ayuud11 Posted February 26, 2013 Share Posted February 26, 2013 Youngstown should be the winner in WNY imo....elevations of the southern tier aren't going to help much with 850s at or just above 0c. Youngstown is on a roll this winter,I'm jealous Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
the minister Posted February 26, 2013 Share Posted February 26, 2013 I'm at 1,650 feet just south of Ithaca...not sure quite what to expect. With my elevation I may be all snow? Sunny and nice here now! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DeltaT13 Posted February 26, 2013 Share Posted February 26, 2013 Yeah that looks like the best spot in WNY in terms of getting any decent accumulation going. If I was going to chase this event in WNY, the only place I'd go would be the top of Bristol Mountain (which has an access road, I might add). 2200 feet at the top and they usually kill it in these events. That said, with each run trending warmer....this could bust everywhere. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted February 26, 2013 Share Posted February 26, 2013 Youngstown should be the winner in WNY imo....elevations of the southern tier aren't going to help much with 850s at or just above 0c. Yeah I don't really think anyone is going to be the winner out of this in terms of snow. But we are the winners right now, 40 degrees and sunny feels great! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ayuud11 Posted February 26, 2013 Share Posted February 26, 2013 Yeah I don't really think anyone is going to be the winner out of this in terms of snow. But we are the winners right now, 40 degrees and sunny feels great! Enjoy it because next week looks ****. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DeltaT13 Posted February 26, 2013 Share Posted February 26, 2013 Yeah I don't really think anyone is going to be the winner out of this in terms of snow. But we are the winners right now, 40 degrees and sunny feels great! Sunny and 40 literally makes me want to vomit. I just want snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WNash Posted February 26, 2013 Share Posted February 26, 2013 Changing up my plans based on latest models and WIVB hi res models showing the heaviest snow from Warsaw to Mt Morris here in WNY. Will be heading directly that way tomorrow night instead of Ellicottville. Will try to gets pics and vids. Not sure this one is worth chasing anywhere in WNY at this point, unless you have a sturdy umbrella. If anyone is so hard up for snow they want to drive to see more, maybe crossing the border and driving an hour up the QEW is the way to go. I bet the escarpment above Hamilton isn't much further than Mt. Morris, but will get a lot more snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gorizer Posted February 26, 2013 Share Posted February 26, 2013 This is pretty cool. Click on the map to zoom in... http://hint.fm/wind/ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OSUmetstud Posted February 26, 2013 Share Posted February 26, 2013 Yeah I don't really think anyone is going to be the winner out of this in terms of snow. But we are the winners right now, 40 degrees and sunny feels great! It's relative, dude. I think they can manage 6" over the next 36 to 48 hours. I'd guess about an inch for BUF on the front end...followed by 2-4" from Wednesday morning through Wednesday night. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WNash Posted February 26, 2013 Share Posted February 26, 2013 It's relative, dude. I think they can manage 6" over the next 36 to 48 hours. I'd guess about an inch for BUF on the front end...followed by 2-4" from Wednesday morning through Wednesday night. Thanks - that's far better that I would have expected. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OSUmetstud Posted February 26, 2013 Share Posted February 26, 2013 Thanks - that's far better that I would have expected. it's pretty chilly through Wednesday and Wednesday with light to moderate snows....so that's when we will do our best. Areas near Lake Ontario should pick up about 3" overnight...then more on Wednesday/Wed night. Near Toronto will be the winner. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ayuud11 Posted February 26, 2013 Share Posted February 26, 2013 it's pretty chilly through Wednesday and Wednesday with light to moderate snows....so that's when we will do our best. Areas near Lake Ontario should pick up about 3" overnight...then more on Wednesday/Wed night. Near Toronto will be the winner. 12z RGEM shows a swath of 10-12" from buf to toronto,i'm not sure if i can post wxbell maps here.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dutch Posted February 26, 2013 Share Posted February 26, 2013 This is pretty cool. Click on the map to zoom in... http://hint.fm/wind/ THAT IS AWESOME! We sell windpower here at my company, and i just showed one of the guys in that dept and he needed to have that link also! Thanks Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OSUmetstud Posted February 26, 2013 Share Posted February 26, 2013 12z RGEM shows a swath of 10-12" from buf to toronto,i'm not sure if i can post wxbell maps here.. more likely for Toronto by far than Buffalo. I don't quite see anything close to that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted February 26, 2013 Share Posted February 26, 2013 12z RGEM shows a swath of 10-12" from buf to toronto,i'm not sure if i can post wxbell maps here.. Ugh, stop looking at colorful looking maps to determine accumulations... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted February 26, 2013 Share Posted February 26, 2013 It's relative, dude. I think they can manage 6" over the next 36 to 48 hours. I'd guess about an inch for BUF on the front end...followed by 2-4" from Wednesday morning through Wednesday night. Those were my exact calls for this as well. Although I think not much will accumulate on pavement on Weds due to diurnal affects and low rates. I can see us hitting those amounts on grassy surfaces. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lakeeffectkid383 Posted February 26, 2013 Share Posted February 26, 2013 Took a ride this morning to Warsaw Mt Morris than went to the Corning Museum of Glass. Was a nice ride with sunny skies. Car thermometer got up to 48 at one point. Decided to ditch the plans to go there tonight and may head toward Warsaw tomorrow after work. This storm just seems like too much of a dud to really chase far. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OSUmetstud Posted February 26, 2013 Share Posted February 26, 2013 Took a ride this morning to Warsaw Mt Morris than went to the Corning Museum of Glass. Was a nice ride with sunny skies. Car thermometer got up to 48 at one point. Decided to ditch the plans to go there tonight and may head toward Warsaw tomorrow after work. This storm just seems like too much of a dud to really chase far. you were better off going to toronto the whle time Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted February 26, 2013 Share Posted February 26, 2013 you were better off going to toronto the whle time Yeah I told him that the whole time, but he doesn't have enhanced license or passport. =/ I honestly think even Toronto within 10-15 miles of Ontario might not do well either, I am thinking 50 miles northwest of Toronto is jackpot for this. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WNash Posted February 26, 2013 Share Posted February 26, 2013 Ugh, stop looking at colorful looking maps to determine accumulations... Oh no... don't let him be like the weenies that from the weather forums that I used to frequent when I lived in the south (NOT AmericanWX)... those guys would ignore all guidance and common sense, and instead download the clown maps, and put the images in photoshop and zoom down to the pixel level to see if their back yards were in the 1" or the 2" color bands. (They would get more than flurries about once every three years.) You bet I want to see one more good storm before this winter ends, but an outlier model isn't gonna make it snow. Yeah I told him that the whole time, but he doesn't have enhanced license or passport. =/ I honestly think even Toronto within 10-15 miles of Ontario might not do well either, I am thinking 20-30 miles northwest of Toronto is jackpot for this. Something to work on over the summer, right? Get to chase on 2X as much turf, AND he'll be able to hang out in Clifton Hill. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DeltaT13 Posted February 26, 2013 Share Posted February 26, 2013 Wellsville is sitting at 34F with a dewpoint of 22.....Definitely some evaparational cooling potential as that ridiculous precip field moves in.. (NWS has them starting as rain) A strange and fascinating storm for sure. It'll be interesting to see how certain locations play out in this one. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted February 26, 2013 Share Posted February 26, 2013 Wellsville is sitting at 34F with a dewpoint of 22.....Definitely some evaparational cooling potential as that ridiculous precip field moves in.. (NWS has them starting as rain) A strange and fascinating storm for sure. It'll be interesting to see how certain locations play out in this one. Springville just dropped from 36 to 32.9 in the last 15 minutes with a dewpoint of 29. Going to be a close call! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
heavy_wx Posted February 26, 2013 Author Share Posted February 26, 2013 Springville just dropped from 36 to 32.9 in the last 15 minutes with a dewpoint of 29. Going to be a close call! Not looking too good here, 41 with a dew point of 24. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WNYwhiteout Posted February 26, 2013 Share Posted February 26, 2013 We're at 37, dew point 26, and it's sleeting right now south of Roc. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ottawa Blizzard Posted February 26, 2013 Share Posted February 26, 2013 I'm hoping for a big hit up here in Toronto. Currently at 34 with gusty easterly winds. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted February 27, 2013 Share Posted February 27, 2013 kbgm 700 PM...LDG EDGE OF PCPN NOW MVG THRU THE FCST AREA. GND RPTS AREOF MIXED PCPN TURINNG TO SNOW AS IT MVES IN. STILL A VERY HIGH LVLOF UNCERTAINTY THIS EVE AS THE 18Z RUNS CONTD TO FLIP FLOP ONSUBTLE TEMP DFRNCS WHICH WILL MAKE ALL THE DFRNC IN THE WORLD WITHPTYPE. FEELING NOW IS THAT WE WILL GET A THREE HR BURST OF MAINLYSNOW...WHICH MAY BE HEAVY...FLWD BY LGTR PCPN WHICH MAY BE MOREMIXED AS WE LOSE THE LIFT IN THE ICE CRYSTAL ZONE. CNRT UPDATEADJUSTED TEMPS AND TIMING OF PCPN...ALONG WITH PTYPE TO SIMPLFYTHE BEGINNING OF THE EVENT. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LakeEffectKing Posted February 27, 2013 Share Posted February 27, 2013 I'm hoping for a big hit up here in Toronto. Currently at 34 with gusty easterly winds. Good luck! You have the best chance in our "area" of any to jackpot. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
the minister Posted February 27, 2013 Share Posted February 27, 2013 Been snowing hard here (15 minutes south of Ithaca...1600 ft. elevation) for the past 30 minutes. Only 33 or 34 degrees but it's most definitely sticking! Wonder if this will keep up? Correction...as I type this the clattering sound of freezing rain is pelting on the deck! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ayuud11 Posted February 27, 2013 Share Posted February 27, 2013 This is a nice shot from outer space. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ayuud11 Posted February 27, 2013 Share Posted February 27, 2013 Oh no... don't let him be like the weenies that from the weather forums that I used to frequent when I lived in the south (NOT AmericanWX)... those guys would ignore all guidance and common sense, and instead download the clown maps, and put the images in photoshop and zoom down to the pixel level to see if their back yards were in the 1" or the 2" color bands. (They would get more than flurries about once every three years.) You bet I want to see one more good storm before this winter ends, but an outlier model isn't gonna make it snow. Something to work on over the summer, right? Get to chase on 2X as much turf, AND he'll be able to hang out in Clifton Hill. The funny thing is that i knew that model was out to lunch with those accumulations,but still posted it i blame mY WEENIE SIDE! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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