14, 2013 Wait...what? You're talking about Tuesday?What day did you think? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted February 14, 2013 Share Posted February 14, 2013 Wait...what? You're talking about Tuesday?What day did you think? I thought Tuesday until I read your last post. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 14, 2013 Author Share Posted February 14, 2013 Tuesday is snowy inland. Rain to snow for you No it isn't, lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PWMan Posted February 14, 2013 Share Posted February 14, 2013 For those with access, how does the Euro look for next Tues.-Wed.? The 12z GFS seemed flatter and a little less torchy, FWIW. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 14, 2013 Author Share Posted February 14, 2013 Def looks like a decent potential for NNE on Tuesday/Wednesday next week. Not sure we can get it down to SNE for much winter wx...perhaps north of the pike or Rt 2. Def trending colder though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 14, 2013 Share Posted February 14, 2013 Def looks like a decent potential for NNE on Tuesday/Wednesday next week. Not sure we can get it down to SNE for much winter wx...perhaps north of the pike or Rt 2. Def trending colder though. 925 temps are below 0C from your house on north. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 14, 2013 Author Share Posted February 14, 2013 925 temps are below 0C from your house on north. Well that's def a snowy signal then for interior N of the pike. Still a lot of time to figure this one out. If we can keep the weekend system stalled out to our northeast and a bit stronger, that will probably help force the one next week to redevelop further SE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 14, 2013 Share Posted February 14, 2013 Interesting, I posted this AM has to be some ENS members that pop a coastal, models can breakdown confluence too fast Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 14, 2013 Share Posted February 14, 2013 Well that's def a snowy signal then for interior N of the pike. Still a lot of time to figure this one out. If we can keep the weekend system stalled out to our northeast and a bit stronger, that will probably help force the one next week to redevelop further SE. Yeah myself and meteotrade were taking bets where the euro would track.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 14, 2013 Author Share Posted February 14, 2013 D8-9 looking quite interesting as well...SWFE redeveloper type appeal to it. Very wintry looking system...esp for interior even if MLs try to warm for a time. This one could easily be all snow though too as it gets forced more eastward with that other system to the northeast acting as a blocking mechanism. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 14, 2013 Share Posted February 14, 2013 Not a surprise to some of us . Glad we bumped Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 14, 2013 Share Posted February 14, 2013 Not a surprise to some of us . Glad we bumped Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 14, 2013 Author Share Posted February 14, 2013 GEFS take that storm at D8-9 and really help amplify a -NAO blocking setup. Our fun wouldn't be done by a long shot in that setup...right into Morch if we could get that block to form. I hope nobody cancelled winter in mid February. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted February 14, 2013 Share Posted February 14, 2013 GEFS take that storm at D8-9 and really help amplify a -NAO blocking setup. Our fun wouldn't be done by a long shot in that setup...right into Morch if we could get that block to form. I hope nobody cancelled winter in mid February. kevin did. it was over as of today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherMA Posted February 14, 2013 Share Posted February 14, 2013 I should do pretty well over the next few weeks. I have 70% confidence in all snow for Tuesday event up here. Maybe a deal where Kevin goes quickly to rain while Will pulls a quick 4" and Dendrite gets 6+? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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