MJO812 Posted March 28, 2013 Share Posted March 28, 2013 Ruggie tried to get a forum going and only a few folks were posting regularly and now he doesn't even post there - not going to be easy...... He shut the board down since he has a Facebook fanpage. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted March 28, 2013 Author Share Posted March 28, 2013 Ruggie tried to get a forum going and only a few folks were posting regularly and now he doesn't even post there - not going to be easy...... I have enough friends/contacts on this site that it shouldn't be terribly difficult. It's not going be larger than this site but then again, that's not what my goal is. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted March 28, 2013 Share Posted March 28, 2013 Spc launched its new site today. Pretty cool Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted March 28, 2013 Share Posted March 28, 2013 sandy is now on the psu NARR page http://www.meteo.psu.edu/~fxg1/NARR/2012/us1028j5.php Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TWCCraig Posted March 28, 2013 Share Posted March 28, 2013 Exactly, maybe not along the immediate coast but this looks like 60's even for NYC. Not sure what else can be expected this time of year for the folks feeling the effects from the cool ocean temps. I can tell you without a doubt that models tend to over do the effect of the cool ocean temps. Seen it happen too many times before. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted March 28, 2013 Share Posted March 28, 2013 Euro has highs near 60 on Monday and 65-68 in Phl area Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
earthlight Posted March 29, 2013 Share Posted March 29, 2013 I think our first "warmup" will come as early as next weekend (April 4-7). We'll see. Or how about earlier than that...DGEX well into the mid 60's on Monday Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CooL Posted March 29, 2013 Share Posted March 29, 2013 Or how about earlier than that...DGEX well into the mid 60's on Monday The blocking has really taken a huge hit in the modeling these past 2 days, as well as the overall wintry pattern look. Good sign of a gradual pattern change into warmer weather Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Isotherm Posted March 29, 2013 Share Posted March 29, 2013 Well obviously we're going to see warmth in here eventually, it is almost April. We've almost never made it through the April 1st-10th period without at least one 60 degree day. Per Uncle W's stats, since 1950, only 2003 featured no 60s in the first 10 days of April. So I wouldn't necessarily consider a 60 degree day a sign of a sustained warmer than normal pattern. Keep in mind average highs for the first week of April are around 56-57F, so a 60 degree high is just slightly above normal for this time of year. A 60F high would be quite meaningful in the Dec 1st-March 15th period, but it's not at all exciting for the beginning of April. If we had a shot at 70F+, now that would be a different story. Heck, we've hit 70s on numerous occasions in early/mid March before, so 60F on April 1st is pretty run of the mill. I think April 2nd is probably our last shot at wintry weather though, as the late week sern stream Miller A looks to be disjointed from the nern stream and thus lacking any real intensity or cold air in the mid levels. It'll probably be a rainer or a miss out to sea. It's unfortunate as some northern stream phasing could result in a more wintry outcome, particularly for the interior Northeast. I think the interior may see a couple more shots of snowfall. As for the coastal plain, the frontal short wave for Tuesday morning looks like the best chance. We've got sufficiently cold 850's and surface temps surprisingly would be near freezing, impressive for early April. The 18z GFS indicates this potential for the nern mid atlantic, but that will of course change in future runs. Perfect timing is needed with this one as well. We missed our snow potential in late March due to the 50/50 vortex being a bit too far SW and thus presenting too much confluence to get the solid vv's up to NYC's latitude. Glad to see the mid atlantic, DC-BWI-DE-SNJ crew finally made out with a decent event though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
earthlight Posted March 29, 2013 Share Posted March 29, 2013 We missed our snow potential in late March due to the 50/50 vortex being a bit too far SW and thus presenting too much confluence to get the solid vv's up to NYC's latitude. Glad to see the mid atlantic, DC-BWI-DE-SNJ crew finally made out with a decent event though. It's maddening to watch this loop of the last several days on the RAP re-analysis because most of the major features are in perfect position. But if you look carefully, that last vort lobe that comes around the back edge of the ULL to the north really helped with a last minute push of confluence and dry air. Awful. http://www.meteo.psu.edu/~fxg1/RUCANL/rucloop.html Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weathergun Posted March 29, 2013 Share Posted March 29, 2013 The 0z ECMWF still has 60s for inland spots on Monday. And it also has a coastal storm for April 5-6. But it's all rain. No phasing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted March 29, 2013 Share Posted March 29, 2013 The 0z ECMWF still has 60s for inland spots on Monday. And it also has a coastal storm for April 5-6. But it's all rain. No phasing. Yeah it back off the warmth for Monday. Next week looks pretty ugly and a costal storm chance. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Fanatic 97 Posted March 29, 2013 Share Posted March 29, 2013 What a beautiful day setting up! Fair skies with birds chirping and a nice calm breeze Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TWCCraig Posted March 29, 2013 Share Posted March 29, 2013 What a beautiful day setting up! Fair skies with birds chirping and a nice calm breeze I know, love this weather. 47.9°F Sunny Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted March 29, 2013 Share Posted March 29, 2013 sandy is now on the psu NARR page http://www.meteo.psu.edu/~fxg1/NARR/2012/us1028j5.php Thanks for letting us know. Believe it or not, some stores around my area are still closed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted March 29, 2013 Author Share Posted March 29, 2013 The 0z ECMWF still has 60s for inland spots on Monday. And it also has a coastal storm for April 5-6. But it's all rain. No phasing. The bulk of the precip misses us OTS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weathergun Posted March 29, 2013 Share Posted March 29, 2013 The bulk of the precip misses us OTS The 0z Euro Control run is even closer. More interaction with polar jet. Even some wet snow for Poconos and Catskills. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted March 29, 2013 Share Posted March 29, 2013 The 06z gfs really killed any shot at 60 for Monday and Sunday looks rather wet and probably around 50F. On the other hand it's showing signs of Spring warm but its still over a week away. The first few days of April are going to be downright chilly though, only 40s for highs, 20s for lows especially the suburbs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted March 29, 2013 Share Posted March 29, 2013 Nothing like a nice jog on a beautiful day Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted March 29, 2013 Share Posted March 29, 2013 Nothing like a nice jog on a beautiful day Really is nice to finally have a sunny day that makes it to 50F on March 30th. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Storm At Sea Posted March 29, 2013 Share Posted March 29, 2013 It definitely feels like Spring today. Warm sun and no wind. Time to put winter talk to rest. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ag3 Posted March 29, 2013 Share Posted March 29, 2013 It definitely feels like Spring today. Warm sun and no wind. Time to put winter talk to rest. It's windy in Queens. And annoying cold NW winds. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chaser25973 Posted March 29, 2013 Share Posted March 29, 2013 Sunny and 52 degrees! I hope winter is over with once and for all! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted March 29, 2013 Share Posted March 29, 2013 March departures thru 3/28 site..dep...snowfall NYC: -2.7 (7.3") LGA: -2.1 (6.1") JFK: -1.9 (4.4") ISP: -1.3 (7.0") EWR: -2.2 (8.8") TTN: -2.2 (5.4") ACY: -3.5 (3.1") Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cfa Posted March 29, 2013 Share Posted March 29, 2013 I hope it doesn't turn cloudy, like it's been doing for the past few days. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted March 29, 2013 Share Posted March 29, 2013 12z GFS has some snow for NYC on Monday Nighthttp://mag.ncep.noaa.gov/Image.php?model=gfs&area=namer¶m=700_rh_ht&cycle=12ℑ=gfs%2F12%2Fgfs_namer_093_700_rh_ht.gif http://mag.ncep.noaa.gov/Image.php?model=gfs&area=namer¶m=10m_wnd_precip&cycle=12ℑ=gfs%2F12%2Fgfs_namer_093_10m_wnd_precip.gif http://mag.ncep.noaa.gov/Image.php?model=gfs&area=namer¶m=10m_wnd_precip&cycle=12ℑ=gfs%2F12%2Fgfs_namer_096_10m_wnd_precip.gif Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted March 29, 2013 Share Posted March 29, 2013 I hope it doesn't turn cloudy, like it's been doing for the past few days. some high clouds moving through other than that very nice out Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TWCCraig Posted March 29, 2013 Share Posted March 29, 2013 I hope it doesn't turn cloudy, like it's been doing for the past few days. You jinxed it. I was tanning until it turned mostly cloudy. This day backfired. Better luck tomorrow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
earthlight Posted March 29, 2013 Share Posted March 29, 2013 Cool to see the NAM picking up on a small warm sector ahead of the sfc front on Monday Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted March 29, 2013 Share Posted March 29, 2013 Last year low to mid 50s for highs would have been considered frigid. It's a very nice day, tomorrow should be similar. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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