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Early Spring Banter Thread


IsentropicLift

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Trees have been budding here since February. Especially the oaks. There's one tree on the my street corner that always blooms early, it already is blooming with red buds. Tulips and Dandelions have been growing here since January. Still not as bad as last year, where the trees started blooming in January. But it's not necessarily the temps that cause trees and plants to bloom early, it's actually more dependent on the length of day. 

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Yeah, goes to show that there still really isn't any sign of a true spring warm up on the horizon quite yet.

 

It seems like any warm up before the second week of April will likely be short-lived bewteen trough amplification.  That brief warmup could occur by 3/29 - 3/30.  As far as getting back to normal and even above normal for any sustained period I think we're still beyond 2 weeks and probably closer to 3.

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It seems like any warm up before the second week of April will likely be short-lived bewteen trough amplification.  That brief warmup could occur by 3/29 - 3/30.  As far as getting back to normal and even above normal for any sustained period I think we're still beyond 2 weeks and probably closer to 3.

 

We might get a brief warm up beginning of April, and then another chance towards mid-April. Other than that, there's going to be no significant warm up's over the next 20 days. The CFSv2 has us below average for the next 4 weeks. We'll be lucky to squeeze in a 60 degree day, but that is unlikely atm.

 

cfsknyc.jpg

 

wk1wk220130318nasfct.gif

wk3wk420130318nasfct.gif

 

And it still continues with a -NAO through mid-April.

 

wk3wk420130318z500.gif

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At 918 PM EDT...National Weather Service Doppler radar in Upton NY indicated an area of snow and rain showers over Rye...moving east at 40 mph. Based on this movement...the showers should be in the vicinity of... Bayville...Mill Neck...Oyster Bay around 925 PM... Lloyd Harbor...Cove Neck...Oyster Bay Cove around 930 PM... Huntington Bay...Huntington...Cold Spring Harbor around 935 PM... East Northport...Centerport...Greenlawn around 940 PM... A brief period of moderate to locally heavy snow mixed with rain can be expected with this activity. An isolated rumble of thunder is possible.

 

 

Just saw lightning!!!!!!!  :o

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