CooL Posted April 5, 2013 Share Posted April 5, 2013 As a lot of us have said, even assuming that the Euro has the correct idea with the pattern from Wednesday and on, Sunday, Monday, and Tuesday look like great days for most of the area. Yesterday's 12z Euro was IMO overdone with making Tuesday a cold day. The shores will have their seabreeze concerns, though. Monday might have early highs for some, but be much colder at 4-5 p.m. than the 2 p.m. temperatures. The euro still might be overdoing that PV feature. Im not seeing much support for that but there is still a big block that we have to get rid of..It could become a problem if the euro is right Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
earthlight Posted April 5, 2013 Share Posted April 5, 2013 And phlwx was also not exactly lauding the predictions, either. Are you talking about when I said "it is only a matter of time before theres a snowstorm threat on the east coast in this pattern" and he called me a weenie? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nzucker Posted April 5, 2013 Share Posted April 5, 2013 Tonight is going to be chilly with the brief burst of -10C 850s moving south. NWS has a low temperature of 31F with blustery conditions in Dobbs Ferry, though the strong NW winds haven't yet kicked in so it's still a beautiful spring afternoon at 54.5/24, though certainly colder than earlier today when the high reached 63.3F. Sharp contrast between a warm day and cold night, reminds me of living in Montana and Nevada during Summer 2010 when it would be 80F at midday and 40F by dawn. The funny part is they don't need cold fronts for those diurnal ranges as we do. I've already have three freezes between April 2-4 with lows of 29.3F, 29.7F, and 29.4F. Very impressive to have three nights in a row in the 20s in April, though that's probably the last time we'll reach the 20s until mid-fall. Sad to say that, but it's true. There is a possibility for a cold night Wednesday or Thursday if the 12z ECM is right about the snow potential, but it probably won't get that cold. Winter has loosened its grip. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Isotherm Posted April 5, 2013 Share Posted April 5, 2013 Tonight is going to be chilly with the brief burst of -10C 850s moving south. NWS has a low temperature of 31F with blustery conditions in Dobbs Ferry, though the strong NW winds haven't yet kicked in so it's still a beautiful spring afternoon at 54.5/24, though certainly colder than earlier today when the high reached 63.3F. Sharp contrast between a warm day and cold night, reminds me of living in Montana and Nevada during Summer 2010 when it would be 80F at midday and 40F by dawn. The funny part is they don't need cold fronts for those diurnal ranges as we do. I've already have three freezes between April 2-4 with lows of 29.3F, 29.7F, and 29.4F. Very impressive to have three nights in a row in the 20s in April, though that's probably the last time we'll reach the 20s until mid-fall. Sad to say that, but it's true. There is a possibility for a cold night Wednesday or Thursday if the 12z ECM is right about the snow potential, but it probably won't get that cold. Winter has loosened its grip. 3 freezes here in CNJ too so far this month, and tonight looks to do it. 28.1, 29.3, and 31.1. Still believe next week is transitional - warm early, backdoor w/ maritime air from late Tuesday through potentially Friday, and then April 15th+ could feature very warm regime developing given the collapse of the high latitude blocking. Strong consensus for +AO initiation in about 5-7 days Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted April 6, 2013 Share Posted April 6, 2013 Are you talking about when I said "it is only a matter of time before theres a snowstorm threat on the east coast in this pattern" and he called me a weenie? That would be it. Lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dsnowx53 Posted April 6, 2013 Share Posted April 6, 2013 Are you talking about when I said "it is only a matter of time before theres a snowstorm threat on the east coast in this pattern" and he called me a weenie? Yes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
earthlight Posted April 6, 2013 Share Posted April 6, 2013 That would be it. Lol Ill refrain from comment. Lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ict1523 Posted April 6, 2013 Share Posted April 6, 2013 Pretty interesting to note, that despite a warm December and January, Central Park has not had a day with HDD under 10 since November 12th. Seems like a long stretch, as even cold years like 2003, 2004 had such days by March. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted April 6, 2013 Share Posted April 6, 2013 This morning was really chilly . Low was in the mid 30's. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TWCCraig Posted April 6, 2013 Share Posted April 6, 2013 Surprised no special statements or red flag warnings. RH values are very low already and it's pretty breezy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest Patrick Posted April 6, 2013 Share Posted April 6, 2013 sensor has been reading rain at sussex airport for two days without a cloud in the sky... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BxEngine Posted April 6, 2013 Share Posted April 6, 2013 More fires. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nycsnow Posted April 6, 2013 Share Posted April 6, 2013 More fires. Yup, my friends in fdny he's been telling me, also I'm in the police academy & they were talking the other day how its the time of year where Staten Island starts to burn! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IntenseBlizzard2014 Posted April 6, 2013 Share Posted April 6, 2013 There were 3 fires here at Mount Vernon for the past couple of days. Due to very dry conditions. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rcad1 Posted April 6, 2013 Share Posted April 6, 2013 this looks like it's one of those years where we go from heat one day to AC the next!! Guess I should get ready to put them in the window.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nzucker Posted April 6, 2013 Share Posted April 6, 2013 this looks like it's one of those years where we go from heat one day to AC the next!! Guess I should get ready to put them in the window.... I don't think it's going to be that hot...Tuesday looks like the warmest day at 70/50 but that's not steamy enough to need AC. By Thursday we might have highs in the 40s if the 12z Euro handles the backdoor front better than the gfs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rcad1 Posted April 6, 2013 Share Posted April 6, 2013 Sorry I meant after the 15th when I hear it's supposed to get really warm plus I live in a second floor apartment and it just holds the heat in.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted April 6, 2013 Share Posted April 6, 2013 This weather is boring Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted April 6, 2013 Share Posted April 6, 2013 Impressive dew point of 7 right now IMBY Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
doncat Posted April 6, 2013 Share Posted April 6, 2013 Yup, my friends in fdny he's been telling me, also I'm in the police academy & they were talking the other day how its the time of year where Staten Island starts to burn! Yeah relative humidity here is 18%... Three years ago tommorrow april 7th, was 92 drgrees here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted April 6, 2013 Share Posted April 6, 2013 Some models show 80s for multiple days this week prior to the frontal passage, which is certainly possible in April. I would go 70s at this time though. I hate when it goes from coolish to hot back to cool so abruptly but that's what may happen. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted April 6, 2013 Share Posted April 6, 2013 We don't often see a 15 degree dewpoint spread between JFK and LGA. LAGUARDIA APRT MOSUNNY 52 5 15 SW5 30.26RKENNEDY INTL MOSUNNY 46 20 35 S18 30.29R Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nzucker Posted April 7, 2013 Share Posted April 7, 2013 Today's forecast highs are going to bust...NWS had 58F here and we're struggling to get above 50F. Too much southerly influence to the wind after a cold late winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
earthlight Posted April 7, 2013 Share Posted April 7, 2013 Today's forecast highs are going to bust...NWS had 58F here and we're struggling to get above 50F. Too much southerly influence to the wind after a cold late winter. Ended up a degree or two warmer than expected here...sharp gradient i guess Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TWCCraig Posted April 7, 2013 Share Posted April 7, 2013 Yea, big difference from LI and NJ. Low 50's here, low 60's in NJ. Strong 10m winds off the ocean so one could expect. Ended up a degree or two cooler than forecast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snow_Miser Posted April 7, 2013 Share Posted April 7, 2013 Yea, big difference from LI and NJ. Low 50's here, low 60's in NJ. Strong 10m winds off the ocean so one could expect. Ended up a degree or two cooler than forecast. Yeah, I got to 62 as a high here. Very nice day today IMBY Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted April 7, 2013 Share Posted April 7, 2013 At least someone was able to cash in on the record blocking for this time of year. This was the first time according to the latest CPC data that we saw a -3 or lower monthly AO outside of DJF. http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/precip/CWlink/daily_ao_index/monthly.ao.index.b50.current.ascii.table 000SXUS71 KBGM 030629RERSYRRECORD EVENT REPORTNATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BINGHAMTON NY0228 AM EDT WED APR 03 2013...RECORD DAILY MAXIMUM SNOWFALL SET AT SYRACUSE NY...A RECORD SNOWFALL OF 10.5 INCHES WAS SET AT SYRACUSE HANCOCK FIELDYESTERDAY. THIS BREAKS THE OLD RECORD FOR APRIL 2ND OF 1.4 SET IN1991.THIS ALSO BREAKS THE ONE DAY CALENDAR DAY RECORD FOR APRIL WHICH WAS7.1 INCHES ON APRIL 4TH 1975. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BxEngine Posted April 7, 2013 Share Posted April 7, 2013 Ended up a degree or two warmer than expected here...sharp gradient i guess We got to 56 but it never felt like it, wind killed any chances of it being a top day. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
earthlight Posted April 7, 2013 Share Posted April 7, 2013 We got to 56 but it never felt like it, wind killed any chances of it being a top day. Yeah I felt it here too. I'm pretty sure I was around 60 this afternoon. It felt warm in the sun but the wind was pretty persistent. I took today as a nice precursor of things to come. Excited for the next few days...should be awesome. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted April 7, 2013 Share Posted April 7, 2013 Check the forecast out from Denver http://forecast.weather.gov/MapClick.php?CityName=Denver&state=CO&site=BOU&textField1=39.75&textField2=-104.99 Late Afternoon A 10 percent chance of showers. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 67. West wind around 10 mph, with gusts as high as 16 mph. Tonight A 10 percent chance of showers before 9pm. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 41. West wind 5 to 10 mph becoming light and variable. Winds could gust as high as 16 mph. Monday A 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms after noon. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 62. Southwest wind 5 to 9 mph becoming northeast in the afternoon. Monday Night Rain showers likely before 9pm, then rain and snow showers between 9pm and midnight, then snow after midnight. The snow could be heavy at times. Low around 21. Blustery, with a north wind 8 to 13 mph increasing to 15 to 20 mph after midnight. Winds could gust as high as 30 mph. Chance of precipitation is 80%. New snow accumulation of 3 to 7 inches possible. Tuesday Snow with areas of blowing snow before noon, then snow likely with areas of blowing snow after noon. High near 23. Blustery, with a north wind 15 to 20 mph, with gusts as high as 30 mph. Chance of precipitation is 90%. Tuesday Night A 30 percent chance of snow, mainly before midnight. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 12. Wednesday Partly sunny, with a high near 37. Wednesday Night Partly cloudy, with a low around 20. Thursday Partly sunny, with a high near 50. Thursday Night A slight chance of rain and snow showers. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 30. Friday A slight chance of showers. Partly sunny, with a high near 52. Friday Night Partly cloudy, with a low around 31. Saturday Partly sunny, with a high near 59. Saturday Night Mostly cloudy, with a low around 37. Sunday Partly sunny, with a high near 63. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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