Capt. Adam Posted February 1, 2013 Share Posted February 1, 2013 Models showing measurable frozen for some Southern areas. OBS here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted February 1, 2013 Share Posted February 1, 2013 looking over the hourly models. I would say the areas that have the best shot of an inch or more would be eastern shore of md through southern new castle county to acy then down to cape may then over the northern half of sussex co del. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SmokeEater Posted February 1, 2013 Share Posted February 1, 2013 Thundersnow popping up in S IN with this clipper, interesting. Not saying it'll matter, just pointing it out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted February 1, 2013 Share Posted February 1, 2013 looking over the hourly models. I would say the areas that have the best shot of an inch or more would be eastern shore of md through southern new castle county to acy then down to cape may then over the northern half of sussex co del. Agree. The NAM, RAP, and SREFs all focus on this area. Decent shot of an inch or a bit more somewhere there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowlurker Posted February 1, 2013 Share Posted February 1, 2013 Agree. The NAM, RAP, and SREFs all focus on this area. Decent shot of an inch or a bit more somewhere there. The snowlurker storm... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mitchell Gaines Posted February 1, 2013 Share Posted February 1, 2013 Here is the Observation from my old Kentucky home last hour! Lexington 22:54 Heavy Snow Freezing Fog Squalls and Breezy 0.25 22 21 96 NW 25 G 43 5 29.98 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cary Posted February 1, 2013 Share Posted February 1, 2013 That's a real mouthful Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
famartin Posted February 1, 2013 Share Posted February 1, 2013 Here is the Observation from my old Kentucky home last hour! Lexington 22:54 Heavy Snow Freezing Fog Squalls and Breezy 0.25 22 21 96 NW 25 G 43 5 29.98 That's a real mouthful If you want a real mouthful, try the raw METAR... KLEX 010354Z 32022G37KT 1/4SM +SN FZFG SQ VV004 M06/M06 A2998 RMK AO2 PK WND 32037/0347 WSHFT 0326 PRESRR SLP162 P0005 T10561061= Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AlexD Posted February 1, 2013 Share Posted February 1, 2013 This one has snuck up on me.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AvantHiatus Posted February 1, 2013 Share Posted February 1, 2013 There is no reason to downplay this but there many reasons to be bullish. The jackpot region could approach 2 inches of accumulations yet there are no indications that the NWS is going to issue Winter Weather Advisories. I would agree if snow ratios were lower but they will be around 15:1. GFS and NAM dumping around 0.15 - 0.20 QPF which is quite substantial... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AlexD Posted February 1, 2013 Share Posted February 1, 2013 There is no reason to downplay this but there many reasons to be bullish. The jackpot region could approach 2 inches of accumulations yet there are no indications that the NWS is going to issue Winter Weather Advisories. I would agree if snow ratios were lower but they will be around 15:1. GFS and NAM dumping around 0.15 - 0.20 QPF which is quite substantial... Looks like they might with the 330 package, if this SWS is any indication: Delaware Beaches Special Weather Statement in effect A 2 TO 6 HOUR PERIOD OF SIGNIFICANT SNOW WILL HAMPER TRAVEL ACROSS DELAWARE EASTERN MARYLAND AND SOUTHERN NEW JERSEY DURING THE FRIDAY MORNING COMMUTE MOTORISTS SHOULD BE PREPARED FOR RAPIDLY DETERIORATING ROAD CONDITIONS AND VISIBILITY LIMITED TO ONE HALF MILE IN A SNOW EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 6 AND 10 FRIDAY MORNING. SNOW AMOUNTS OF 1 TO 2 INCHES ARE LIKELY WITH POTENTIAL FOR A NARROW BAND OF 3 INCH AMOUNTS. MOST OF THE SNOW WILL FALLING IN 3 TO 4 HOURS FRIDAY MORNING. THE SNOW WILL BE FOLLOWED NORTHWEST WIND GUSTS NEAR 40 MPH DURING MIDDAY. MORE DETAILS WILL BE ISSUED IN OUR 330 AM FORECASTS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AvantHiatus Posted February 1, 2013 Share Posted February 1, 2013 WWA's issued for areas west of Chesapeake Bay. Guessing Mount Holly will pull the trigger. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
phlwx Posted February 1, 2013 Share Posted February 1, 2013 WWA for Kent/Sussex plus Atlantic/Cape May/Cumberland in NJ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
phlwx Posted February 1, 2013 Share Posted February 1, 2013 ...and Walt's working mids...expect AFD updates 2, 3, 4 times this morning. http://kamala.cod.edu/offs/KPHI/fxus61.chunk.html BTW, Walt may nudge the advisories one or two layers farther north depending on how the radar evolves. HRRR shows an hour or two shot of snow after 8 AM in Philly. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AvantHiatus Posted February 1, 2013 Share Posted February 1, 2013 Just got up early for this one. Good call on my part, "Heavy Snow" expected with spots of 2-4".......very compact system. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RowanBrandon Posted February 1, 2013 Share Posted February 1, 2013 Radar seems to be coming alive over the area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SmokeEater Posted February 1, 2013 Share Posted February 1, 2013 Radar seems to be coming alive over the area. State road dept. isn't screwing around up our way, presalting everything. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
phlwx Posted February 1, 2013 Share Posted February 1, 2013 HRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRR showing 3" lolli possible just west of Dover. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RowanBrandon Posted February 1, 2013 Share Posted February 1, 2013 Nothing reaching the ground yet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NaoPos Posted February 1, 2013 Share Posted February 1, 2013 HRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRR showing 3" lolli possible just west of Dover. COngrats Rowan Brandon. BIg HURRRRRRRRRRRRRRR shout out to ya! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chubbs Posted February 1, 2013 Share Posted February 1, 2013 Liight snow here. No accumulation yet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AvantHiatus Posted February 1, 2013 Share Posted February 1, 2013 Nothing reaching the ground yet. Humidity and dew point are going up and the sky is very dark and dense. It's like it is going to open up all at the same time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chubbs Posted February 1, 2013 Share Posted February 1, 2013 Pressure falls and radar look good for De +SJ. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SmokeEater Posted February 1, 2013 Share Posted February 1, 2013 HRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRR showing 3" lolli possible just west of Dover. COngrats Rowan Brandon. BIg HURRRRRRRRRRRRRRR shout out to ya! What am I, chop liver? I do live only 2 miles from him, lol jk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted February 1, 2013 Share Posted February 1, 2013 HRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRR showing 3" lolli possible just west of Dover. Looking at radar that does not seem to far fetched. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AvantHiatus Posted February 1, 2013 Share Posted February 1, 2013 Mega band moved over me and dropped a burst of snow. Back to flurries now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted February 1, 2013 Share Posted February 1, 2013 the rap is showing .1qpf from southern chesco delco and phlco south Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Quakertown needs snow Posted February 1, 2013 Share Posted February 1, 2013 congrats guys! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NaoPos Posted February 1, 2013 Share Posted February 1, 2013 What am I, chop liver? I do live only 2 miles from him, lol jk Oo I'm sorry, who You be? One of them there severe wx weenies?! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chubbs Posted February 1, 2013 Share Posted February 1, 2013 the rap is showing .1qpf from southern chesco delco and phlco south Looking at radar. Need to shift that south a bit. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.