PB GFI Posted February 5, 2013 Share Posted February 5, 2013 Lets all hope the euro weeklies are wrong. I will leave it at that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfsheepsheadbay Posted February 5, 2013 Share Posted February 5, 2013 Lets all hope the euro weeklies are wrong. I will leave it at that. They've been wrong all winter. No reason for that to change now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nzucker Posted February 5, 2013 Share Posted February 5, 2013 Lets all hope the euro weeklies are wrong. I will leave it at that. They are fine...-NAO develops but it has a western trough. Heights do lower over Alaska week 4. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PB GFI Posted February 5, 2013 Share Posted February 5, 2013 They've been wrong all winter. No reason for that to change now. You couldnt b more wrong. They caught the early jan warmth. They caught this 3wee cold from there jan 14 forecast. So eithr u havent seen them since dec or. Ur just winging it my man. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sn0waddict Posted February 5, 2013 Share Posted February 5, 2013 No snow outside, so I got to resort to youtube now. Ugh, let's hope this Friday storm isn't just another tease Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowshack Posted February 5, 2013 Share Posted February 5, 2013 http://raleighwx.americanwx.com/models/gfs/06zgfsnao.gif6z gfs really hammers the nao around the 20th. Meaningless at this point but first time in a long while ive seen it show this kind of deviation Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEG NAO Posted February 5, 2013 Share Posted February 5, 2013 Believe it or not JB is calling for a big storm in NYC - although rain might keep amounts down https://twitter.com/BigJoeBastardi Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted February 5, 2013 Author Share Posted February 5, 2013 How early did the boxing day blizzard show? In a normal winter the GFS shows these fantasy snow bombs a lot. Very few of them actually verify. These past two winters even the good model porn has been lacking. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BxEngine Posted February 5, 2013 Share Posted February 5, 2013 I picked a great weekend to head up to Lake Placid. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEG NAO Posted February 5, 2013 Share Posted February 5, 2013 Mt Holly is not on board yet in their 3:30 update regarding the 8th storm http://kamala.cod.edu/nj/latest.fpus51.KPHI.html from their AFD THE GOOD NEWS FOR THE SNOW HATERS (AND BAD NEWS FOR THE SNOW LOVERS) IS THAT THIS IS A PROGRESSIVE TROF, ITS NOT NEGATIVELY TILTED AND COLD AIR IS LACKING. WITH PRECIP MOVG IN OVERNIGHT THURSDAY NIGHT, TEMPS WILL BE COLD ENOUGH FOR SNOW VIRTUALLY EVERYWHERE AT THE ONSET. HOWEVER, AS THE LOW APPROACHES, TEMPS WILL WARM AND PRECIP WILL BEGIN TO MIX WITH AND CHANGE TO RAIN FROM SE TO NW. FOR MOST AREAS, ESPECIALLY FROM THE I-95 CORRIDOR SEWD, THIS WILL BE A PREDOMINANTLY RAIN EVENT. Upton not on board either http://kamala.cod.edu/nj/latest.fpus51.KOKX.html Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted February 5, 2013 Share Posted February 5, 2013 I believe upton was a little more optimistic for snow lovers then mt holly. Mention the change over at the end and how gfs could be over estimating waa. That being said if the euro verified there would be a big diff between NYC and Phl snow wise Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted February 5, 2013 Share Posted February 5, 2013 Mt Holly is not on board yet in their 3:30 update regarding the 8th storm http://kamala.cod.edu/nj/latest.fpus51.KPHI.html from their AFD THE GOOD NEWS FOR THE SNOW HATERS (AND BAD NEWS FOR THE SNOW LOVERS) IS THAT THIS IS A PROGRESSIVE TROF, ITS NOT NEGATIVELY TILTED AND COLD AIR IS LACKING. WITH PRECIP MOVG IN OVERNIGHT THURSDAY NIGHT, TEMPS WILL BE COLD ENOUGH FOR SNOW VIRTUALLY EVERYWHERE AT THE ONSET. HOWEVER, AS THE LOW APPROACHES, TEMPS WILL WARM AND PRECIP WILL BEGIN TO MIX WITH AND CHANGE TO RAIN FROM SE TO NW. FOR MOST AREAS, ESPECIALLY FROM THE I-95 CORRIDOR SEWD, THIS WILL BE A PREDOMINANTLY RAIN EVENT. Upton not on board either http://kamala.cod.edu/nj/latest.fpus51.KOKX.html Im assuming you mean not buying it within the 5 boros? Thursday Night Snow likely, mainly after midnight. Cloudy, with a low around 24. Southeast wind around 6 mph becoming calm in the evening. Chance of precipitation is 60%. Friday Snow likely. Cloudy, with a high near 34. Chance of precipitation is 60%. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 5, 2013 Share Posted February 5, 2013 Euro is usually deadly in this range. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Momza Posted February 6, 2013 Share Posted February 6, 2013 5 boros and immediate burbs anyways i am going with what alan kasper predicts Please let us know.. Can not pick up the signal from Jersey..... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rgwp96 Posted February 6, 2013 Share Posted February 6, 2013 Euro is usually deadly in this range. haha, i highly doubt it produces the ridiculous precip amounts up in new England like it shows Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LongBeachSurfFreak Posted February 6, 2013 Share Posted February 6, 2013 I need to stay out of the Friday thread. Its an emotional disaster!! From the ultimate naysayers jumping on board with every model that shows a non phase or out to sea or powerful primary. Then you have the EURO FREAKS! I will say in their defense the Euro has been great the last 5 years when it comes to blockbuster events especially in the current range (72 out) no need to name them if you haven't been living under a rock. As much as I want to be a EURO FREAK, I have to go with conservative something in between the 2 path. My call to friends and family on LI this afternoon was anywhere from 2-12. We shall see who wins this war! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim Posted February 6, 2013 Share Posted February 6, 2013 ..i know we all love to bash TWC..but their 'winter weather update' w/ carl parker was very informative for us geeks but he made it make sense for the common folk...showed the battle going on w/ regard to GFS and the EURO..even discussed the SREFS and how some show 20-30 inches of snow while some showed much less..v.interesting ..nice job twc! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
patrick05 Posted February 6, 2013 Share Posted February 6, 2013 ..i know we all love to bash TWC..but their 'winter weather update' w/ carl parker was very informative for us geeks but he made it make sense for the common folk...showed the battle going on w/ regard to GFS and the EURO..even discussed the SREFS and how some show 20-30 inches of snow while some showed much less..v.interesting ..nice job twc! they're usually ok with severe weather, tropical weather, and winter storms... other than that, meh just this evening, they used the headline "Clobbered by a Clipper" for the midwest, it turns out they got about an inch or so... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PB GFI Posted February 6, 2013 Share Posted February 6, 2013 How is this for one of the great turn arounds for what`s been one awful winter , We are gona get this one to fall , and a real shot next week on the EC again , and if you start back from Jan 20 - and go to Feb 20 , lets total up the departures from normal at the end and keep in mind " if " we wind up with back to back EC storms , that would be one the better comebacks i`ve ever seen . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted February 6, 2013 Share Posted February 6, 2013 Does the Euro still show a threat next week? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PB GFI Posted February 6, 2013 Share Posted February 6, 2013 Does the Euro still show a threat next week? It leaves a piece of energy behind , doesnt phase it like at 12z , but its a Euro bias , the Euro model likes to keep energy back , Just like you see the GFS having a SE bias . They both have flaws in measurments and timing but in different areas . I would rather sort FRI out and if that one falls, then look into next week , but the possibilty is there . If we just get Fridays no one will be dissapointed what happens after ........ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dbc Posted February 6, 2013 Share Posted February 6, 2013 For Friday's storm: EURO says to GFS, "Here is the answer to all the riddles." "Here in the wild I have you, a halfling model and a host of forecasting dominance at my command and the blizzard of '13 at my grasp." "Chance for the King Euro, captain of weather modeling to show his quality." lol. http://www.metacafe...._take_the_ring/ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JonClaw Posted February 7, 2013 Share Posted February 7, 2013 The NAM was feeling unloved so it spit out what we see now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
uncle W Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 here's how the old Brooklyn train system handled the great ice and snowstorm of February 1920...4.20" of precip...17.5" of snow in the Park... http://www.bmt-lines.com/wp-content/uploads/2010/11/brtmonthly02-1920.pdf Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BxEngine Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 I think there is less banter in this banter thread then the main discussion threads - no wonder the threads fill up so fast - half of the posts are nonsense posts that contain useless emotional banter............. You got a big set of balls and selective memory, ill give you credit for that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 I think there is less banter in this banter thread then the main discussion threads - no wonder the threads fill up so fast - half of the posts are nonsense posts that contain useless emotional banter............. How's this non storm working out for you Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 Just woke up. 6z GFS verbatim, final call next! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JonClaw Posted February 8, 2013 Share Posted February 8, 2013 I'm having flashbacks to March 2001... I remember when Storm Mode actually meant people got suspended. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted February 8, 2013 Author Share Posted February 8, 2013 I just want to let everyone know how much of a mockery some posters have made this sub-forum today. Read around the other sub-forums. They think we're all a big fat joke and I can not say I really blame them. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted February 8, 2013 Author Share Posted February 8, 2013 One thing for sure, the southern stream is starting to look very active on the GFS. Plenty of waves moving along with chances for a phase. Could be a very active month. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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