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Feb 2-3 Clipper Discussion and Observations


stormtracker

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I'm certainly more interested in Monday's potential. Barring the euro, the rest of the model's show .1"+ including the NAM, GFS, CMC, and the UK (presumably, at 72 has a nice swath entering the area.) I like the chance for the southern stream to pump that event up, as some models have shown. 

:huh:

 

12z GFS shows no such thing.... 12z NAM for NE MD area only...

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RAP keeps hinting at the main show somewhere in the 4-8 p period across the DC area.. focused about 6p in DC itself. 20+ dbz could do us OK.. think about .5" is probably tops locally.

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You're just trying to get me excited as with these clipper I've been in semi good spot twice. 

you might get a whopping .2" .. has moistened up ooooh so slightly. but that band is well modeled even on the nam etc so i think it's real. returns are picking up now w and sw.

post-1615-0-83996900-1359833120_thumb.pn

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I like the RAP, but I do wonder if it might be a tad overdone this time.

radar is getting better. if the general range is d-.5" someone will get near 1" probably.. favoring w and north
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